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THE BEADY ASKS. JUST HOW CLEVER DO YOU THINK THE HUMAN RACE IS?

12 Friday Feb 2021

Posted by bobdillon33@gmail.com in #whatif.com, 2021. The year for change., Algorithms., Artificial Intelligence., Civilization., Climate Change Summit Scotland 2021, COVID-19, Dehumanization., Digital age., DIGITAL DICTATORSHIP., Disconnection., Fourth Industrial Revolution., Human Collective Stupidity., HUMAN INTELLIGENCE, Human values., Humanity., Imagination., Life., Pandemic, Post-Covid-19, Reality., Renewable Energy., Technology, Technology v Humanity, The essence of our humanity., The state of the World., The world to day., THE WORLD YOU LIVE IN., THIS IS THE STATE OF THE WORLD.  , Truth, Unanswered Questions., VALUES, We can leave a legacy worthwhile., WHAT IS TRUTH, What Needs to change in the World, Where's the Global Outrage.

≈ Comments Off on THE BEADY ASKS. JUST HOW CLEVER DO YOU THINK THE HUMAN RACE IS?

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Algorithms., Artificial Intelligence., Capitalism vs. the Climate., Environment, Global warming, Our collective stupidity., Our Common Values., Our future., Our world problems, Technology, The essence of our humanity., The Future of Mankind, Visions of the future.

 

 

(Twenty to Thirty-minute read)

Do not read this if you are depressed or are easily depressed.

If you do read it try not to click the moron like button, but comment.  

We, humans, believe that we are the most intelligent beings on the planet. 

We believed that are superior to the animals due to our exclusive ability to reason.

In simple terms, this comes about when we select only the ‘survivors’ – those that outperformed the rest, whether people, machines, or companies – and come to conclusions based on their attributes, without looking more broadly at the whole dataset, including those with similar characteristics that failed to perform as well.

Our collective ingenuity has got us into the mess of Climate Change and now a Pandemic that is not just killing us but shining a light on our collective stupidity.

The Earth’s carrying capacity could absorb our endless acts of stupidity. 

So to answer this question one could go back over the history of humanity and pick out numerous examples since man emerged from his cave.

From the Nuclear bomb to stepping on the moon. From Michelangelo to Albert Enstine. From the Stone age to the Tec age we have put greed and power before looking after what we had in the first place – Earth. 

                                       ————————

As there is no escaping our interconnected world in this post I want to address the origins of Planetary realism when it comes to that interconnection.

Why?

Because we are now engaged in two possible futures for the world, the worst or the best. 

Are we going to continue shooting ourselves in the foot?

or  

Are we going to recognize that Human DNA is too similar to split us into subspecies or races of stupidity?  

Can we act like one? 

I firmly believe we know enough to solve our problems, I just doubt we have the collective will to work together to get the job done. We should be much better than our collective selves.

We have to start accepting our common vulnerability and therefore our common interest instead of just National Interests which is paramount to decisions that have to be on a global scale.    

When the stakes are high, we want those making decisions – whether they be machines or human, to be correct, trustworthy, and responsible.

However, now we are handing these decisions more and more to machine learning algorithms and neural nets. 

We implicitly grant artificial intelligence a degree of agency that not only overstates its true abilities but robs us of our own autonomy... It is always humans who choose whether or not to abdicate this authority, to empower some piece of technology to intervene on our behalf. It would be a mistake to presume that this transfer of authority involves a simultaneous absolution of responsibility. It does not.

Perhaps technology can be correct. But can it be trustworthy and responsible?

While it’s hard to judge even if another person is trustworthy or responsible, it may be even harder to judge something that thinks in such radically different ways as humans.

We once viewed ourselves as the only creature with emotions, morality, culture, which is not true, they can be found in the animal kingdom. 

Confucius:

“Real knowledge is to know the extent of one’s ignorance.”

This is to say that intelligence is the ability to recognize our weaknesses and one of our greatest weaknesses is the impenetrable barrier now being created right in front of our eyes between Artificial Intelligence and Capitalist Greed. 

If we measure the IQ of AI it would be against its capabilities of reasoning and its problem-solving ability and nothing else.

Rational thinking and intelligence don’t tend to go hand in hand. 

This measurement doesn’t measure curiosity or creativity.

Unlike the robotic world, people desperately believe they’re smart because they desperately want to see themselves as smart and sometimes because they really can’t tell.

Most of us measure our IQ as being five points higher than it actually is.

Thinking AI might work in the same way as a human brain is not only misleading but dangerous.

Up to now AI only takes orders and does not think by itself so there is a massive disconnect from biological networks. They, that is AI lacks some crucial components essential to navigating the real world…. they do recreate something like human intelligence that has the ability to analyze all matters from multiple angles while not or never will be prepared to take on responsible decision making.  

