Category Archives: Palestinian- Israel.

THE BEADY ASK’S: ARE WE SCREWED?

28 Sunday Jan 2024

Posted by in #whatif.com, 2024 the year of disconnection, Algorithms., Arms Trade., Artificial Intelligence., Carbon Emissions., Civilization., Climate Change., Collective stupidity., Cry for help., Dehumanization., Digital age., DIGITAL DICTATORSHIP., Disaster Capitalism., Donald Trump., Earth, Extermination., Human Collective Stupidity., Human Exploration., HUMAN INTELLIGENCE, Human values., Humanity., Inequality, INTELLIGENCE., Our Common Values., PAIN AND SUFFERING IN LIFE, Palestinian- Israel., Politics., Populism., Purpose of life., Reality., Robot citizenship., Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, State of the world, Survival., Technology v Humanity, Technology., The common good., The essence of our humanity., The Future, THE ISRAELI- PALESTINIAN PROBLEM., THE NEW NORM., The Obvious., The state of the World., The world to day., THE WORLD YOU LIVE IN., THIS IS THE STATE OF THE WORLD.  , Ukraine/ Russia., Ukraine/Russian war., Unanswered Questions., War., Wars, We can leave a legacy worthwhile., What is shaping our world., WHAT IS TRUTH, What Needs to change in the World, Where's the Global Outrage., World Politics, WORLD POVERTY WHERE'S THE GLOBAL OUTRAGE, World View.

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( Three minute read)

Man is said to have evolved from monkeys and apes …but we still have monkeys and apes.

We live in a world of verball diarrhoea, another words every Joe saop has an opinion.

However the world today is being expressed as a single unified, interconnected and interdependent global system, and since we wish to remain as our individualistic egoistic selves while the world becomes more and more connected, we experience such tightening connection as suffering.

Characterized by intricate interconnections, rapid advancements in technology, globalization, diverse geopolitical challenges, and a multitude of social, economic, and environmental issues.

Since everyone understands the world from his/her own perspective which may be different from others due to religions beliefs we cannot understand what wholeness is.

Our world is beautiful but screwed.

71% water, average 93,000,000 miles away from a white star, around which it completes an elliptical orbit every 365.25 days with a dominant species are Homo Sapiens, which can live anywhere. It has one large satellite measuring 2,159 miles in diameter which is some 239,000 miles distant and is tidally locked.

—————–

With it’s current greedy drive for more – more this, more that, more me, me, me. causing greater and greater stress to the planet, earth is experiencing its hottest year on record and massive floods, fires and other climate-related disasters have taken root.

And lack of action on climate change threatens billions of lives and livelihoods.

Most of us know this but we don’t know when something amazing or horrible will happen next and it could be the greatest or worst thing for this world.

Like the opening of a massive technological gap between the global rich and the poor.

As our World becomes more disaster prone due to the extreme changes to our Climate, these vestibules of self-interest will be dumped for hardline practical leaders who will do whatever is necessary for the survival of mankind.

In the mean time all we do is fight over utterly meaningless bullshit.

———————————–

We carry affordable supercomputers in our pockets, and that is even more powerful than it sounds.

  • It has created multiple civilizations, none of which has been able to achieve a satisfactory minimum level of quality of life; the poorest people still live in inhumane conditions; the very few richest people own more than the all of the rest put together.
  • Most markets are moving online, moving from the physical world into the digital app world, until they’ll be purged there too by oligarchies; which will be the next medium?
  • Right wing politics and populism continue to gain ground through advocating individual freedom to prosper, while left wing politics is failing to establish and administer a necessary minimum of social equality and governmental regulation, which continues to propagate financial deregulation aka greed is good which in turn prevents a normal fluctuation of economy turning it into steep growth and catastrophic chain reaction crashes.
  • The extreme conservatism of certain societies founded on medieval concepts and flawed morals coupled with perpetual poverty and social stagnation certainly help maintaining inequality in the world.
  • Alternatively, we may destroy ourselves in the midst of our seemingly endless growth, and nature will resume its course over the centuries and millenia to come.
  • How can anyone with an active mind, who is aware of all this, neatly summarize his or her POV “of the world today” with A SINGLE WORD???????
  • Pretty nonsensical, if you take a couple of minutes to think about it.

The chances of wholeness happening now are roughly zero.

Why?

Because politicians who were starved of intelligent thinking and ARE BEING ELECTED INTO OFFICE BY DIGITLIZED CITIZENS RUN BY PROFIT SEEKING ALGORITHMS.

Recent advances in artificial intelligence raise a variety of questions about how to control a technology that could improve or threaten civilization in countless ways.

The Doomsday Clock that has been ticking for 77 years.  The clock isn’t designed to definitively measure existential threats, but rather to spark conversations about difficult scientific topics such as climate change. Trends continue to point ominously towards global catastrophe.

