THE BEADY EYE SAY’S. THE FIRST OF OUR CURRENT CHALLENGES WITH CLIMATE CHANGE IS TO ADMIT THAT WE WILL NOT STOP IT.

10 Thursday Aug 2023

Posted by in 2023 the year of disconnection., Climate Change.

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( Fourteen minute read)

Why is this so ?

We lack the collective will to address climate change because of the way our brains have evolved over the last two million years..

As individuals, we know what we can do about climate change. But addressing the issue also requires collective action on a scale that exceeds our evolutionary capacities. The larger the group, the more challenging it gets.

We know that climate change is happening, but cognitive biases that ensure our initial survival make it difficult to address, complex, long-term challenges that now threaten our existence, like climate change.

They impede our ability to take action, now hamstringing our ability to respond to what could be the largest crisis humanity has ever created or had to face. An older lady clasps her chest and shouts while fires rage in the background behind a large house in Greece

Prevention is no longer an option.

The natural systems that regulate climate on the planet are already changing, and ecosystems that support us are shifting under our feet, undermining many of the ecological foundations of our ability to provide for basic needs.

Clearly, one of the key challenges is going to be how the burden is distributed, and how we respond to the vulnerability of people to climatic shifts and adjustments – from drought and floods, to health issues ranging from disease to heatstroke, to food security, to environmental migrations.

And, of course, our actions now – given the delay between emissions and impact – will harm people in the future. So our responsibilities of justice now extend over vast stretches of geography and time.

We will be a climate-challenged society for the foreseeable future, immersed in a long age of adaptation.

But that information hasn’t been enough to change our behaviours on a scale great enough to stop climate change. And a big part of the reason is our own evolution.

The same behaviours that once helped us survive are, today, working against us. We imagine we live in a rational, enlightened society. In such a place, experts would identify issues to be addressed, and goals to be reached, in response to our creation of climate change. Scientific knowledge would be respected and accepted (after peer review, of course), and policy would be fashioned in response.

Ignoring climate change in the short term has benefits both to individuals and to organizations.

Climate change is a nonlinear problem.

When a function increases slowly at first and then accelerates, though, that causes problems, because people extrapolate that function linearly,  without obvious consequences until suddenly there is a significant problem.

Many effects of climate change are distant from most people.

People conceptualize things that are psychologically distant from them (in time, space, or social distance) more abstractly than things that are psychologically close. When there are weather disasters that are probably a reflection of climate change (like wildfires or extreme storms), they tend to happen far away from where most people live.

As a result, most people are not forced to grapple with the specifics of climate change, but rather can treat it as an abstract concept.

Abstract concepts simply don’t motivate people to act as forcefully as specific ones do.

Only when you and me and others experience this future threat in the present (rather than something that is still a generation away) will it have enough motivational force to get us to engage in actions that take more effort today.

Consider what you’d be willing to forgo today knowing that in one generation there will be serious, catastrophic consequences because of inaction.

Ultimately, we have to be willing to be explicit about the values we are acting on.

If we choose to enrich our lives in the present at the cost of the quality of life of future generations, that is a choice of values that we rarely like to make explicitly. We have to be willing to look in the mirror and say that we are willing to live our lives selfishly, without regard to the lives of our children and grandchildren.

And if we are not willing to own that selfish value, then we have to make a change in our behaviour today.

WHEN THE LAST INSECT DISSAPEARS SO DOES OUR FOOD CHAIN.

Why People Aren’t Motivated to Address Climate Change.

Even more challenging, however, is the reality that our emissions undermine the environments of vulnerable people elsewhere:

Unfortunately, climate change involves a combination of factors that make it hard for people to get motivated.

In the case of climate change, there are sceptics who argue that it is not certain that the influence of human activity on climate will have the dire consequences that some experts have projected.

People are much better with obvious threats like that nasty dog at the door than they are with threats that escalate quickly and nonlinearly.

Now we have entered a new era in the human relationship with climate change, with a variety of broad and different challenges.

So how might we begin to address the challenges of climate justice?

We may be dealing with an issue with a level of complexity that human beings are simply not capable of addressing. Climate change will certainly challenge our adaptive abilities more than anything else the species has faced.

It will demand multi-scale, widely-distributed, networked, flexible, anticipatory, and adaptive responses on the part of governments from the global down to the local.

Climate change will require a radical re-thinking of the very nature of governance, and the adoption of new forms

We are capable of changing our currently destructive relationship with the rest of nature.

Key here is the reality that, in bringing climate change upon ourselves, we have demonstrated that the very construction of how we immerse ourselves in the natural world, and how we provide for our basic needs, is simply not working.

In fact, our relationship with nature is undermining the lives we’ve constructed.

Our continued refusal to recognise ourselves as animals embedded in ecosystems has resulted in the undermining of those systems that sustain us.

That’s our key problem, our central challenge.

Many groups and movements are rethinking and restructuring the ways we interact with the natural world as we provide for our basic needs – around sustainable energy, local food security, and even crafting and making. These new materialist movements offer alternative ways of relating to the nonhuman systems that sustain us, and illustrate the possibility of redesigning and restructuring our everyday lives based in our immersion in natural systems. After 30 years of failing in our response to climate change, we may yet demonstrate that human beings still have the capacity to adapt.

The good news is that our biological evolution hasn’t just hindered us from addressing the challenge of climate change. It’s also equipped us with capacities to overcome them. How we communicate about climate change influences how we respond.

All human comments much appreciated. All like clicks and abuse chucked in the bin.

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THE BEADY EYE SAY’S. WITH CLIMATE CHANGE WE AIN’T SEEN NOTHING YET.

10 Thursday Aug 2023

Posted by in Climate Change., Climate refugees., CO2 emissions, Environment

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( Five minute read)

Never mind the rising temperature, the rising seas, the rising migration, the rising costs, the rising dormant microbes , the rising fires, the rising floods, the rising food shortages, the rising in action.

The enormous, unprecedented pain and turmoil caused by the climate crisis is often discussed alongside what can seem like surprisingly small temperature increases – 1.5C or 2C hotter than it was in the era just before the car replaced the horse and cart.

Wildfire

But the single digit numbers obscure huge ramifications at stake.

We have being and will be building a civilization based on a world that doesn’t exist anymore.

