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Monthly Archives: February 2024

THE BEADY EYE ASK’S: IF YOU HAD A CHOICE WHAT SORT OF WORLD WOULD YOU LIVE IN?

13 Tuesday Feb 2024

Posted by bobdillon33@gmail.com in 2024 the year of disconnection, Artificial Intelligence., Civilization., Collective stupidity., CULTURES COLLIDE, Disaster Capitalism., Earth, Earth from Space., Environment, Human Collective Stupidity., HUMAN INTELLIGENCE, Human values., Humanity., Our Common Values., Reality., Space Exploration., Sustaniability, Technology v Humanity, The Future, The Obvious., The world to day., THE WORLD YOU LIVE IN., THIS IS THE STATE OF THE WORLD.  , War, Wars, What is shaping our world., WHAT IS TRUTH, What Needs to change in the World, Where's the Global Outrage.

≈ Comments Off on THE BEADY EYE ASK’S: IF YOU HAD A CHOICE WHAT SORT OF WORLD WOULD YOU LIVE IN?

Tags

blog, History., politics, Science, Technology, The Future of Mankind, Visions of the future.

( Five minute read)

On July the 20th this year it will be fifty five years since one of us stood on another planet. Since then only 24 people have seen the whole of Earth. Achived with less computer power that is now in our phone’s.

In those fiftyfive years we have had fifty-five active conflicts. Eight of these 55 conflicts were classified as wars.

This is the world we got.

21st Century
  • Vietnam War (1962 – 1973
  • Persian Gulf War (1991)
  • War in Afghanistan (2001)
  • Operation Pillar of Defence (2012)
  • War in Iraq (2011)
  • 2014 Gaza War (2014)
  • Russian Annexation of Crimea (2014)
  • War in Donbas (2014-present)
  • Yemeni Civil War (2015-present)
  • Turkish coup d’état attempt (2016)
  • 2021 Israel-Palestine crisis (2021)
  • Russian Invasion of Ukraine (2022)

We are truly living in a very unique time in the history of our civilization, facing several simultaneous challenges and converging crises:

Because the world is a cauldron where dozens of cultures, religions and ideologies mix with each other, which always leads to a conflict. We are all born of frailty and error.

A deteriorating environment, a very unequal distribution of dwindling resources, widespread poverty, wars, climate change, oppression of many peoples, and dissatisfaction with life even in those countries with a surplus of material wealth.

What can we do about it?

The answer to such question is certainly not simple, and you will not find it in any textbook.

All these problems and converging crises are systemic.

For the most part these crises we humans have brought upon ourselves over the course of many centuries by our attitudes towards each other and towards Nature, and by the concepts we have developed regarding who we are and the very purpose of our being here — in other words, our worldview.

The 20th century revolution of technologies that permits long distance travel and instant communication across the world has brought all cultures closer together, making us more aware than ever of the many diverse spiritual-cultural traditions that have flourished for millennia as intricate, elaborate meta-solutions to the challenges and opportunities of living in a particular place.

Now we are challenged to integrate the wealth of knowledge and capability that this remarkable period has brought us into a new narrative of interbeing — a synthesis of ancient wisdom of our interconnectedness and interdependence with modern science and technology.

We now have a choice to make!

Either we move into a new phase in the evoloution of consciouness and a new ear of life on planet Earth, or we will witness the unraveling of the web of life and the immature end of our species and much of the community of life along with us. 

The time to make this choice is now!

It starts with a fundamental shift in our dominant worldview. It is time to grow up!

A world with less gravity and more humanity.

Where people get what they deserve rather than deserve what they get.
Where there is a God for everyone and no one God is better than other.
Where an empty stomach is an alien concept.
Where mind is held high and heart is held higher.

Where people are immaterialistic.
Where people think logically, question and reason everything without blindly following anything or be superstitious.

Where people respect each other and not judge others for their actions.
Where one should treat others as one would like others to treat oneself.

History shows us that none of the above is possible without AI augmentation of human intelligence to enshrin values of beauty, agency, and individuality. by benevolent, incorruptible agencies that are beyond human intelligence.

The era of Artificial Intelligence is here. AI has already started.