Due to ongoing concerns about the war in Ukraine, the Israel-Gaza conflict, the potential of a nuclear arms race, and the climate crisis, its almost impossible to get people’s attention about existential threats and the required action.

We can reduce them but doing so is not easy, nor has it ever been. It requires serious work and global engagement at all levels of society.

The war in Ukraine poses an ever-present risk of nuclear escalation. And the October 7 attack in Israel and war in Gaza provides further illustration of the horrors of modern war, even without nuclear escalation.

A more realistic endpoint to both wars would be a military ceasefire, in which increasingly exhausted combatants see frontline positions harden around a line of control. That will become clearer by the summer or autumn, and will at some point prompt a question for its western backers: how long should the west continue supplying military aid at current levels to Ukraine/Israel

This requires a collective even harder stance.

A political earthquake. That’s the metaphor that stuck.

——————–

What if science itself is in some way culpable for all this?

We don’t know the real answer yet, and we probably will never know, but this is the moment to anticipate what such a finding might ultimately mean. It could obliterate the faith of millions.

This may be the great scientific meta-experiment of the 21st century. That the common people of the world have been forced into a real-life lab experiment, at tremendous cost — there is a moral earthquake on the way.

All of these disasters brought to you by the total, self-assured unanimity of the highly educated people who are supposed to know what they’re doing, plus the total complacency of the highly educated people who are supposed to be supervising them.

A perfect storm, as institutions crumpled and collapsed. with new fault lines targeting up the most powerful country on the planet.

Don’t disengage as digital technology is disrupting international politics in myriad ways.

To start, it is bringing new dimensions to the authoritarian playbook, enabling governments to more easily manipulate information consumed by citizens, to monitor dissent and track political opponents, and to censor communications.

Democracies, meanwhile, are struggling to strike the right balance between rewarding economic innovation and reaping the financial benefits of Big Tech, while protecting user privacy, guarding against surveillance misuses, and countering disinformation and hate speech.

Can democracies strike an appropriate balance between safeguarding their societies from dangerously polarizing online rhetoric while maintaining commitments to protecting free expression?

Can civic activists, independent journalists, and human rights advocates continue to find innovative ways to push back against government repression using new tools, tactics, and technologies?

The answers to these questions are not foretold—all of them represent major areas of contestation.

But one thing is clear. There is an expanding set of countries relying on facial recognition technology, big data analytics, predictive policing techniques, and safe city systems to enhance their security capabilities. There is now a close relationship between authoritarian regimes, constraints on political freedoms, and corresponding government reliance on digital repression techniques.

What technological methods are Gulf states using to enact their political agendas?

What can civil society make of the growth of internet shutdowns and social media blockages around the world?

Government disdain for international human rights principles “is pushing resistance to the breaking point.”

Disinformation has become the tool of choice for many illiberal regimes. From extreme political movements, particularly far-right groups, which harness social media to propagate falsehoods, spread conspiracy theories, and foment polarization and identity politics.

Flooding  social media channels with competing or distracting information that overwhelms legitimate information sources, and deliberately post offensive content on­line to provoke or disrupt conversations

.A bigger question is how much governments should hold platforms responsible for facilitating the spread of bad information .

It is insufficient to blame Facebook or Twitter’s poor leadership for the much more complicated proliferation of politically motivated falsehoods.

These varying global perspectives shed light on emerging areas of contestation and highlight the complexities, urgency, and dangers involved in the advance of digital technologies and their effects on politics globally.

One has only to look at technology usage in the current wars in order to relise that Alogrithms are ruling not just how lives or dies on the battle fields but the direction we all going in our everyday lives.

All human comments appriciated. All like clicks and abuse chucked in the bin.

Contatc: bobdillon33@gmail,com

THE BEADY EYE ASKS: WHAT DOES THE WORD WE (IN TODAY’S WORLD OF AI) MEAN. IT CERTAINLY DOES NOT MEAN IT’S ON ME, IT’S ON YOU, IT’S ON US.

20 Saturday Jan 2024

Posted by in #whatif.com, 2024 the year of disconnection, Algorithms., Artificial Intelligence., Civilization., Cry for help., Dehumanization., DIGITAL DICTATORSHIP., Disconnection., Donald Trump., Erasing history., Extermination., Human Collective Stupidity., Human values., Humanity., IS DATA DESTORYING THE WORLD?, Israel and Palestine, Israeli-Palestinian conflict, Life., MISINFORMATION., Palestinian- Israel., Post - truth politics., Purpose of life., Reality., Religious Beliefs., State of the world, Technology, Technology v Humanity, The cost of war., The essence of our humanity., THE ISRAELI- PALESTINIAN PROBLEM., The Obvious., The state of the World., The world to day., THE WORLD YOU LIVE IN., THIS IS THE STATE OF THE WORLD.  , Truth, Universal values., War, Wars, We can leave a legacy worthwhile., WHAT IS TRUTH, What Needs to change in the World, Where's the Global Outrage., World Organisations., World Politics

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(Five minute read)

Those of us who still want to live lives that we consider human, the word we is becoming a dangerous word.