Cranking up the temperature of the entire globe, within little more than a century is, in fact, extraordinary. Our oceans alone are now absorbing the heat equivalent of five Hiroshima atomic bombs dropping into the water every second.

We have now unmoored ourselves from our past, as if we have transplanted ourselves onto another planet.

The difference between 1.5C and 2C is a death sentence with world’s governments currently failing to avert a grim fate, for the sake of GDP – Re election – call it what you want, no amount of global warming can be considered safe and people are already dying from climate change. The fingerprint of climate change on recent extreme weather is quite clear.

Across the planet, people are set to be strafed by cascading storms, heatwaves, flooding and drought. Around 216 million people, mostly from developing countries, will be forced to flee these impacts by 2050 unless radical action is taken.

At 1.5C, about 14% of the world’s population will be hit by severe heatwaves once every five years. with this number jumping to more than a third of the global population at 2C.

Beyond 1.5C, the heat in tropical regions of the world will push societies to the limits, with stifling humidity preventing sweat. A severe heatwave historically expected once a decade will happen every other year at 2C. Nearly one in 10 vertebrate animals and almost one in five plants will lose half of their habitat. Ecosystems spanning corals, wetlands, alpine areas and the Arctic “are set to die off” at this level of heating.

Heat the world a bit more than 2c and a third of all the world’s food production will be at risk by the end of the century as crops start to wilt and fail in the heat.

Earth’s hotter climate is causing the atmosphere to hold more water, then releasing the water in the form of extreme precipitation events.

Meanwhile, in the past 20 years the aggregated level of terrestrial water available to humanity has dropped at a rate of 1cm per year, with more than five billion people expected to have an inadequate water supply within the next three decades.

Virtually all of North America and Europe will be at heightened risk of wildfires at 3C of heating.

A disquieting unknown is the knock-on impacts as epochal norms continue to fall.

What if permafrost melting or flooding cuts off critical roads used by supply chains? What if storms knock out the world’s leading computer chip factory? What happens once half of the world is exposed to disease-carrying mosquitos?

We don’t understand the non-linear effects,

The climate crisis is beginning to take a toll on food production.

Despite the rapid advance of renewable energy and, more recently, electric vehicles, countries still remain umbilically connected to fossil fuels, subsidizing oil, coal and gas to the tune of around $11m every single minute.

By the end of this year the world will have burned through 86% of the carbon “budget” that would allow us just a coin flip’s chance of staying below 1.5C.

A scenario approaching some sort of apocalypse would comfortably arrive should the world heat up by 4C or more, and although this is considered unlikely due to the belated action by governments, it should provide little comfort.

Every decision – every oil drilling lease, every acre of the Amazon rainforest torched for livestock pasture, every new gas-guzzling SUV that rolls onto the road – will decide how far we tumble down the hill.

The action is far too slow at the moment.Free Global Warming Ecology photo and picture

Playing down the potential worst effects of global heating and climate breakdown is nothing less than climate appeasement.

It does nothing to help spur the urgent action that is required, and by underplaying the climate threat, works – intentionally or not – to encourage a grudging and cautionary approach to emissions cuts that we simply can no longer afford.

Make no mistake, this is a war.

All human comments appreciated. All like clicks and abuse chucked in the bin.

Contact: bobdillon33@gmail.com

THE BEADY ASK’S. BACTERIA IS NECESSARY FOR LIFE BUT COULD NEW ANCIENT MICROBES RELEASED BY CLIMATE CHANGE END IT.

09 Wednesday Aug 2023

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( Four minute read)

Humans coevolved with their microbial partners and parasites for hundreds of thousands of years.

No matter how hard you try getting rid of bacteria is a futile task.  Bacteria is in the air we breath.

Here are few that live in you, on you, with exotic names, to terrify you.

Salmonella is a very common bacteria so common that you may not realize that it actually lives in your intestines.

 E.coli  like Salmonella, that is perfectly healthy and safe when it lives in your intestines, but can be harmful.

Campylobacter bacteria, are very common and are found in the organs and muscles of many livestock animals, birds and are also present in soils.

Pseudomonas is a very common family of bacteria and is found all over the world. Found in soil, water, on plants and healthy people often have Pseudomonas bacteria living on their skin, in their hair and in places like their armpits.

Micrococcus is a very common genus of bacteria that has many different species. These bacteria are found all around us, including in the dust we find in our carpets and on our furniture in our homes.

Staphylococcus aureus or S.aureus an opportunistic bacteria, is found on our skin, in our nose, armpit, groin and other warm parts of your body  is a bacteria that lives, with little to no impact on our health, in our noses and throats. It lives within our lungs and on our mucous membranes.

Bacillus bacteria are a group of bacteria that are found commonly in the environment but can cause illness in humans.

Clostridium perfringens another common bacteria that is found in the environment and in the intestines of many animals is  This bacteria is found all around us and in most cases is harmless.

There you have it, a few bacteria’s that usually live peacefully with us, day today. However, when the conditions are right, they can make our lives miserable and uncomfortable.

If we ignore them, we are looking at our lives through a keyhole.

They guide the construction of our bodies, releasing molecules and signals that steer the growth of our organs. They educate our immune system, teaching it to tell friend from foe. They affect the development of the nervous system, and perhaps even influence our behaviour. They contribute to our lives in profound and wide-ranging ways; no corner of our biology is untouched.

In 2019, 7.7 million deaths around the world were found to be linked to bacterial infections. That equals 1 in 8 of all global deaths. It makes bacterial infections the second largest cause of death globally.

Three unknown species have been discovered growing on the ISS, but don’t break out the anti-bac wipes just yet, because there are bacteria that live in solid rock, metabolising radioactive waste, and even some that survive in boiling water.

Imagine if all microbes on the planet suddenly disappeared.

On the upside, infectious diseases would be a thing of the past, and many pest insects would be unable to eke out a living. But that’s where the good news ends because there would be complete societal collapse only within a year or so, linked to catastrophic failure of the food supply chain.

Over the past decade or so, the list of medicines we can use against harmful bacteria has been dwindling. At the same time, other disease-causing organisms – fungi, viruses and parasites – are also developing resistance to the drugs.

Bacteria are when it comes to straight numbers, the biggest population of organisms that exist on Earth. Bacteria can be found almost anywhere on the planet. The total estimate of bacteria that live around us is five million trillion trillion.