AI is not a living being that has been primed by billions of years of evolution to participate in the battle for the survival of the fittest, as animals are, and as we are. It is math – code – computers, built by people, owned by people, used by people, controlled by people.

Its true that AI doesn’t have goals of its own, but its influnce on our lives is endangering the very meaning of life and  instead of us embracing a worldview based on facts, it will cause us to lose our ability to focus on the things that threaten us most.

Understanding what “we” want is among the biggest challenges facing AI.

It is very difficult to encode human values in a programming language, but the problem is made more difficult by the fact that we as humanity do not agree on common values, and even parts we do agree on change with time. The question then becomes how do we aligne AI with Human values.

Whose human values?

Ah, that’s where things get tricky.

A major change is coming, over unknown timescales but across every segment of society, and the people playing a part in that transition have a huge responsibility and opportunity to shape it for the best.

So here are some of the questions we should be asking.

What does it mean to you to have artificial intelligence aligned with your own life goals and aspirations?

How can it be aligned with you and everyone else in the world at the same time?

How do we ensure that one person’s version of an ideal AI doesn’t make your life more difficult?

How do we go about agreeing on human values, and how can we ensure that AI understands these values?

If you have a personal AI assistant, how should it be programmed to behave?

If we have AI more involved in things like medicine or policing or education, what should that look like?

What else should we, as a society, be asking?

Globally, humankind must think about the kind of future we want to have.

The recently articulated United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) offer a good starting point, but these goals are merely the preconditions necessary for survival and flourishing, so they are not
enough. A further step is needed to determine our common goals as a civilization, and more
philosophically, the purpose of human existence, and how AI will fit into it.

Generative AI is not hype.

Instead, it acts at a scale so large that it will transform how we interact with technology itself.  It will far outpace what we’ve seen so far today.

AI has been used to help sequence RNA for vaccines and model human speech, technologies that rely on model- and algorithm-based machine learning and increasingly focus on perception, reasoning and generalization.

If we reach a point where AI is able to understand our languages, AI systems would be able to read and understand everything ever written. In the mean time rest assured that we will continue to fight wars against each other, as we have done since day until the end of time, or at least Earth’s time which is in about 5.4 billion years.

All human comments appriciated. All like clicks and abuse chucked in the bin.

Contact: bobdillon33@gmail.com

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THE BEADY EYE SAY’S: WE NOW ENTERING INTO A MORAL DARKNESS IN THE ISRAEL /PALESTINE WAR.

10 Saturday Feb 2024

Posted by bobdillon33@gmail.com in Uncategorized

≈ Comments Off on THE BEADY EYE SAY’S: WE NOW ENTERING INTO A MORAL DARKNESS IN THE ISRAEL /PALESTINE WAR.

Tags

gaza, Israel, news, palestine, politics

(Two minute read)

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has ordered the Israeli army and other officials to submit to the cabinet a plan to evacuate Rafah, Gaza’s southernmost governorate.

International humanitarian law prohibits the forced displacement of civilians except when temporarily required for their security or imperative military reasons.

Forcing the over one million displaced Palestinians in Rafah to again evacuate without a safe place to go would be unlawful and would have catastrophic consequences.

I say that its time that all states that are party to the Genocide Convention now have a legal obligation BEFORE IT TOO LATE.  To take material steps to put an end to Israel’s genocidal acts in the besieged Strip.

If they dont do so we are very likely entering another long and painful era where armed struggle and violent domination become increasingly and mutually dependent on each other for survival. Yet neither can win.

After Hamas’s deadly attacks in Israel and Israel’s hellish bombardment of Gaza is the world going to sit back and watch what remains of Gaza and its people wiped from the face of the earth, endorsing further murderous violence against civilians.

Who gets to count as human?

The real aim of Israel’s lobbying efforts to undermine UNRWA is the liquidation of the Palestinian identity and the right of return of the Palestinian people that the UN agency has come to embody. If the Western states, and especially the United States, continue to bow down to Israel’s genocidal demands they will only add further weight to the accusations that they are complicit in its genocide in Gaza.

What is at stake today is not only the future of millions of Palestinians and the very viability of the Israeli state, but the stability of an entire region, and the future of the rules-based world order.