In a world run by artificial intelligence, a world of disequilibrium and it is equilibrium, the assumption of equilibrium has to be explained. So it is quite wrong to start from we, because first we must understand the processes that lead to the social construction of this ‘we’ and to the constitution of our combined voice, that are now unbalanced, unstable by we who are without faces.

These AI voice, are becoming the crisis of not just capitalism but democracy.

For example:  Donald Trump a refusal to accept the truth of the untrue, a refusal to accept closure now running to take office.

We cannot start by pretending to stand outside the dissonance of our own experience, for to do so would be a lie.

A refusal to accept the inevitability of increasing inequality, misery, exploitation and violence is lacking due to the uses of AI.

———————-

To start in the third person is not a neutral starting point.

The ‘we’ of our starting point is very much a question rather than an answer.

It affirms the social character, but poses the nature of that sociality as a question.

The merit of starting with a ‘we’ rather than with an ‘it’ is that we are then openly confronted with the question that must underlie any theoretical assertion, but which is rarely addressed: who are we that make the assertion?

The fact that ‘we’ and our conception of ‘we’ are product of a whole history of the subjection of the subject changes nothing.

For the moment, this ‘we’ of ours is a confused ‘we”I’ already presupposes an individualisation, a claim to individuality in thoughts and feelings, whereas the act of writing or reading is based on the assumption of some sort of community, however contradictory or confused.

It is just that the negative situation in which we exist leaves us no option: to live, to think, is to negate in whatever way we can the negativeness of our existence.

What we feel is not necessarily correct, but it is a starting point to be respected and criticised, not just to be put aside in favour of objectivity.

The dissonance is not an external ‘us’ against ‘the world, inevitably it is a dissonance that reaches into us as well, that divides us against ourselves.

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Society is, but it exists in an arc of tension towards that which is not, or is not yet.

To look at the web objectively, from the outside – we see all as blurred movement, that are predicting the downfall of the world, while accepting that there is nothing we can do about it.

Our refusal to accept, tells us nothing of the future, nor does it depend for its validity on any particular outcome.

How then do we change the world without taking power?

For example:

The problem with armed struggle, is that it accepts from the beginning that it is necessary to adopt the methods of the enemy in order to defeat the enemy, but even in the unlikely event of military victory, it is capitalist social relations that have triumphed.  #Israel v Palestine.

How many children have died needlessly since I started to write THIS POST?  How many since you began to read it?

We all know that Palestinians in Gaza, the West Bank and Israel all live under various regimes of organized discrimination and oppression, much of which makes life nearly unlivable. The reflexive identification with Israel, by both US and the UK obscures the fuller picture of what’s happening between Israel and the Palestinians.

What exactly counts as a provocation?

Not, apparently, the large number of settlers, more than 800 by one media account, who stormed the al-Aqsa mosque compound on 5 October. Not the 248 Palestinians killed by Israeli forces or settlers between 1 January and 4 October of this year. Not the denial of Palestinian human rights and national aspirations for decades. Not the thousands currently losing their lives.

To be considered a political being you must at the very least be considered a human being.

Who gets to count as human?

We are fighting human animals and we are acting accordingly,” Israel’s defense minister Yoav Gallant said. Human animals?

How can such language and an announced policy of collective punishment against all the residents of Gaza be seen by Israel’s supporters in the United States or elsewhere as defensible?

Let’s be clear: Gallant’s language is not the rhetoric of deterrence. It’s the language of genocide which WE are condoning.

WHAT ATTEMPTS HAVE THERE BEEN TO MAKE PEACE?

Two-state solution:

An agreement that would create a state for the Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza Strip alongside Israel. Israel has said a Palestinian state must be demilitarised so as not to threaten its security. Now inconceivable. 

Today about 5.6 million Palestinian refugees – mainly descendants of those who fled in 1948 – live in Jordan, Lebanon, Syria, the Israeli-occupied West Bank and Gaza. About half of registered refugees remain stateless, according to the Palestinian foreign ministry, many living in crowded camps.

What continues to be astounding is that a regime recognised under international law as the occupying power, and as one that many human rights groups agree is imposing a system of apartheid, is trusted to relay information about its own atrocities.

The Israeli regime continues to dehumanise Palestinians as part of its tactic to sow seeds of doubt on their testimonies and to justify the atrocities it is committing.

The only solution ( put forward by the BEADY EYE is one Federal state with a written constitution. See previous post) 

I have seen images and videos that will haunt me forever.