Sounds like a bunch of trillions, but the number would look like this: 5,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. An easier way of putting this would be ‘’five with 30 zeros after it’’ or, if you are a strict mathematician: 5 x 10 to the 30th power.

Somebody calculated, taking the average size of bacteria into account how much distance would all the bacteria stacked on top of each other. As it turns out, that long chain of bacteria would extend for a trillion light-years.

Out of all the bacteria that exist around us, less than one percent would, technically speaking, be considered dangerous.

Without a doubt, the stability of the Earth’s system largely depends on the world of bacteria.

There are more than 400 species of bacteria that make up the gut microbiome, helping digest food, ward off harmful pathogens, and synthesize vitamins.

The global antibacterial products market size was valued at USD 27.04 billion in 2020 and is expected to pass 30 billion this year.

We are surrounded by infections.

The release of just 1 per cent of pathogens trapped in the planet’s melting ice could pose a real risk of damage to the Earth’s ecosystems and potentially threaten human health, according to a new study.

As a society, we need to understand the potential risk posed by these ancient microbes so we can prepare for any unintended consequences of their release into the modern world.

COVID-19 is or was a virus not a bacteria.

Extreme weather events have come to dominate the disaster landscape in the 21st century.

To give some context, 689 million people – more than 9% of the world’s population – live on less than $1.90 a day.

The world’s 10 most affected countries are spending up to 59% of their GDP on the effects of violence. 2% reduction in the global impact of violence is roughly equivalent to all overseas development aid in 2019.”

With climate change releasing new ancient microbes the risk is no longer simply a fantasy.

With the state of the planet deteriorating, instead of working together to solve our problems, we spend time blaming, shaming, and attacking others—and the problems only escalate.

The question is how far do we have to go before we ask people in conflict to look beneath their differences to discover their shared needs.

Ajax kill all known clingon’s  but remember we are tethered to the Earth.

All human comments appreciated. All like clicks and abuse chucked in the bin.

Contact: bobdillon33@gmail.com

THE BEADY EYE ASK’S: OUT OF A POPULATION OF ALMOST 340 MILLION IS THIS THE BEST THE USA CAN OFFER ITS PEOPLE FOR THE NEXT PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION – JOE BIDEN OR DONALD TRUMP.

09 Wednesday Aug 2023

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( Eight minute read)

America is a Consumer Nation and its elections are all about money with the true sources of funds becoming increasingly opaque.

With the world’s most powerful military, a huge economy, home to many entrepreneurs it has created many iconic products which are highly sought after around the world.

However it didn’t invent steel, the car, radar, the gas or steam turbine, the television, the ships propeller, the aircraft carrier or even the steam catapult or angled flight deck. They definitely didn’t invent the steam engine, the railway, or the first mechanical computer. They didn’t invent the loom, or even the gun. They didn’t discover Penicillin, build the first successful VTOL aircraft, the first jet airliner, the first jet fighter or even the first jet engine, the hovercraft, the ships propeller, or the Bessemer converter so they could invent steel.. They didn’t invent the aircraft carrier, the battleship, the television (oops I already mentioned that one),and trust me I could add more..

Television – John Logie Baird – Not American

Telephone – Alexander Graham Bell – Not American

Radio – Gugliemo Marconi – Not American

World Wide Web – Tim Berners-Lee – Not American

Cars – Carl Benz – Not American

Penicillin – Alexander Fleming – Not American

Pasturisation – Louis Pasteur – Not American

Jet Engine – Frank Whittle – Not American

Splitting the Atom – Lord Ernest Rutherford – Not American.

Discovery of Radiation – Marie Curie – Not American.

Now we know what they didn’t invent, please tell us what they did.

They did invent.

The USA gave the world some of the greatest programmers, scientists, biologists and physicists.

Tupperware, defibrillator, Video games, the bill of rights, the Kul Klux Klan, motion pictures, light bulbs, advances in agronomy, Norman Borlaug awarded the Nobel Peace Prize for a lifetime of work to feed a hungry world,  the telephone, Microwave ovens, industrial robotics, Washing machine, Television, Hollywood films, Fast food, the integrated circuit, the laser, the PC, the transistor, the Webb telescope,  Calvin and Hobbes – Apple and Facebook.

What is the single greatest American Invention? 
I think the answer is America itself. It keep being re-invented all the time.
 The current contenders contributions.

Biden’s flagship victories.

The approval of a $1.2 trillion infrastructure package, a $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief package,  appointed 41 federal judges, reinstated a national freeze on federal executions, re-joined the international Paris Climate Accord, overturn Trump-era ban on openly transgender members of the U.S. military, reduce the rate of national unemployment, chaotically ended the war in Afghanistan, imposed several sanctions on Russia for its invasion of Ukraine, released 180 million barrels of oil from the country’s Strategic Oil Reserves.

Overall, Biden’s tenure as president has been the proverbial “glass half full, half empty.

Trump’s presidency may be best remembered for its cataclysmic end.  A four-yearlong storm of tweets, rallies and on-air rants that ended in a mob riot and historic second impeachment. Trump didn’t repeal Obamacare — he accidentally bolstered it. Arguably the most consequential decision Trump made involving American workers was something it chose not to do: He declined to implement a so-called “emergency temporary standard” when the coronavirus pandemic hit.

Cannabis is now legal in some form in 36 states, meaning that a majority of Americans have some form of legal access even though the drug remains officially illegal at the federal level.  It’s easier to prosecute financial crimes like money laundering.  On gas emissions, Trump went the opposite direction from the rest of the world, he made it possible to follow the Pentagon’s money. His biggest legislative achievement was arguably the $1.5 trillion tax cut package Republicans pushed through Congress, which he said would super-charge the economy. Rallied the world against China’s 5G dominance, doled out billions in aid to farmers shrinking the food safety net — a lot.

————

Sure, not everyone can run for president. Anyone under the age of 35 is out, as are those born overseas and non-residents of 14 years or more.

It helps to be well-known, popular and to sit on an eye-watering pile of money;

The 2020 presidential election cycle, for example, cost candidates a combined US$5.7 billion ($A8.37 billion), more than the GDP of several small countries. But even with all that considered, the pool of possible surely could not be reduced to the same two candidates as 2020.

So, why then are the odds of Biden and Trump going head-to-head once again so good?

With only ten of the 45 former presidents unable to secure second terms, incumbent presidents generally have a pretty good shot at winning a second term in office..