The Palestinians will remain. They cannot be eliminated. Israel too will continue to exist. The future is full of unnecessary and horrific bloodshed all around.

Terrorist organisations like ISIL and al-Qaeda could not have asked for a better environment to regroup and mount new attacks on the West, as the global majority now views the West solidly as an enabler of the ongoing genocide of an occupied and oppressed Indigenous people.

The international community must first ensure the safety of the Palestinian people.

Given the current gridlock and the total devastation of Gaza, the first step towards ending occupation should be to bring the Palestinian people – who have now been identified by ICJ as a unique “group” – under international protection.

The inclusion of Hamas in any peace process is crucial as no sustainable settlement can be achieved without acknowledging the concerns and expectations of the group that has led Palestinian armed struggle against occupation for many years.

This means the killing must stop, captives on both sides should be released, the siege should end, adequate aid and basic services should reach all Palestinians in Gaza immediately.

The international community must make it clear to Israel that it cannot infringe on the territorial integrity of Gaza by occupying any part of the territory, establishing a so-called “buffer zone” within it or dividing it into smaller settlements.

The international community must unanimously call for an immediate and unconditional cessation of all illegal construction and land-grabbing activities in the West Bank and demand accountability for the violence and aggression perpetrated by Israeli settlers against the Palestinians. World’s nations must insist on Israel decommissioning all the settlers outposts in the West Bank, and obviating any such intentions in the Gaza Strip.

To ensure that the Palestinian people can live freely and with dignity under the governance of their own elected representatives, the international community should officially recognise a Palestinian state based on 1967 borders with East Jerusalem as its capital and commit to ensuring the swift implementation of the UN’s 17 Sustainable Development Goals in post conflict Palestine.

Desperate western attachment to morally bankrupt double standards bears a large portion of the blame.

All human comments appreciated. All like clicks and abuse chucked in the bin.

Contact: bobdillon33@gmail.com

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THE BEADY EYE SAYS: No matter what era we are in — or what new technology comes along — our fundamental beliefs will always be with us. Not True. Algorithms are exploiting the very foundations of everything.

10 Saturday Feb 2024

Posted by bobdillon33@gmail.com in 2024 the year of disconnection

≈ Comments Off on THE BEADY EYE SAYS: No matter what era we are in — or what new technology comes along — our fundamental beliefs will always be with us. Not True. Algorithms are exploiting the very foundations of everything.

Tags

AI, Artificial Intelligence., Climate change, Machine learning., Social Media, Technology, The Future of Mankind, Visions of the future.

( Fifteen minute read)

Put simply, the meaning of life is life itself.

You can write volumes on the state of the world, but one has only to look at the state of the world to see what algorithms are doing.

Algorithms form an increasingly important part of our daily lives, even if we are often unaware of it.

Most of us have no idea what they are — or how we’re being influenced by them.

They have become instrumental in our everyday lives.

Algorithms are making hugely consequential decisions in our society on everything from medicine to transportation to welfare benefits to criminal justice and beyond. Subtly shifting the way our society is operating.

We can see them at work in the world. We know they’re shaping outcomes all around us.

Are we making a mistake by handing over so much decision-making authority to these programs?

This paradox—that the internet is both saviour and executioner of democracy is part of a massive unfolding social experiment.

The proliferation of algorithms is eroding our ability to think and decide for ourselves. They are turning people into products, and they don’t even realize it.

Billions of people around the world are interacting with these technologies, which is why the tiniest changes can have such a gigantic impact on all of humanity.

We will blindly follow them wherever they lead us. There is no one assessing whether or not they are providing a net benefit or cost to society.

WE DON’T HAVE TO CREATE A WORLD IN WHICH MACHINES ARE TELLING US WHAT TO DO OR HOW TO THINK, ALTHOUGH WE MAY VERY WELL END UP IN A WORLD LIKE THAT WHERE ALGORITHMS DECIDE WHO LIVES OR WHO DIES.

How you see the world matters.

————————

 Beliefs are the things we hold true, regardless of whether we have any proof of their objective truth.

You see, in time, beliefs become labels.