The reality is that Palestinians have been dehumanised to such an extent, that even when they hold up their murdered children in front of cameras and display them to the world, there are those who will still say they are responsible for their own children’s deaths. But make no mistake, what we are seeing in Gaza is an unfolding genocide and Palestinians are showing the world what it looks like in real time.

Yet despite the plethora of pictures, videos and testimonies we the International Community have not thrown Israel our of the United Nations.

With a US presidential election looming, and with few signs that the Israeli conflict will ebb away any time soon, evangelicals could find themselves in a position of significant power in the near future.

This is what they are saying.

“To the terrorists who have chosen this fight, hear this, what you do to Israel, god will do to you. Despite today’s weeping, joy will come because he [god] who watches over Israel neither slumbers nor sleeps,”

In keeping with Christian Just War tradition, we also affirm the legitimacy of Israel’s right to respond against those who have initiated these attacks as Romans 13 grants governments the power to bear the sword against those who commit such evil acts against innocent life.”

“What will come soon [is] the antichrist and his seven year empire that will be destroyed in the battle of armageddon. Then Jesus Christ will set up his throne in the city of Jerusalem. He will establish a kingdom that will never end,” Hagee said.

Hagee, despite having a long history of antisemitism – he has suggested Jews brought persecution upon themselves by upsetting God and called Hitler a “half-breed Jew” – founded Christians United for Israel in 2006.

CUFI, (Christians United for Israel,) whose founder believes the presence of Jews in Israel is a precursor to Jesus Christ returning to Earth, God forbid he does because we the International Community are condemned to hell if he and it exists.

Finally:

Those who survive will grow up sad, fearful, guilty, angry, alienated and looking for vengeance – or at least, judging by past experience, many of them will. They will ask who killed their brothers and sisters, their parents, their friends, and why they did it. They will ask what the world did to stop the killing.

All human comments appreciated. All like clicks and abue chucked in the bin.

Contact: bobdillon33@gmail.com

THE BEADY ASKS: WHAT SHOULD OUR VIEWS ON THE CURRENT WAR BETWEEN ISRAEL AND PALESTINE BE? AFTER ALL WAR IS WAR.

29 Friday Dec 2023

Posted by in Civilization., Collective stupidity., Cruelty., Cry for help., CULTURES COLLIDE, Dehumanization., Disconnection., Erasing history., Extremism., Freedom, Freedom of Speech, How to do it., Human values., Humanity., International solidarity., Israel and Palestine, Israeli-Palestinian conflict, Militarism., Modern day Slavery, PAIN AND SUFFERING IN LIFE, Palestinian- Israel., Reality., Refugees., Religious Beliefs., Russia / Ukraine ., State of the world, Survival., Telling the truth., Terrorism., The common good., The cost of war., THE ISRAELI- PALESTINIAN PROBLEM., The Obvious., The state of the World., The Ukraine., The world to day., THE WORLD YOU LIVE IN., THIS IS THE STATE OF THE WORLD.  , Truth, Unanswered Questions., Uncategorized, Violence, War, War Crimes., We can leave a legacy worthwhile., WHAT IS TRUTH, What Needs to change in the World, Where's the Global Outrage., World Cup., World Leaders, World Organisations., World Politics

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( FIVE MINUTE READ)

The world today looks very different from the way it appeared thirty years ago.

It is one thing to express your opinion, it is another to do so in a way that actually puts a stumbling block in the way of others.

It’s okay to want to find ways of expressing some nuance.

Not about the wickedness of what’s happened. Not about the horror at loss of life. Not about the fact Hamas are terrorists, committed to the total destruction of the Jewish state.

But about where (like all war’s) is this war going before it ends as all wars eventually do.

Bright trails of rockets fired towards Israel from the Gaza strip, lighting up the orange night sky

How do you draw the line between retaliation and self-defence?

What proportion of vengeance is acceptable?

Is sending hundreds of thousands of troops into Gaza wise?

Is cutting off water and electricity act of justice?

These are complex questions.

Palestine is not a country. That’s the whole point.

Palestinians in Gaza, the West Bank and Israel all live under various regimes of organized discrimination and oppression, much of which makes life nearly unlivable. But in terms of what happens now, and how the response plays itself out, there might well be room for nuance but first and foremost, we must unequivocally condemn the Hamas attacks for what they were. Any attempt to justify these actions is morally indefensible, and we must firmly oppose the arguments of those who seek to rationalise them.

However the line between punishing evil and revenge can be a fine one, but it’s an important one.

For example, I think Hamas are freedom fighters, turned into terrorists by the west and their recent barbaric acts.

————–

Let’s distinguish between those questions on which we can be clear.

The conflict and tensions in the Middle East are complex and deep rooted.

Let’s be equally honest about the complexity of this situation and not white wash away the sins of either side.

There is no Biblical justification to what Israel is doing.