More than half of American voters do not want Biden to run in 2024, but dissatisfaction with a sitting president isn’t new. For example, 60% of Americans did not want Reagan to run again in 1984, despite him having a relatively high approval rating at the time. No prominent Democrat officeholders appear willing or have enough support from the party or the public to suggest a challenge would be successful.

The reality is, despite being 80 and sometimes appearing frail, Biden is an electable leader. He won the popular vote in 2020 by more than 7 million votes and a 4.5% victory margin.

Trump’s campaign to reclaim office is the first attempt of any former president to regain office after losing in over 130 years.

Almost all the Republican primary challengers are reluctant to openly criticise the former president. They have stood him even amid the two recent criminal indictments, which would ordinarily present a golden opportunity for opponents to give their own campaigns an edge.

The major question facing the party is, if not him, then who? And the party is coming up short with a more compelling answer. But, at this point in the election cycle, despite the wants of the majority of Americans, and no matter how uninspiring – 2024 looks to be 2020 all over again.

The extremes are now feeding off each other, allowing both parties to ignore the voices of the exhausted majority. This is exactly why so many Americans are fed up with Washington.

The truth is there is more that unites as Americans than that which divides us.  Consumerism.

All human comments appreciated. All like clicks and abuse chucked in the bin.

Contact: bobdillon33@gmail.com

THE BEADY EYE ASK’S. WILL CLIMATE CHANGE LEAD TO MORE WARS?

08 Tuesday Aug 2023

Posted by in 2023 the year of disconnection., Arms Trade., Carbon Emissions., Climate Change., Climate refugees., CO2 emissions, Collective stupidity., Fourth Industrial Revolution., Human Collective Stupidity., HUMAN INTELLIGENCE, Human values., Humanity., Israeli-Palestinian conflict, Life., Migrants/Refugees., Militarism., MISINFORMATION., Mr Putin., Natural World Disasters, Northern Ireland., PAIN AND SUFFERING IN LIFE, Palestinian- Israel., Reality., RUSSIA/ UKRAINE/ US/ NATO/ EU, State of the world, Survival., Sustaniability, Telling the truth., The common good., The cost of war., The essence of our humanity., The Obvious., The state of the World., The world to day., THE WORLD YOU LIVE IN., THIS IS THE STATE OF THE WORLD.  , Ukraine/ Russia., Unanswered Questions., VALUES, War., Wars, What Needs to change in the World, Where's the Global Outrage., World Organisations.

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( Six minute read)

It’s one of the most important questions of the 21st century:

You always have a higher potential for violent conflict when the survival conditions of groups of people are threatened.  This is a very basic principle.

Will climate change provide the extra spark that pushes two otherwise peaceful nations into war?

The obvious answer is yes.

You can see this when you look at events that are already happening, like land conflicts due to desertification, or various resource conflicts around the world.

There are currently 27 ongoing conflicts worldwide. A quarter of the entire global population lives in conflict-affected areas. This year, it is estimated that at least 274 million people will need humanitarian assistance. But it’s important to remember that the causal links between climate and conflict are rarely direct.

However there has always been an empirical connection between violence and climate change which has persists across 12,000 years of human history.

We now  live on a planet expecting changes to temperature or rainfall in the coming decades—which will come faster and stronger than the many natural climate changes of the past.

This is the situation the world finds itself in today.

Conflict is on the rise. Millions are displaced. International law is disregarded with impunity, as criminal and terrorist networks profit from the division and violence.

The reasons for the outbreak of conflict range from territorial disputes and regional tensions, to corruption and dwindling resources due to climate change.

Take the Syrian war for example.

Nearly 11 years after it started, the Syrian refugee crisis remains the largest displacement crisis worldwide (13.2 million, including 6.6 million refugees and more than 6 million internally displaced people). At least 2 million people are living in tented camps with limited access to basic services.

Lasting more than 60 years, the conflict in Myanmar (previously called Burma) remains the longest ongoing civil war in the world.

The cost of war is almost unfathomable with conflicts driving 80% of humanitarian needs.

In 2016, the cost of conflict globally stood at an astonishing $14 trillion. That’s enough to end world hunger 42 times over.

For the seventh year in a row, global military spending is increasing, exceeding trillions’ for the first time.

Just imagine what the world could do with that money if conflicts were to end worldwide.

——-

If you’re looking for the causes of climate change, it’s us—the overconsuming, fossil-fuel-burning North and West.

If you want to get serious about climate change, worrying about the small-scale details of conflicts in Africa is missing the point.  It’s us.

Twentieth-century wars were fought over land, religion, and economics. But the wars of the 21st century will be fought over something quite different: climate change, and the shortages of water and food that will come from it with mass migration leading to social disruption and potentially violent conflict.

I think this will become more apparent over the next decade or so. You can see it already in Europe.

I suspect we’re going to see more nativism, more xenophobia, and more talk of building walls on our borders.

If you look deeply at the source of future conflicts, I think you’ll see a basic resource conflict at the bottom of it all.

The thin veneer of civilization.

‘ Overwhelmed by the disaster, people could not see what was to become of them and started losing respect for laws of god and man alike,” Thucydides wrote.

Do we have the institutions, the structures, the systems of cooperation we need to deal with this problem?

I don’t think we have an existing structure of peacekeeping that can hold up under these conditions — or at least I’m not encouraged by what we’ve seen so far.

Can Western democratic society, which is built on a system of limitless growth and productivity, change its destructive relationship with nature?

No, modern liberal democratic societies are successful at improving the lives and freedoms of people who live in them but the problem is that their systems are based on the exploitation of nature and our environment, and we’re sort of trapped in this paradigm.

Climate change is a threat multiplier, which means it amplifies problems already facing the world.

Stressors such as poverty, political instability, and crime are magnified by increased droughts, floods, or heat waves. Of the 25 countries deemed most vulnerable to climate change, 14 are mired in conflict.

The climate crisis is altering the nature and severity of humanitarian crises.

As the world gets hotter, mayhem could spread.

Humanitarian organizations are already struggling to respond and will not be able to meet exponentially growing needs resulting from unmitigated climate change.

I think one of the things that clearly exacerbates matters is when the issues become politicized.

It’s going to take a combination of both personal action and systemic change to combat climate change. One is not a substitute for the other, and doing one without the other won’t solve the issues we face.