We plaster them on our foreheads and use them to justify our action or inaction. That belief will then drive how you behave as you interpret it as being damning or empowering.

We all would be a lot happier if everyone else around us had the same beliefs as we do, or at least, that they would not challenge us on them. Of course, that is impossible, and this is precisely what fuels most of the world’s conflicts.

And here comes the kicker:

You can decide the direction you take. Your beliefs do not control you, so long as you become self-aware and take charge of your life. Or maybe if you assume everything will fall apart, you never get disappointed.

So, herein lies the persistent conflict of our society:

All of us are driven by our life experiences and by merely being human, but the creeping influence of algorithms in our lives are fucking up the world. We’re increasingly moving towards government by algorithm.

Automated systems are being rolled out with little transparency or public debate, and risk exacerbating existing inequalities.

The algorithm takes the biases and prejudices of the real world and ‘bakes them in’, and gives them a veneer that makes it seem like a policy choice is actually neutral and technical. But it isn’t,”

The problem is, both beliefs and values have strong momentum and seem glued to our character.

How do these beliefs played out in real life?

Are we just becoming throwaway survival machines, following our genetic and neurological programming in an indifferent world?

I believe that human life and the world mean much more than that.

There’s beauty everywhere—we have only to open our eyes to see it.

——————–

When it comes to climate change, the science is settled.

When it comes to technology its all together the opposite.

The sobering truth is that both the climate and technology are out of control.

Given the difficulty of getting the human brain or our political system to tackle anything beyond immediate crises, our attempts to rectify what’s wrong are usual puny compared to what’s really needed.

If you listen to our politicians, there is a strong consensus on climate change.

It consists of four parts.

First, carbon emissions are causing significant changes to our climate. Second, we need to take urgent action to reduce those emissions, including reaching net zero by 2050. Third, we have already made good progress in reducing emissions. And fourth, the steps we need to take to reduce emissions further will also bring many positive benefits for society.

We have a pretty clear understanding of the threat climate change poses to us, our children and our grandchildren. We are already being forced to cope with more droughts, more floods, more extreme storms. At the same time, we have in our arsenal effective policies that are difficult for rational people to demagogue as crippling to the economy or as a subversion of our cherished way of life.

So why does climate misinformation continue to spread online and in our media?

Dire warnings of the looming climate disaster may just make people throw up their hands in despair, sink into denial, or dig their heels in deeper against government action.

Instead, we seem to firmly believe that climate solutions inevitably mean more government, higher taxes and less freedom — and thus are threats to all our core values and identity.

———————-

Technology’s benefits are numerous in all fields, however in the system’s that effect our daily lives it is becoming a threat to our core values, through the use of algorithms. Pushing us like a digital slave army to mindlessly, unwittingly and unwillingly livestream our digital existences into the commercial coffers of companies that see us as nothing more than walking dollar signs.

Examples:

Every time you pick up your smartphone, you’re summoning algorithms. At this point, they are responsible for making decisions about pretty much every aspect of our lives.

The right to an explanation of an algorithm-generated decision does little to fix “systemic injustices” Getting an explanation but no democratic say in how systems work is like getting a privacy policy without a ‘do not consent’ button.

Deciding who gets access to welfare. Using automated interviews with a virtual border guard, based on “deception detection algorithm. Using algorithms to model when and where crime will happen — an area known as predictive policing — is on the rise. Using algorithms to come up with a personality assessment. Having your credit rating scored decided by an algorithm based on questionable data.

Grading algorithm does not not relied solely on automated means. Substituting a mathematical approach for human judgment does not automatically make it fair.

Profit seeking algorithms. Market making algorithms. Execution algorithms Scheduled algorithms. Participation algorithms. VWAP and TWAP algorithms are time-slicing algorithms. Liquidity-seeking algorithms (a.k.a. opportunistic algorithms) Arrival price algorithms seek to trade close to market prices.

Recent developments in algorithmic trading include clustering and high-frequency market forecasting  are playing a central role in finance.

The worst-case scenario is that we fail to disrupt the status quo, in which very powerful companies develop and deploy AI in invisible and obscure ways.