There is not Promised Land anymore.

Why?

Because the events are and were unavoidably, part of a 80 year long story of modern times.

A further episode of horror. Israel – using unprecedented violence on a largely defenseless and penned-in population, in part to cover for its own fatal mistakes and embarrassment.

You might even think that Palestinians are the ones colonizing the land of Israel, no less. And you probably believe that Israel, which holds ultimate control over the lives of 5 million Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza and yet denies them the right to vote in Israeli elections, is a democracy.

WAR IS WAR.

NO INTERNATIONAL LAWS or INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY WILL CHANGE THAT NO MATTER WHERE A WAR IS OR TAKING PLACE.

The one thing war and bloodshed do for us is leave us longing for a new world.

Palestinians always act while Israel only reacts.

(It is amazing that such a poorly trained and equipped group of Palestinians from Gaza could overcome the best intelligence in the world found in Israel. The Israelis were caught napping and their response is influenced by this.)

It is not appropriate to see Hamas as separate from the Palestinian people.

It is a fundamentalist political group, supported originally by Israel, that responded to the secularism and corruption of the Fatah dominated Palestinian Authority.

Whilst we may disagree about what is proportionate. What Hamas have done is wicked, “unprovoked”

What exactly counts as a provocation?

Not the 248 Palestinians killed by Israeli forces or settlers between 1 January and 4 October of last year.

Not the denial of Palestinian human rights and national aspirations for decades.

Israel have human rights, as do other nations, but there are terrorists on both sides, including those in power currently in Israel. Mutually dependent on each other for survival. Yet neither can win.

The Palestinians will remain. They cannot be eliminated. Israel too will continue to exist.

There are roughly 14.5 million Palestinians in the world, according to a 2023 estimate from the Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics, the vast majority of whom are Sunni Muslims, though a significant minority is Christian. Over 5 million live in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip, and another 2 million in Israel. The remaining population lives elsewhere, mostly as refugees, with the largest communities in Jordan, Lebanon and Syria.

As of 2019, about 5.6 million Palestinians were considered refugees by the United Nations because they or their forebears were displaced by wars with Israel.

Today Palestinians are a minority. 1.8 million Palestinians form around 20.8 percent of Israel’s population. They’re not equal. One dominates while the other is dominated. One colonizes. The other is colonized.

Desperate western attachment to morally bankrupt double standards bears a large portion of the blame for this and the resulting wars that have plagued the region.

———–

The future is full of unnecessary and horrific bloodshed all around.

There is and has been wrongdoing and bad decisions on both sides.

Calling out either one, does no good.

Was the land stolen from Arabs living in the British Protective of Palestine. The land was granted them by an UN charter.

Unfortunately the “land without people for a people without land” was flawed as there were people on that land and that was stolen from them.

We are ignoring the painful context. 

If we once again ignore the big picture, then all this will just keep happening.

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THAT THERE IS NO DENYING (BEING LIVE STREAMED IN FRONT OF THE WORLD.) This new outbreak is turning into a Genocide.

SHOULD THE UNITED NATIONS NOW EXPEL ISRAEL? ( LIKE IT DID WITH SOUTH AFRICA DURING ITS APARTHEID.)

SHOULD INTERNATIONAL SPORT AND CULTURAL ORGANISATIONS &  COMMERCIAL CORPORATIONS NOW BOYCOTT ISRAEL, WITH TARGETS BOYCOTTS. TO AVOID BEING COMPLACENT AND TARNISHED WITH A GENOCIDE?

SHOULD THERE BE A LARGE DE VESTMENT OF INVESTMENTS IN ISRAEL?

SHOULD THERE BE A MILITARY EMBARGO?

SHOULD AS 83% OF IDRSAI TO DAY SUPPORT ETHNIC CLEANSING ISRAEL BE BAN IN COMPETING IN THE OLYMPICS, THE WORLD CUP AND ALL OTHER SPORTING EVENTS.

————

EVEN WHEN ALL OF THIS COMES TO A STOP THE ROOT CAUSE WILL NOT JUST DISAPPEAR FROM THE MAP.

WE MUST APPLY PRESSURE AND NOT BE COMPLICITY.

WE MUST NOT ALLOW GOVERNMENTS TO CLOSE DOWN OR UNDERMINE ANY FREEDOM OF EXPRESSION OR SPEECH SUPPORTING A CEASEFIRE AND POLITICAL SETTLEMENT.

ISRAEL DOES NOT REPRESENT ALL JEWS ETHNICS. CLEANNESS IS A JEWS VALUE NOT GENOCIDE.

HERE ARE A FEW COLLECTIVE ACTIONS THAT WE ALL CAN APPLY.

Boycott:

Hewlett Packard helps run the biometric ID system that Israel uses to restrict Palestinian movement.