In short, Dunning and Kruger discovered that the less intelligent you are, the more confident you’re likely to be that you know what you’re doing and the more likely you are to be wrong. Being unsure, in this context, is often a mark of intelligence.

Without being curious, an intelligent person won’t ever use their intelligence to learn and form new ideas.

At the same time, a person without curiosity it seems, be less likely to question themselves or the world around them in the first place. As a result, it seems they would also be unlikely to ever use what intelligence they had to learn new things and question their own misperceptions.

But AI is learning to manipulate human behavior, creating more problems for the world. 

Of course, there is just one thing that nags away at the average man or woman in the street in amongst all this academic and government research and analysis, how safe is AI going to be for me – can I trust big business and government to behave ethically? 

It is already exploiting vulnerabilities in ways people make choices. Click like and the AI steer you towards particular actions by filtering your choices. 

WE now have  “behavioral modification empires.”

The purpose of organizations such as Google and Facebook ceased to be building connections, and instead became about adapting your habits and thought patterns in the name of profit.

With so much misguided thought and active disinformation online, it has become difficult for people with insight worth sharing to do so. Behind the anonymity of the web, anyone can claim to be an expert. When everybody is an expert, nobody is.

In other words, the AI learns how people make choices.

Broad, anonymous social networks breed collective stupidity.

This has enormous ramifications for the future as AI could be used to steer people away from stupid choices or to make them.  

AI can outwit us on the virtual battlefield so let’s not put them in charge of the real thing.

This is already happing with drones that identify, track and kill people without any human intervention. They have no moral capability to decide who lives or who dies, no empathy no compassion. 

However, if a machine can beat us at a game does it make them more intelligent than us?  

Despite the many warning raised not only will we see robots fighting wars they will be planning them too. 

David Dunning and Justin Kruger, “The miscalibration of the incompetent stem from an error about the self, whereas the miscalibration of the highly competent stems from an error about others.”

This goes directly into how people view themselves and their abilities. For instance, most people think they’re above average when that literally cannot be true.

In any leadership role, you’ve got to establish trust.

It’s trusting that the person is going to do things and trusting that they’re telling the truth and being upfront and honest.

But how you go about doing that virtually is a little different – it’s a different skill set.

We have seen that Social media platforms like Facebook and Twitter transform Donald Trump into one of the worst presidents of the USA and a proud country England into a whaling nation of Nigel Farage has beings.

Because of our collective stupidity, social media transformed both into remote winners with lies.

Therefore it is reasonable to say that with the current Coivd-19 Pandemic that hopefully, people are now more likely to be seen based on what they actually do, not based on who they are.

Why?

Because they simply don’t translate into anointing leaders by virtual leadership.

Neither of them got better at the skills, such as reasoning from given data. Indeed smart people are more prone to silly mistakes because of blind spots in how they use logic.

                                       ———————–

Considering the benefits accruing from AI.

Let’s start with how much data we produce globally.  

It’s about 2.5 quintillion bytes of data produced every day in the world. 

Next, if you Googled “how much energy do Google’s servers use?”  

Unsurprisingly, it’s a lot. An estimate in 2017 claimed that the amount of power required to run Google’s servers is 2.26 million megawatts per year – enough to keep 200,000 homes going for the same time. 

Facebook, in contrast, uses a wee bit more than Google, at about 3.43 million megawatts per year. Between them and Google they could power over 20% of the houses in Scotland.

When we come to the internet as a whole, it uses a bit more than 10% of the world’s energy consumption. 

All electricity generation systems have a ‘carbon footprint’, that is, at some points during their construction and operation carbon dioxide (CO2) is emitted.  Then again all electricity generation technologies emit CO2 at some point during their life cycle. None of these technologies is entirely ‘carbon-free’.

While the energy involved in all bitcoin transactions in one year is 77.78 terawatt-hours – equivalent to the entire electrical consumption of Chile.

It’s no wonder that even without co2 emissions have climate change. 

We are going to have to find a way to generate more electricity to power the economies and societies of the future, but in a manner that doesn’t wreck the planet.

There is a saying that “Mad dogs and English men go out in the noonday sun.” 

Did you know the sun produces the equivalent of 38,460 SEPTILLION watts – that’s 3.846 x 1026 watts) PER SECOND.  That’s almost enough to power a Metallica gig.

So you would think that it is a no-brainer that we have solar panels to enable everyone to use this source of energy by giving nonrepayable grants to every home to install them.  To stop Co2 emissions. We have to fit our species into the energy flow of its biosphere.

That is the meaning of life in case you are so stupid still looking for a meaning. 

Instead, we have Paris Climate change conferences promises and the forthcoming Glasgow Zome dribble turning CO2 into a product – for profit.  