We have no right to see all of the data these companies collect about us, no right to get a percentage when they resell our data without our knowledge or informed consent, no right to ask them to stop. We are for all purposes indentured servants, offered free digital room and board in return for paying with our digital souls and our real-world time.

Social media companies have managed only to create a toxic brew of horrific hate speech that they cannot seem to get rid of.

Algorithms really are so powerful that a few lines of code can push us into any behaviour.

The right message targeted at the right time could mass convert the entire population of a country into mindless zombies who would readily convert even their most deeply held beliefs in an instant.

 When it is obvious to all is that the world is changing, responding faster than expected to Technology’s

Why are we being such idiots?

What gives? It’s not that we are stupid or blind our core values are under attack.

If everything is a core value, then nothing is really a priority.

In this age where technology is dominant, core values may seem like something from the past. So core values may not seem like they have a place.

All of this data is used first and foremost to make money from us. 

There is a really frustrating lag between what AI is capable of and what it’s legislated for. 


Core values are the foundational beliefs held by an individual or an organisation.

Anyone can go to Google and search the meaning of core values,. There are another thing on your to-do list that you don’t have time for, but what about the bigger picture?

When you hear about core values, what comes to mind?

Core values make the biggest difference between successful and failure.

There are more than just words on a wall — it’s how you behave. It’s who you are at your core.

Everyone knows their role, what is expected of them, and they are empowered to act in accordance with their core values.

Once upon a time voting or making decisions in alignment with your core values were the foundation of who we are as individuals. Not any longer with Algorithms running social media.

——————–

To look at it simply, culture is just a collection of people. It is the environment created by the cumulative behaviour of the people.

We all have things that we value deeply, whether we realize it or not.

You remember values, don’t you? You know, those moral thoughts and behaviours we used to hold dear, like decency, civility, honesty and respect, as well as caring, optimism, empathy, and tolerance?

They were once a beacon of idealism. Rewarding behaviour based on them, and align all of our decisions with them.

Core values represent the lens which we view the world. They must be embedded in everything we do.

These “alt” credos and codes of behaviour are the trademarks of the incivility we witness on a daily basis, often expressed with rancour and rage. They have become commonplace on television, in social media and in everyday life. Of even more concern is that these new “moral standards” serve as models of behaviour for our impressionable children and youth.

Hold one another accountable for staying aligned with the values—it’s better not to profess any values at all.

———————

Education and knowledge were cornerstones of our achievement.

We are now living in society that at large looks to social media /television and film personalities for political advice.

You must ensure they are accurate, meaningful, relatable and fully operationalized.

If we continue our descent into callousness, selfishness and hostility, we negatively impact and harm the quality of our lives. We could lose sight of our basic human values and diminish the essence of what MAKES THE WORLD BEAUTIFUL.

Achieving a more transparent and less manipulative media may well be the defining political battle of the 21st century.

Just as we are using our formidable intellect and creativity to reduce our carbon footprint, we can similarly mobilize our resources to improve our emotional footprint, or how we treat and affect each other.

Values are the criteria by which individuals judge ideas, objects, people, situations, and actions as good, worthwhile, desirable, wrong, worthless, or undesirable

.Values are individuals’ embedded abstract motivations. They guide individuals to understand, justify, and explain norms, attitudes, and actions. One of the limitations of examining values is that values cannot  be generalized because they vary between a person and another, culture and another, society and another, even a country and another, thus scrutinizing values will be different in the future.

Core values can be only be fostered in Education, not in schools but with compulsory NATIONAL SERVICE.

ALL HUMAN COMMENTS APPRICIATED. ALL LIKE CLICKS AND ABUSE CHUCKED IN THE BIN.

Contact: bobdillon33@gmail.com.

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THE BEADY EYE ASK’S: IS THE USA ITCHING FOR YET ANOTHER WAR?

04 Sunday Feb 2024

Posted by bobdillon33@gmail.com in 2024 the year of disconnection, President of the USA., The USA., Ukraine/Russian war., Unanswered Questions., USA Presidential Election, Wars, What Needs to change in the World, Where's the Global Outrage., World Leaders

≈ Comments Off on THE BEADY EYE ASK’S: IS THE USA ITCHING FOR YET ANOTHER WAR?