Siemens is complicit in apartheid Israel’s illegal settlement enterprise through its planned construction of the EuroAsia Interconnector

Soda Steam is actively complicit in Israel’s policy of displacing the indigenous Bedouin-Palestinian citizens of Israel in the Naqab (Negev).

AXA invests in Israeli banks, which finance the theft of Palestinian land and natural resources

Sabra hummus is a joint venture between PepsiCo and the Strauss Group, an Israeli food company that provides financial support to the Israeli army.

A barcode starting with 729 usually indicates a product of Israel. ( But this is not always reliable.)

Palestinian refugees have long claimed that international law guarantees them the right to return to their homes, citing U.N. General Assembly resolution 194, adopted in December, 1948, which states that refugees wishing to return to their homes and live at peace with their neighbours should be permitted to do so at the earliest practicable date.

For its part, Israel largely considers this claim a non-starter, fearing that the return of millions of Palestinians is neither feasible nor just and would demographically overwhelm the country, erasing its Jewish character.

Sadly, 2023 has been a violent one on the global stage.

Many proposals have been put forward for how the current conflicts could, or should, be brought to a close. All will involve concessions that will effectively appease one side or the other without tackling their underlying cause.

The unanimous conclusion rest on a common belief: That wars should, and usually do, end in negotiation and compromise.

The first problem is that they don’t.

It is true that the majority of wars do not end in absolute victory. Ceasefire, armistice and stalemate terminate most conflicts, even if the ‘peace’ is infirm or short-lived.

The second problem lies in the fatalistic quality of many arguments ruling out the pursuit or even possibility of defeat. The third deficiency of arguments to ‘settle now’ is their reliance on false analogies. The fourth and greatest problem is a failure to take account of the character of this war and the outlook of a systemic adversary viscerally hostile to the ‘collective West’ and the international order it claims to uphold.

Negotiation, compromise and reconciliation are undertaken with new regimes only after old regimes are defeated and removed.

This war might not meet legal definitions of genocide, but the barbarism and the serial war crimes that have taken place – material, cultural and now ecological – have not been witnessed in Europe since the Second World War. The war is being waged on an industrial scale OF DESTRUCTION.  

Western policy must be underpinned by a long-term strategy – political, military and industrial – based on a sustainable definition of victory, not on a search for negotiation with an adversary whose minimal terms flatly contradict Western interests.

Outlier events cannot be ruled out.

The only way I can foresee either the Ukraine War or the Palestinian Israeli War possibly ending is a change in leadership with new agreed compliant political federation regime installed.

THERE WILL BE WITH CLIMATE CHANGE MANY WARS TO FOLLOW.

Wars of the 21st century will be fought over something quite different: climate change, and the shortages of water and food that will come from it. If you look deeply at the source of future conflicts, I think you’ll see a basic resource conflict at the bottom of it all.

All human comments appreciated. All like and abuse chucked in the bin.

Contact: bobdillon33@gmail.com

THE BEADY EYE ASK’S. WILL CLIMATE CHANGE LEAD TO MORE WARS?

08 Tuesday Aug 2023

Posted by in 2023 the year of disconnection., Arms Trade., Carbon Emissions., Climate Change., Climate refugees., CO2 emissions, Collective stupidity., Fourth Industrial Revolution., Human Collective Stupidity., HUMAN INTELLIGENCE, Human values., Humanity., Israeli-Palestinian conflict, Life., Migrants/Refugees., Militarism., MISINFORMATION., Mr Putin., Natural World Disasters, Northern Ireland., PAIN AND SUFFERING IN LIFE, Palestinian- Israel., Reality., RUSSIA/ UKRAINE/ US/ NATO/ EU, State of the world, Survival., Sustaniability, Telling the truth., The common good., The cost of war., The essence of our humanity., The Obvious., The state of the World., The world to day., THE WORLD YOU LIVE IN., THIS IS THE STATE OF THE WORLD.  , Ukraine/ Russia., Unanswered Questions., VALUES, War., Wars, What Needs to change in the World, Where's the Global Outrage., World Organisations.

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( Six minute read)

It’s one of the most important questions of the 21st century:

You always have a higher potential for violent conflict when the survival conditions of groups of people are threatened.  This is a very basic principle.

Will climate change provide the extra spark that pushes two otherwise peaceful nations into war?

The obvious answer is yes.

You can see this when you look at events that are already happening, like land conflicts due to desertification, or various resource conflicts around the world.

There are currently 27 ongoing conflicts worldwide. A quarter of the entire global population lives in conflict-affected areas. This year, it is estimated that at least 274 million people will need humanitarian assistance. But it’s important to remember that the causal links between climate and conflict are rarely direct.

However there has always been an empirical connection between violence and climate change which has persists across 12,000 years of human history.

We now  live on a planet expecting changes to temperature or rainfall in the coming decades—which will come faster and stronger than the many natural climate changes of the past.