How civilized will we remain?

Climate change will be a small hole through which we glimpsed what always lies below the thin crust we lay across the seething magma of nature, including human nature.

Recycle. Fly less. Eat less meat.

These are some of the ways that we’ve been told can slow climate change.

But the inordinate emphasis on individual behaviour is the result of a marketing campaign that has succeeded in placing the responsibility for fixing climate change squarely on the shoulders of individuals.

With immensely powerful vested interests aligned in defence of the fossil fuel status quo, the societal tipping point won’t happen without the active participation of citizens everywhere aiding in the collective push forward.

While humongous industries continue to shirk responsibility, lobbying against change and top-down regulation. Nothing decivilizes more quickly and surely than war.

All human comments appreciated. All like clicks and abuse chucked in the bin.

Contact: bobdillon33@gmail.com

So watch the video, learn the facts, and form your own conclusions.

. https://youtu.be/RnWoFJmqCF8

THE BEADY EYE ASK’S: WILL A QUANTUM COMPUTER SOLVE THE WORLD PROBLEMS?

31 Monday Jul 2023

Posted by in #whatif.com, Quantum computers., State of the world, Sustaniability, Technology v Humanity, The Future, THE WORLD YOU LIVE IN., THIS IS THE STATE OF THE WORLD.  , WHAT IS TRUTH

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( Five minute read)

We have very limited ability at this stage to imagine the applications of quantum computing, but down the road in the near term they could solve countless problems – and create a lot of new ones.

In order to prepare for what is coming.

Educate ourselves on the reality of Quantum Computers, and the impacts they could have around the world is now paramount if we wish to keep the values we place on life.

Soon will come a time when trusting a quantum computer will require a leap of faith.

Every year, new computers are being developed that are faster and smarter than ever before. But if you really want to take things to the next level, you’ve got to go quantum.

This new frontier of humanity could open hitherto unfathomable frontiers in mathematics and science.

Quantum’s industrial uses are boundless.

In the future, we will rely on everywhere in the world having access to quantum technology, but with risks, to national-security migraine. Its problem-solving capacity will soon render all existing cryptography obsolete, jeopardizing communications, financial transactions, and even military defences.

Modern warfare and national–security mechanisms are grounded in the speed and precision of decision making. If your computer is faster than theirs, you win.

The digital devices in our everyday lives – from laptop computers to smartphones – are all based on 0s and 1s: so-called ‘bits’. But quantum computers are based on ‘qubits’ – the quantum 0s and 1s that are altogether stranger, but also more powerful. (So-called quantum particles can be in two places at the same time and also strangely connected even though they are millions of miles apart.)

They will pave the way for systems that can solve complex real world problems that the best computers we have today are incapable of.Entanglement

Currently, computers solve problems in a simple linear way, one calculation at a time.

A quantum computers could do multiple calculations all at the same time, millions of miles apart, mirroring each other’s actions instantaneously, transporting information from one chip to another with a reliability of 99.999993% at record speeds.

——-

Now that we understand what AI is capable of we also need to know its limits.

Before long, much of the material on the internet will have been written, or at least co-written, by AIs.

What will happen when AIs are being trained on texts they have written themselves?

The amount of data consumed in this way keeps going up and up.

What happens when data runs out?

——-

Generative AI is in a Cambrian explosion of capability.

Generative Ai, is now creating art, make music, generate synthetic humans, birth artificial influencers and celebrities, literally generate video from text, and threaten to upend our notions of creativity, art, public domain, copyright, and the nature of reality itself.

This is just the beginning, the ultimate thing for AI to create is more of itself.

When maybe AI is also at the point where it can start writing the code that will make its own AI even better.  And that’s like where the true singularity is … when it can kind of set itself to improve itself, when it can start to improve itself better than what a human can.

It’s impossible to speculate what society could truly look like in such a situation.

But I think in most of our lifetimes we’re going to experience that. Exciting is one word for that.

Another is terrifying.  Machines that can outthink humans. Your brain is the most intelligent learning algorithm in the universe that we know so far. The truth is that for now, AGI remains a fantasy.

Even if AGI is never achieved, the self-teaching approach may still change what sorts of AI are created.

The rapid development of AI that can train itself also raises questions about how well we can control its growth. If AI starts to generate intelligence by itself, there’s no guarantee that it will be human-like.

Whether this will happen, and how it will progress if it does is impossible to know, but there’s no guarantee that humanity as we know it would survive such a time, or that the vast AI entities potentially created by such an explosion would be benevolent to life as we know it.

I think that really where AI can be empowering is in that long tail when there’s like non-consumption with the alternative, where you could not afford to create that content in the first place.

And you can imagine that with like these very obscure topics.

You could even imagine that for news where maybe there’s something that happened in your local neighbourhood where only 20 people want to read that article and then it doesn’t make sense for a human to write it.

Generating artificial intelligence is all ready producing images like a photographer, creating music like an artist, selling like a sales rep, diagnosing disease like a doctor, and (gulp!) writing text like a human.

The technology could potentially also be used to design drugs more quickly by accurately simulating their chemical reactions, a calculation too difficult for current supercomputers. They could also provide even more accurate systems to forecast weather and project the impact of climate change.

Rather than humans teaching machines to think like humans, machines might teach humans new ways of thinking.

All human comments appreciated. All like clicks and abuse chucked in the bin.

Contact: bobdillon33@gmail.com

THE BEADY EYE SAY’S: WHEN IT COMES TO CLIMATE CHANGE THE ENTIRE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY NOW ACCEPT THE PHYSICAL SCIENCE BASIS FOR CLIMATE CHANGE.

29 Saturday Jul 2023

Posted by in Climate Change.

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( Seven minute read)

Scientists have made climate change appear difficult but it’s not difficult to understand.

All living things respond to climate and changes in the climate, even if these changes are subtle and temporary. Our own experience of climate throughout our lifetimes, along with scientific records, also proves that climate change is happening. Weather is simply the set of atmospheric conditions at one location at one limited period of time. Climate, however, involves the average condition of the atmosphere over a long period of time (such as across a few decades or more) at a given location.

At timescales of thousands of years beyond human lifetimes, climate responds to the precession (slow rotation or “wobble”) of Earth’s axis, the planet’s tilt (obliquity), and the changes to the elliptical shape (eccentricity) of Earth’s orbit.