Tags

gaza, Israel, middle-east, palestine, Presidential USA Election, The USA., USA under President Trump., War

( Four minute read)

The U.S. is in danger of slow-walking itself into a war with Iran.

ONE WOULD THINK:  THAT AFTER THE RECENT US INVOLVEMENT IN DISASTROUS WARS, THAT IT AND ALL OF US, WOULD LEARN THAT MILARTY DETERRENCES DON’T WORK.

Since Biden refuses to pressure Israel to stop its bombardment of Gaza and accept a ceasefire, he is escalating the US confrontation with the Houthis.

Biden and his administration are practically sleepwalking the US into another war.

In the process, Biden risks entangling the US in another open-ended conflict, which is likely to expand by accident or miscalculation, rather than by design.

Either way, it threatens to prolong the forever war.

With persistent support of Israel, the Biden administration has alienated its allies in the Arab world and is now a heartbeat or an election result away from another war that it will lose.

The Gaza invasion has already spilled into clashes in Lebanon, Iraq, Syria, Yemen and the Red Sea.

They all require serious effort and inevitable trade-offs.

Why

Because it’s nearly impossible to dislodge an Indigenous insurgent movement without a huge commitment of ground troops.

Because today’s U.S. military is not designed to fight wars against two major rivals simultaneously.

This isn’t because the United States is in decline.

It’s because unlike the United States, which needs to be strong in all three of these places, each of its adversaries—China, Russia, and Iran—only has to be strong in its own home region to achieve its objectives.

Because in past conflicts, it was always able to outproduce its opponents. That’s no longer the case:

Because in past conflicts, it could easily outspend adversaries. That’s no longer the case:

All of that pales alongside the human costs that the United States could suffer in a global conflict.

In the event of a Chinese attack on Taiwan, the United States would be hard-pressed to rebuff the attack while keeping up the flow of support to Ukraine and Israel.

——————-

The US administration has multiple options to lean on the Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu.

It could threaten to withhold billions of dollars in military aid, which allow Israel to continue its assault, or it could stop using Washington’s veto power on the UN security council to quash resolutions calling for a ceasefire.

The Houthis are portraying themselves as one of the few forces in the Middle East willing to stand against Israel and its western allies in defence of the Palestinian cause. Aside from the Houthis and Hamas, the alliance also includes several Shia militias in Iraq and Syria, and the powerful Lebanese militant group Hezbollah.

True global leadership at this moment means de-escalation and forging visions for a just future for all.

Without demanding a ceasefire in the immediate future, the putative US/UK commitment’s to peace rings hollow and feels more like it’s been overshadowed by their own and very real addictions to war.,

Any sane person would hear this.

Do most Americans realize how steeped in violence their country is?

A country beholden to its own violence’s is not limited to mass murderers.

How many of us have read the Creed of a United States Marine? “My rifle is my best friend. It is my life. I must master it as I must master my life,” it states, along with “my rifle, without me, is useless. Without my rifle, I am useless.”

Maybe this makes sense as part of military indoctrination but, let’s face it, culturally, we are all expected to buy into this idea, and with interest.

The truth of the matter is that the US make a lot of war.

Military conflicts make up perhaps 93% of its history. Roughly a quarter of the country has lived only in a time of war. And within that history, American weapons are an industry, a mythology and identity simultaneously.

Why do they call armed, military helicopters “Apache” helicopters for goodness’ sake?

When will the US face the fact that it is a country baked in its own violence, much of it racist in intent and effect?  That reflects its own genocidal and racist past. If they were to be honest they would see that this dark heart of violence is not simply a partisan issue but is a much longer and more intimate part of its our own national tragedy.

The double standard with Israel and Palestine leaves us in moral darkness.
Every one of us must stand up and denounce the killing of every civilian, Israeli or Palestinian or otherwise.
What exactly counts as a provocation?
3 or thousands,
Who gets to count as human?
There’s the nagging hypocrisy of the war in Ukraine.
So many around the world support Ukraine’s resistance to foreign occupation (as they should) but
blithely deny Palestinians any way to resist their occupation.
The only war that matters is the war on Climate Change. It will have no Treaty no Deterrence’s, no
Winners, no End.
All human comments appreciated. All like clicks and abuse chucked in the bin.
Contact: bobdillon33@gmail.com

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THE BEADY EYE ASK’S: WITH OUR WORLD DISINTERGRATING, IS IT NOT TIME TO REPLACE THE UNITED NATIONS?