Introducing more change to Be-IT

One thing is certain:

The original purpose of the internet has been lost. It set the stage for a technological revolution that could harness human intelligence and advance our shared knowledge.

Its click-baiting algorithms and lack of regulation have brought with them chaos.

As social media came to dominate the landscape, it made using the internet for the purpose of collective intelligence increasingly difficult.

The rise of social media was supposed to bring us closer together but instead, I argue, it has done the opposite.

A system based on generating clicks and interactions has created an environment for the outlandish and bizarre to flourish, with expertise falling by the wayside. With so much content being generated, how can experts possibly stand out from the crowd?

Machines and AI are great, but we have to retain some capacity to think for ourselves. 

No matter how algorithms are retrained they will continue to impact the millions who use them.

The results will be that AI over time, will not categorize people into races on traits it thinks are most important – but into stupid or clever. 

For obvious reasons, this year is different.

The pandemic has, of course, transformed how most workplace in-person teams are now all or partially digital operations in the wake of the pandemic, removing Joe Soap from any say about the Future.

At the moment we have a warlike philosophy – if we continue to develop AI it might not overtake our individual stupidity but our collective stupidity, putting our very existence in danger.

Tech should never be any more than a tool that helps us to bring out the best in humanity. Many of the issues we throw billions at and attempt to solve with technology could be easily achieved if we were able to better utilize our collective intelligence.

All human comments appreciated. All like clicks and abuse chucked in the bin.

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THE BEADY ASK’S: IS GREEN ENERGY REALLY GREEN?

15 Wednesday Jul 2020

Posted by bobdillon33@gmail.com in Green Energy., Renewable Energy., Uncategorized

≈ Comments Off on THE BEADY ASK’S: IS GREEN ENERGY REALLY GREEN?

Tags

Capitalism and Greed, Capitalism vs. the Climate., Global warming, Green Economics., Green Energy., Green infrastructure, Technology, The Future of Mankind, Visions of the future.

 

(Ten-minute read) 

If you thought that governments’ new energy grants are going to solve all our energy woes think again. 

One of the greatest problems with green energy like fossil energy is that it is controlled by the energy giants. The very term Carbon Footprint was introduced by BP.  

If green energy had the ability to produce electricity and placing it in the hands of the people rather than those of oil, gas, coal, and utility companies, we would than see its benefits.

It could also lead to some fundamental changes in the way we consume energy.

Electricity access is essential to people’s lives but cost equals pollution.

We need to start shifting our use of energy to when it is there and available rather than shifting the energy production to match our use.

There is already solar technology that allows the establishment of Solar-powered mini-grids, and it is essentially mini-grids are independent, decentralized electricity networks that can function separately from a national grid.

They can generate electricity for local consumption.

When combined with efficient and environmentally sustainable battery storage, solar mini-grids present a compelling economic case.

By 2050 we will still be getting 75% of our energy from fossil fuels’ – it is

estimated that by 2040, the world’s energy consumption will have increased

by almost 50% so watch this video below and tell me is to days rush to move

to alternative renewable energies, such as biomass, geothermal, tidal or

wave, solar, anaerobic digestion really green?

By then with climate change, the demands for cooling will outstrip the demands for heating.

There can be no doubt that implementing a shift in where we get our energy from is one of the grand challenges facing our planet today.Since commercial oil drilling began, we have sucked over 135 billion tonnes of crude oil to drive our cars, fuel our power stations and heat our homes (Credit: Getty Images)

 
In the two videos below, you will see growing evidence of the non-inclusion of social conscience in the name of renewable energy development, as well as severe environmental damage, with fossil, fuel investment unmasked, exposing the dark side of renewables.

The question is:  Are we all been taken for suckers when we hear that renewable energy is clean, that electric cars will save the world by not contributing to greenhouse gas emissions and climate change.

How to quantify the overall environmental impact of energy technologies has actually been a subject of the academic literature for some time.

Engineers use a process called life cycle assessment to count up all of the interactions between a complete energy system and the environment.

For example, life cycle assessments of electricity generation typically consider power plant raw materials extraction, plant construction, fuel extraction, fuel processing, fuel delivery, fuel combustion, electricity transmission, and other upstream and downstream processes in order to paint a complete picture of the energy and emissions required to produce and deliver a unit of electricity.

There is no argument that total GHG emissions from natural gas, oil, and coal electricity are far greater than those from any renewable energy technology.

Even if it takes more energy and emissions to build a solar farm than, say, a natural gas power plant, the fact that the solar farm produces zero emissions during operation causes it to be cleaner overall. The same holds for all other forms of renewable energy—and nuclear to.

The facts are out there and they clearly show natural gas, oil, and coal electricity emissions vastly exceed those from renewables and nuclear.

But the question remains.

Every day, our species chews its way through more than a million terajoules of energy.