These phenomena interact with one another to determine the amount of sunlight (and thus solar heating) different parts of Earth’s surface receive during different seasons of the year.

Global and regional climates are changing too quickly for many forms of life to adapt and survive.

But this is not the whole story.

There is unequivocal evidence that Earth is warming at an unprecedented rate. Human activity is the principal cause.

Earth’s climate is on a path to warm beyond the range of what has been experienced over the past millions of years.

The range of uncertainty for the warming along the current emissions path is wide enough to encompass massively disruptive consequences to societies and ecosystems: as global temperatures rise, there is a real risk, however small, that one or more critical parts of the Earth’s climate system will experience abrupt, unpredictable and potentially irreversible changes. Disturbingly, scientists do not know how much warming is required to trigger such changes to the climate system.

When people are confronted with a difficult problem, they tend to disengage. In addition to that, beginning in the mid-eighties, Big Oil began a concerted campaign to sow doubt in the public’s mind; is the climate really changing, or is this just more variations in the weather?

The current warming is happening at a rate not seen in the past 10,000 years. It is undeniable that human activities have produced the atmospheric gases that have trapped more of the Sun’s energy in the Earth system. This extra energy has warmed the atmosphere, ocean, and land, and widespread and rapid changes in the atmosphere, ocean, cryosphere, and biosphere have occurred.

Most of the warming occurred in the past 40 years, with the seven most recent years being the warmest. The years 2016 and 2020 are tied for the warmest year on record.

This is why our planet is in trouble.

Why are our leaders, in government and industry, not telling us the truth about climate change?

The answer is simple:

Because they can’t. What is happening to the climate is bad news, and bad news does not get votes, or increase profits.

There is no need to inflate the magnitude of what is happening. It is time for us all to face the “cruel truth” that has been overlooked for too long.

The reality is confronting enough. If humans put too much carbon back in the atmosphere, there’s only one thing that can happen. The Earth will get hotter, maybe too hot.

It is not possible for modern man to combust fossil fuels, put the carbon back in the atmosphere, and still expect the current lifestyle to continue.

In order to counteract climate misinformation.

1200 'Scientists' Claim That Climate Change Is Not Real. Here's The Truth

The list of records broken is itself unprecedented.

200 million people in the world, more than three times the UK population, will live below the tideline by the end of this century if levels continue to rise.

In the Hollywood blockbuster ‘The Day After Tomorrow’, ocean currents around the world stop as a result of global warming, triggering a new Ice Age on Earth. That may have been science fiction but scientists say the terrifying prophecy could soon become a reality.

The heat in the northern Atlantic Ocean has now pushed beyond what climate models predicted. The Atlantic Ocean current which drives the Gulf Stream could collapse at ‘any time’ from 2025 thanks to climate change.

A study published this week gives a further insight into what this might mean.

It suggests the climate system known as the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation could shut down faster than previously thought – by about 2050, or possibly as soon as this decade – if emissions are not cut soon. The risk of an earlier ocean circulation breakdown has increased, with potentially disastrous and rapid ramifications for temperatures, rainfall and sea level rise. Similarly, the amount of sea ice around Antarctica continues to be far below previous record lows.

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation last collapsed 12,000 years ago.

The Gulf Stream system could collapse as soon as 2025, the impact would be devastating. Such a scenario is ’95 per cent certain.

This is not actually worse than we expected. It is the brutal reality of what scientists told us would happen.

Heat waves kill more people than fires, floods and cyclones. A study found extreme heat killed more than 61,000 in Europe alone last year.

Imagine the headlines if we knew about that in real time.

Human emissions are permanently adding the equivalent of an El Niño to the global system every five to 10 years.

The good news from scientists is that rapid action can still make a significant difference and limit future damage.

It would mean ruling a line under new fossil fuel developments where there are alternatives – that is, virtually all of them – and taking a war-footing approach that genuinely prioritised accelerating the transition that every major scientific body and government agrees is necessary.

It wouldn’t mean pretending the gas industry is a climate solution, or that nuclear energy is a serious climate solution. Nor is carbon capture and storage on track to be more than a niche technology, and paying for carbon offsets can’t justify fossil fuel use.

It would mean leaders acting as though they could persuade the public of what’s required, rather than living in fear of how they might respond.

Polls suggest a majority in many countries are open to action. Now’s our chance.

Alternatively, politicians could continue not delivering on the commitments made in Paris eight years ago and wait for another month as devastating as July 2023 before doing more. One thing we can say with confidence: It is likely to come around soon enough.

America’s Independence Day was celebrated on July 4th. That is the same day the Earth’s temperature was hotter than it has been at any time in history.Sea ice melts from white into turquoise pools off Baffin Island, Nunavut, Canada. Between 1979 and ...

I don’t think it’s going to be anything that we can do as man to influence that to any great degree.

But I will tell you, again, looking at the past 4,000 or 5,000 years of human history, there’s a strong correlation between the rise and fall of temperature and the rise and fall of civilizations. And it’s just opposite of what we’re being told.

Going forward, who are you going to believe?

One only has to look at both major parties in the UK, currently diluting their plans to combat the climate crisis.

It’s hard to believe (due to politicians chopping and changing of their views and actions) that a new oil field ( Rosebank) where operation emission alone (not counting any emissions from burning the oil and gas it is likely to produce) – are likely to reach 5.6m tonnes of carbon dioxide, driving a coach and horses through any climate commitments.

Are there really people at the top of either of the main parties calling for abandonment of green policies.

You can bet your nannie that there are.

It is not my role to tell people what they should do or must believe about the rising threat of climate change but the consequences will devastate economies, infrastructure and political stability. We face risks of abrupt, unpredictable and potentially irreversible changes, and responding now will lower the risk and cost of taking action.

The verbal is over.

Its time to pour trillions/ trillions into providing non repayable grants before the lights go out.

( See previous posts. Placing 0.05% World Aid commission on all activities that are not sustainable )

All human comments appreciated. All like clicks and abuse chucked in the bin)

Contact: bobdillon33@gmail.com

THE BEADY EYE SAY’S. YOU MIGHT NOT BE BLAMED TO WONDER (WITH THE STATE OF THE WORLD) WHAT IS THE WEBB TELESCOPE GOING TO DO FOR US BACK HERE ON EARTH.