This is the situation the world finds itself in today.

Conflict is on the rise. Millions are displaced. International law is disregarded with impunity, as criminal and terrorist networks profit from the division and violence.

The reasons for the outbreak of conflict range from territorial disputes and regional tensions, to corruption and dwindling resources due to climate change.

Take the Syrian war for example.

Nearly 11 years after it started, the Syrian refugee crisis remains the largest displacement crisis worldwide (13.2 million, including 6.6 million refugees and more than 6 million internally displaced people). At least 2 million people are living in tented camps with limited access to basic services.

Lasting more than 60 years, the conflict in Myanmar (previously called Burma) remains the longest ongoing civil war in the world.

The cost of war is almost unfathomable with conflicts driving 80% of humanitarian needs.

In 2016, the cost of conflict globally stood at an astonishing $14 trillion. That’s enough to end world hunger 42 times over.

For the seventh year in a row, global military spending is increasing, exceeding trillions’ for the first time.

Just imagine what the world could do with that money if conflicts were to end worldwide.

——-

If you’re looking for the causes of climate change, it’s us—the overconsuming, fossil-fuel-burning North and West.

If you want to get serious about climate change, worrying about the small-scale details of conflicts in Africa is missing the point.  It’s us.

Twentieth-century wars were fought over land, religion, and economics. But the wars of the 21st century will be fought over something quite different: climate change, and the shortages of water and food that will come from it with mass migration leading to social disruption and potentially violent conflict.

I think this will become more apparent over the next decade or so. You can see it already in Europe.

I suspect we’re going to see more nativism, more xenophobia, and more talk of building walls on our borders.

If you look deeply at the source of future conflicts, I think you’ll see a basic resource conflict at the bottom of it all.

The thin veneer of civilization.

‘ Overwhelmed by the disaster, people could not see what was to become of them and started losing respect for laws of god and man alike,” Thucydides wrote.

Do we have the institutions, the structures, the systems of cooperation we need to deal with this problem?

I don’t think we have an existing structure of peacekeeping that can hold up under these conditions — or at least I’m not encouraged by what we’ve seen so far.

Can Western democratic society, which is built on a system of limitless growth and productivity, change its destructive relationship with nature?

No, modern liberal democratic societies are successful at improving the lives and freedoms of people who live in them but the problem is that their systems are based on the exploitation of nature and our environment, and we’re sort of trapped in this paradigm.

Climate change is a threat multiplier, which means it amplifies problems already facing the world.

Stressors such as poverty, political instability, and crime are magnified by increased droughts, floods, or heat waves. Of the 25 countries deemed most vulnerable to climate change, 14 are mired in conflict.

The climate crisis is altering the nature and severity of humanitarian crises.

As the world gets hotter, mayhem could spread.

Humanitarian organizations are already struggling to respond and will not be able to meet exponentially growing needs resulting from unmitigated climate change.

I think one of the things that clearly exacerbates matters is when the issues become politicized.

It’s going to take a combination of both personal action and systemic change to combat climate change. One is not a substitute for the other, and doing one without the other won’t solve the issues we face.

How civilized will we remain?

Climate change will be a small hole through which we glimpsed what always lies below the thin crust we lay across the seething magma of nature, including human nature.

Recycle. Fly less. Eat less meat.

These are some of the ways that we’ve been told can slow climate change.

But the inordinate emphasis on individual behaviour is the result of a marketing campaign that has succeeded in placing the responsibility for fixing climate change squarely on the shoulders of individuals.

With immensely powerful vested interests aligned in defence of the fossil fuel status quo, the societal tipping point won’t happen without the active participation of citizens everywhere aiding in the collective push forward.

While humongous industries continue to shirk responsibility, lobbying against change and top-down regulation. Nothing decivilizes more quickly and surely than war.

All human comments appreciated. All like clicks and abuse chucked in the bin.

Contact: bobdillon33@gmail.com

So watch the video, learn the facts, and form your own conclusions.

. https://youtu.be/RnWoFJmqCF8

THE BEADY EYE ASK’S: WHEN, WHERE, AND WHY ARE WE FUCKING UP THE WORLD WE ALL LIVE ON?

30 Thursday Jul 2020

Posted by in #whatif.com, 2020: The year we need to change., A Constitution for the Earth., Civilization., Climate Change., How to do it., HUMAN INTELLIGENCE, Human values., Humanity., Life., Our Common Values., Palestinian- Israel., Post - truth politics., Post-Covid-19, Reality., Religious Beliefs., Sustaniability, Telling the truth., The common good., The essence of our humanity., THE ISRAELI- PALESTINIAN PROBLEM., The Obvious., The state of the World., The world to day., Truthfulness., Unanswered Questions., VALUES, War, We can leave a legacy worthwhile., What Needs to change in the World, Where's the Global Outrage.