Humanity’s hunger for energy will reach unprecedented levels.

It is estimated that since commercial oil drilling began in the 1850s, we have sucked up more than 135 billion tonnes of crude oil to drive our cars, fuel our power stations, and heat our homes.

So let’s look at six of the main contenders.  

Biomass – Recently-living natural materials like wood waste, sawdust, and combustible agricultural wastes can be converted into energy with far fewer greenhouse gas emissions than petroleum-based fuel sources. That’s because these materials, known as biomass, contain stored energy from the sun.

Biofuels – Rather than burning biomass to produce energy, sometimes these renewable organic materials are transformed into fuel. Notable examples include ethanol and biodiesel. Biofuels provided 2.7 percent of the world’s fuels for road transport in 2010, and have the potential to meet more than 25 percent of world demand for transportation fuels by 2050.

Hydropower – Also called hydroelectric power, hydropower is generated by the Earth’s water cycle, including evaporation, rainfall, tides, and the force of water running through a dam. Hydropower depends on high precipitation levels to produce significant amounts of energy.

Geothermal energy – Just under the earth’s crust are massive amounts of thermal energy, which originates from both the original formation of the planet and the radioactive decay of minerals. Geothermal energy in the form of hot springs has been used by humans for millennia for bathing, and now it’s being used to generate electricity. In North America alone, there’s enough energy stored underground to produce 10 times as much electricity as coal currently does.

Solar power – The most prevalent type of renewable energy, solar power is typically produced using photovoltaic cells, which capture sunlight and turn it into electricity. Solar energy is also used to heat buildings and water, provide natural lighting, and cook food. Solar technologies have become inexpensive enough to power everything from small hand-held gadgets to entire neighborhoods.

Wind power – Air flow on the earth’s surface can be used to push turbines, with stronger winds producing more energy. High-altitude sites and areas just offshore tend to provide the best conditions for capturing the strongest winds. According to a study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, a network of land-based, 2.5-megawatt wind turbines in rural areas operating at just 20% of their rated capacity could supply 40 times the current worldwide consumption of energy.

Nuclear 

Its problem is the radioactive waste and its disposal. 

These energy resources are renewable, meaning they’re naturally replenished and they utilize energy sources that are readily available however I suppose that there remain three pertinent points when it comes to renewable green energy.

Availability – Cost – Sustainability.  

‘How do I know if green electricity is really green?’

Leaving aside that some renewable energy technologies might produce more overall emissions than fossil fuels because they cost so much if you don’t have control over the type of energy, and its cost it’s equivalent to the pollution with all of us condemned to global warming.  

Take Solar thermals for instance. 

Really good but if it costs twice as much as burning coal the manufacturing cost was all dirty energy to produce clean energy…If you had a solar cell that took two Joules of dirty energy to make it and it only returned one Joule of clean energy in its life—it’s a loss…

Hydropower/Dams 

Have environmental impacts, presenting social sustainability issues.

Wind and solar energy are highly dependent on the weather – and the time of day. 

Fossil fuels have one major advantage over renewable energy sources – they are very easy to store and transport. Green energy requires the energy to be transmitting over long distances and currently, there is no easy way to store the electricity produced by wind or solar energy for appreciable periods of time.

Battery technology is not yet good enough to efficiently store large amounts of energy. This is an area that is really ripe for innovation and we are really only at the start of deploying and testing potential solutions.

The supply must match the demand.

So we have a quandary, do we continue to develop super grids like large-scale wind and solar power stations in the Mongolian Gobi desert or the Sahara, in the sea, or on land not suitable for agriculture or establish Solar-powered mini-grids with power-sharing deals. 

One of the biggest challenges is how to transport electricity to people where and when it is needed (Credit: Getty Images)

Nearly a quarter of the natural gas consumed in the European Union comes from Russia far from green. 

As new technology is developed it will shift the geopolitics of energy, It will change relationships between not just countries but cities, towns, villages, and apps. 

A major energy transition is underway, creating opportunities while increasing uncertainty and developing the need to ensure sustainability, affordability, inclusiveness, and security.

By many measures, the world is still in the early stages of a deep and profound transformation in energy and industrial and agricultural processes. This transformation will not be easy, for mobilizing meaningful economic change is rarely a simple process that proceeds without opposition. 

So where are we at the moment the vast majority of the country – nae, the world – is dependent on fossil fuels which are contributing to the destruction of the Earth’s atmosphere and ultimately our planet? 

So throughout the course of our lifetimes, we can expect some big changes.

A large amount of responsibility falls to major energy suppliers who rely heavily on policy initiatives to drive deep decarbonization. Thinking more clearly about power and stimulating that broader narrative are the purposes of this post. 

All human comments appreciated. All like clicks and abuse chucked in the bin.

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