28 Friday Jul 2023

Posted by in James Webb Telescope

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( Ten minute read) 

The name Earth is a Germanic word, which simply means “the ground”

It’s formation remains a strange, scientific mystery, the third planet from the Sun, and the only place we know of so far that’s inhabited by living things.

Our planet began as part of a cloud of dust and gas.

But Earth did not always exist within this expansive universe, and it was not always a hospitable haven for life.Artist illustration of the James Webb Space Telescope

To answer this question one has only has to look at what the Webb telescope is showing us.

Looking back through billions of years of the history of the universe to the creation of stars it is not just showing us where we are, but what can be achieved when we corporate with each other.

The lifetime cost to NASA will be approximately $10.8 billion.

The European Space Agency provided the Ariane 5 launch vehicle and two of the four science instruments for an estimated cost of €700 million. The Canadian Space Agency contributed sensors and scientific instrumentation, which cost approximately CA$200 million.

This places the James Webb Space Telescope among the most expensive scientific platforms in history. The telescope was not always planned to be a megaproject. It was originally estimated to cost $4.96 billion and launch in 2014.

To quantify this, the United States government will spend, in total, approximately $101 trillion.

The James Webb Space Telescope accounts for a mere 0.0095% of all U.S. spending during its building  — the equivalent of setting aside a single penny out of a 100 dollars to answer fundamental questions about our cosmos.

The dollars and cents it took to create this technological marvel will look paltry compared to the priceless insights it provides into our cosmos.

The James Webb Space Telescope is not in orbit around the Earth, like the Hubble Space Telescope is – it actually orbits the Sun, 1.5 million kilometres (1 million miles) away from the Earth. The telescope itself operates at about 225 degrees below zero Celsius (minus 370 Fahrenheit). The temperature difference between the hot and cold sides of the telescope is huge – you could almost boil water on the hot side, and freeze nitrogen on the cold side!  It is actually similar in size to the Moon’s orbit around the Earth!

This orbit (which takes Webb about 6 months to complete once) keeps the telescope out of the shadows of both the Earth and Moon. Unlike Hubble, which goes in and out of Earth shadow every 90 minutes, Webb has an unimpeded view that allows science operations 24/7.

We have continuous communications with it as the Earth rotates through the Deep Space Network (DSN), using three large antennas on the ground located in Australia, Spain and California. Webb uplinks command sequences and downlinks data up to twice per day, through the DSN. It uploads a full week’s worth of commands at a time, and makes updates daily as needed.

Webb will study every phase in the history of our universe, ranging from the first luminous glows after the big bang, to the formation of solar systems capable of supporting life on planets like Earth, to the evolution of our own solar system.

To be able to send and receive data over such a distance is mind boggling.  In order to carry out its mission, several innovative and powerful new technologies ranging from optics to detectors to thermal control systems have been developed. It has six major subsystems:

  • Electrical Power Subsystem
  • Attitude Control Subsystem
  • Communication Subsystem
  • Command and Data Handling Subsystem
  • Propulsion Subsystem
  • Thermal Control Subsystem

The first step toward understanding how AI can contribute to this area of science and knowledge is, once again, drawing a comparison between an AI and a human. There is a lot of uncertainty that comes with adopting such high-end technologies, but one thing is for sure:

It raises the question: Is Artificial Intelligence The New Guardian Of The Galaxy?

Should we be spending vast amounts on the exploration of the Universe where none of us will ever go or understand, without Quantum computers.

Why?

Because, Quantum computers are expected to be powerful enough to break modern-day ‘unbreakable’ encryption, accelerate medicine discover, re-shape how the global economy transports goods, explore the stars, and pretty much revolutionise anything involving massive number crunching.

The problem is, quantum computers are immensely difficult to make, and maybe even more difficult to run but God help us if we are relying on the human brain to function, as so far it appears to be designed for self destroying the earth never mind the universe.   

———-

Artificial intelligences are promising in future societies, and neural networks are typical technologies with the advantages such as self-organization, self-learning, parallel distributed computing, and fault tolerance, but their size and power consumption are large. It’ll take some time before we entirely replace AI accelerators with something that resembles a brain.

Yet experiential attempts have already begun to replace classical computing as we know it.

Don’t worry as we’re only scratching the surface of AI’s uses today, and to unlock those deeper, more impactful uses there’s a whole new type of chip in the works, a neuromorphic computer/chip is any device that uses physical artificial neurons to do computations.

What is an Neuromorphic chip/ computer?

The answers in the name, neuro, meaning related to the nervous system. A neuromorphic computer aims to imitate the greatest computer, and most complex creation, ever known to man: The brain.

If a neuromorphic processor were to be developed and implemented in a GPU, the amount of processing power would surpass any of the existing products with just a fraction of the energy.

Neuromorphic computing is an approach to computing that is inspired by the structure and function of the human brain.

The goal of neuromorphic computing ( According to Wikipedia) is not to perfectly mimic the brain and all of its functions, but instead to extract what is known of its structure and operations to be used in a practical computing system. No neuromorphic system will claim nor attempt to reproduce every element of neurons and synapses, but all adhere to the idea that computation is highly distributed throughout a series of small computing elements analogous to a neuron.

Neuromorphic computers are not currently being used in real-world applications but it won’t be long before neuromorphic algorithmic, offer tremendous potential for computing beyond Moore’s law.

There’s more immediate potential for the future of computing in artificial intelligence, it really is a massive and life-changing development for many, and I’m not just talking about that clever-sounding, slightly-too-argumentative chatbot in your browser.

This is the world’s first hybrid chip where neuron elements and synapse devices of different functional semiconductors are integrated.

Neuromorphic computers are well poised to become the artificial intelligence accelerators and co-processors in personal computing devices such as smart phones, laptops and desktops. They will begin to emerge in these technologies in the future, first probably in the edge computing space as specialized processors and later in future heterogeneous computers.

As the Ukrain/ Russian war is the laboratory for drone warfare the Webb is the laboratory of Ai 

All human comments appreciated. All like clicks and abuse chucked in the bin.

Contact: bobdillon33@gmail.com 

THE BEADY EYE ASK’S. WHAT IS THE FUTURE OF NATO ?