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(Four-minute read) 



If one takes a look at the state of the world which has gone through two world wars, numerous pandemics, natural disasters, you could say that its present state all boils down to us, our sense of belonging, our values, our separate cultures, greed, and power.

There is little point at this present moment in us dragging up our past history to ANSWER these questions other than it shows that colonization and slavery contributed to the world’s woes and that we are unable to act as one.

Take climate change.

There is no hope of reducing co2 emissions until we understand what being a human being means. 

Until we begin to understand each other there is no hope of tackling any of the current world problems.

So in this post, I am concerned with what has happened in recent times to produce the current century of a world preoccupied with crisis management.   

9/11 is my starting point.

Without understanding that Muslims believe that Allaha is the ultimate arbiter of their existence 9/11 was rightly or wrongly declared an act of war against Iraq.

Since then we’ve all been living in the shadow of the World Trade Center that unbridled the economic, cultural, and military power of the US –  America First.

The result is continuing wars Iran, Syria, Yemen, Afghanistan that are not clashes of civilizations but a clash of ideologies, values, and cultures.

Take Isreal- Palestinian.   

It has been referred to as the world’s “most intractable conflict”, with the ongoing Israeli occupation of the West Bank and the Gaza Strip reaching 52 years.

There can be no peace between Muslims and Non-Muslims because what is happing in Israel goes beyond it.

The world is now preoccupied with crisis management so even if the Palestinian case is settled it won’t stop there. 

Worldwide wide it is consumerist capitalism versus religion and tribal fundamentalism.

So if religion determines what we believe what does race tell us?

Nothing when it comes to  COVID-19 it is non-races no matter whether you are Muslim or Christian the price of faith means nothing if you are dead.

All of us no matter what race you are, Black or White, Christian, Jews, Muslim,  Buddhist, Hindu, call ourselves after the country we are born in only if the expression of religious beliefs is enshrined in the countries constitution with equal rights and freedoms. Where one can be our race and practice our religion.

 A sense of self maybe? 

Perhaps it is a race that makes us different from others.

The Irish were considered as being subhuman to the British many years ago before the Great Famine in the 1800s.

Lived segregated cultural traditions do not work. 700 hundred-odd years later, even in a Europen union setting Northern Ireland remains a divided society by religious beliefs, and a border created by colonization.    

I’m American, I’m European, I’m Chines, I’m Irish, I’m Jews Irish, I’m Israelian, I’M Arab,  I’m Israelian, I’m Palestinian.

If we were paid a visit by another race that was intelligent to get here in the first place they would not give an F…  what race we were or had been. 

Not until the human race understand that is one race will there be any hope in addressing the present problems we all face.     

This will remain so till there is a solution to the Israelis and Muslim Palestinian conflict which in my opinion can now only be solved with a one-state solution, not two-states which has no hope of removing the inherent flaws and injustices or resentment of both sides.

All are intertwined forces that are both tearing apart and bring together the world.

What am I saying here is that the Middle East conflict is not just over religion or race it is also over land.   

The 9/ 11 atrocity claimed nearly 3,000 lives and shocked the world but now many people are unable to remember the date of the tragedy – 11 September 2001 – 19 years ago the beginning of the Iraq invasion. An invasion that totally and utterly did not understand that Islam is not their religion, it is their life and remains so to this present day. 

Instead of world leaders making an effort to prevent the Iraqi invasion according to Mr. Bush, there were no options but to use force which has now lead to one of the most inhuman periods in our recent history. 

Recent work also shows that Islamophobia in the West is abetting the Islamophobia in China, with global leaders willing to stay silent about the treatment of Muslims.

These days what one hears over and over is the phrase ” What is needed is “

On top of this, we now have a world pandemic, climate change, America, and Britain first, the erosion of any long term policies by social media, the smartphone, and unregulated artificial intelligence, with religion shrinking in a digital world run by Five Titanic digital companies, run for profit.

It might not be possible to carry on in a world of two deities God and Allah. 

If you ask me it’s all ridiculous the last ones standing to go to heaven and who will be there to greet them, is God, Allah, or Jesus?  It just doesn’t make sense, intellectual, religious-philosophical, or any other sense.

 The world whether it is China and the Muslim or whatever has to come together in new ways.

Wars that are now seen by moderate Muslims as virtually and ultimately as a war against Muslims and Islam across the ethic board.


What does the word Islam actually mean?

It means surrender.

And if we want a world worth living on, surrender is what we will all have to do in the end.

Shalom in Hebrew means peace.

Hebrew: shalom aleichom meaning-peace be upon you.

Arabic: salam alaikum meaning-peace be upon you. 

So take the knee, not to race, not to religion, but to the planet. 

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but despite the bad press, Islam gets its a religion with enormous wells of compassion that is not promoted in the west.