25 Tuesday Jul 2023

Posted by in Nato, Uncategorized

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( Five minute read)

At NATO’s founding on April 4, 1949, President Harry S. Truman described the creation of the Atlantic Alliance as a neighbourly act taken by countries deeply conscious of their shared heritage as democracies that had come together determined to defend their common values and interests from those who threatened them.

After years of fighting disastrous wars, whether in Afghanistan, Iraq or Libya, NATO can now forget about them – whatever the enduring human disasters they leave behind.

Today, NATO has thirty members, including ten countries that used to be members of the Warsaw Pact or were part of the Soviet Union and continues to grow.

Only once in its seventy-one-year history, in the aftermath of the terror attacks of September 11, 2001, has the alliance needed to invoke the mutual defence obligation.

After Russia began its aggression in Ukraine in February 2014, few (including Russian President Vladimir Putin) would have expected NATO to move so quickly from crisis management to a fundamentally new defence posture. But the alliance has done just that, and it took less than six months to get there.

So what exactly will be decided that is so earth-shattering?

It is the biggest strategic shift in NATO’s posture in a quarter century,

NATO is entering a new phase in its history with its reputation now so bound up with the fate of Ukraine that, in the unlikely event that Russia makes substantial military gains in the conflict, Kyiv cannot be allowed to lose. NATO’s future will be rendered hopelessly irrelevant if it loses, as it well might, the fight against the Taliban in Afghanistan.

With the United States now paying for almost 75 percent of its cost, things may look rosy for NATO today, but climate breakdown, not wars, are the biggest threat to global security. The war in the Ukrain is very widely seen as a massive diversion from this much more significant challenge. Spending billions on the military may make for high profitability but is entirely missing the point when it comes to the greatest security challenge facing the entire world. Military alliances like NATO won’t solve our greatest security threat – THE CLIMATE

To make matters even more rosy, military budgets are rising, lots of new weapons are being developed and existing ones produced in huge numbers. Both will lead to more sales for the armourers as countries across the world rush to buy new kit, even if their armed forces have no connection with the war in Ukraine.

Ukraine’s defence minister, Oleksii Resnikov, put it more bluntly: “Our Western allies can actually see if their weapons work, how efficiently they work and if they need to be upgraded. For the military industry of the world, you can’t invent a better testing ground.”

Questioning the need for NATO and America’s role in it isn’t new.  

NATO has been an alliance dedicated to military protection for well over 70 years, but it is a military alliance is unsuited to meeting the world’s greatest security challenge: Climate breakdown. NATO will have to change in order to keep going, that might just lead to a badly needed change in NATOs priorities.

In other words, a continued existence of NATO is essential not only because it allows the US to expand its influence worldwide, but also because NATO is the umbilical cord that militarily connects the US with Europe, keeping the latter dependent on the former. By ensuing a continuing relevance of NATO in the present geo-political context, the US hopes to maintain its own relevance for Europe.

Put it another way, whether in Ukrain or Kosovo or Afghanistan, NATO serves chiefly to camouflage and thereby legitimate what is substantively a unilateral action by the United States.

To my mind the American idea that NATO reinvent itself as the security core of a global club of democracies against China at present, owes more to wishful than to strategic thinking.

Underlying this is the increasingly dominant view that global climate breakdown and the many consequences of that evolving catastrophe, especially for poorer people, are a far greater challenge than the war in Ukraine.

Let me state the obvious:   You don’t have to be a military general to know that climate change is going to bring wars.

The Climate Clock countdown that tracks the deadline to stay below 1.5°C of global warming will flip from 6 years 0 days 00:00:00 to 5 years 364 days 23:59:59 for the first time in history on Saturday 22 July 2023.

Europe must guarantee its security all by itself.

All human comment appreciated. All like clicks and abuse chucked in the bin.

Contact: bobdilllon33@gmail.com

THE BEADY EYE SAY’S: Humans have extracted/ pumped and moved so much of the earths material, (sand rock, oil/groundwater etc) that it’s actually caused the planet’s axis to shift.

24 Monday Jul 2023

Posted by in #whatif.com, Climate Change.

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( Three minute read)

We’ve long laid a heavy hand on the planet’s ecosystems, and perhaps now it is time to wield that hand more deliberately and creatively.

The influence of human activity on the Earth’s ecosystems has become so extreme that it now seems to be the central driver of environmental change but is there another contributing reason.

Our planet is constantly trying to balance the flow of energy in and out of Earth’s system. But human activities are throwing that off balance, causing our planet to warm in response.

The Earth’s rotational pole normally changes and wanders by about several meters each year.

Without better management, an estimated 42% to 79% of all watersheds that pump groundwater may no longer be able to maintain healthy ecosystems by 2050. This rate of change has frightening implications for the future.

Below the Earth’s surface lies over a thousand times more water than all the rivers and lakes in the world.

We’ve been extracting so much groundwater that it caused the Earth’s rotational pole to drift by 64.16 degrees east at about 4.36 centimetres per year from 1993 to 2010.

On top of this we have extracted trillions and trillions of litres of oil, moved trillions of tons of sand/rocks, put trillions of tons of concrete on the surface, changing the landscape and its weight distribution for several thousands of years. Resulting in the rotation of the earth on its axis changing, not just in speed but in it’s tilth angle, effecting the Jet stream, the direction of ocean currents, the length of day and night.

Perhaps it is one of the reasons that the climate is changing.

Extracting it unsustainably.

Glaciers are disappearing, melting faster than they can be replenished, like this glacier located in Greenland. Melting is happening faster in Greenland and the rest of the Arctic, which is warming faster than anywhere else on Earth.

It is not possible to predict with any certainty what the coming decades might look like for Earth’s energy budget.

Groundwater is used for about 40% of global irrigation and provides almost half of all drinking water.

To put it simply, groundwater depletion contributes to sea level rise because water is being transferred from the continents to the oceans. This is significant because each millimetre rise in sea level is said to make the shoreline retreat an average of 1.5 meters.

If Earth’s rotation does keep accelerating?

The Earth has rotational kinetic energy associated with going spinning around its axis once a day.

Rotational kinetic energy depends on:

  • How fast the object is spinning (faster spinning means more energy).
  • How much mass the spinning object has (more massive means more energy).

How is the planet going to handle that?  No one knows.

Maybe there will be chaos across the tech industry, or maybe we won’t even notice, as time will be flying by.

All human comments appreciated. All like clicks and abuse chucked in the bin.

Contact: bobdillon33@gmail.com