04 Sunday Feb 2024

Posted by bobdillon33@gmail.com in #whatif.com, 2024 the year of disconnection, United Nations

≈ 1 Comment

Tags

China, India., news, United Nations, USA

( Six minute read)

WORLD, COME TO MY HOME!: 1174-1176 UNITED NATIONS - The flag of the ...

The United Nations is the most powerful international organisation in the world. Founded after World War Two, the UN aims to maintain global peace and security though international cooperation and dialogue.

Although the UN is seen as a bed-rock of the post-War world order, it is regularly criticised for its failings.

There are some who say the world would be better without the UN. Bedevilled by a litany of challenges, including gross underfunding, bloated bureaucracy, disunity, and geopolitical rivalry among the permanent members of the Security Council.

Would it be?

Today, many countries still put their own geo-political objectives ahead of any UN requirements.

This is the main failing of the United Nations.  Western powers, for example, are overrepresented in the five permanent members. Entire regions lack a permanent seat but nevertheless are bound to Security Council resolutions. Today, it lacks strong support in popular culture.

—————–

The United Nations stands at a crossroads.

The need to reform the United Nations is critical.

Political leaders, experts, and civil society agree that the United Nations is lagging behind global change, failing to anticipate emerging risks, and not adequately resolving or mitigating global challenges.

There is no longer any doubt that three primary threats endanger the existence of humanity: Climate change, infectious disease, and nuclear weapons are the core global challenges but disruptive technological, societal, and ecological developments impose new challenges that require new partnerships beyond the current state-centric global architecture.

The age of disinformation and ever-increasing influence of social media has left truth and facts more coloured by predesignated concepts and ideas.

Ideally, the Security Council should be stripped of veto power when a matter relating to any these existential threats is on the agenda.

The greatest challenge confronting the organization—one that has repeatedly rendered it unable to act decisively on critical global issues—is intransigence among the permanent members of the Security Council.

At a time of profound global change and increasing competition over values, treating climate change as simply another environmental problem rather than a crosscutting factor affecting all aspects of human life should have a dedicated UN institution focusing on Climate change not as one problem among many, but as a unique crisis that affects all activities.

————————

UN reform has been on the agenda since the organization was created in 1945.

The Security Council as currently constituted in terms of membership, functions, and powers cannot effectively respond to the myriad crises engulfing the world.

As powerful countries move toward unilateralism, populism, and nationalism at the expense of multilateralism and collective action, a united and forward-looking Security Council capable of effectively driving the wider United Nations to achieve its goals is sine qua non.

——————-

What would actually happen if the United Nations collapsed, or was disbanded?

Realistically, there are two main ways that the United Nations could collapse. There are many ways that the UN might cease to exist but these can be divided into ‘internal’ and ‘external’ causes.

Internal:  Financial collapse, or a major internal scandal, or the UN deciding voluntarily to disband itself.

External: National governments collectively deciding to dispend the UN, some major, or many minor countries deciding to leave or countries withdrawing funding. Data governance at the global level lags well behind technological developments.

The collapse of the UN would also remove a key arena for global dialogue and could be followed by a potential re-alignment of the world order as there would no longer be a forum for dialogue between nations and its conceivable with a vacuum in international law many conflicts could reignite.

The first thing that would happen if the UN collapsed is that funding to the UN’s international programmes would stop.

It is likely that it would be replaced with another inter-governmental organisation.

The pre-curser to the UN was the League of Nations, disbanded in 1946.

Historians generally agree the League of Nations failed for five main reasons. These are:

  • It failed to encompass all countries, with major powers such as the United States not joining. Many countries also left the League of Nations or only joined for a short-time.
  • Countries put their own geo-political objectives ahead of the League of Nations requirement for collective security.
  • The League of Nations did not have its own army, and so relied on member states to use military force. Many were not willing to as their populations did not support another war.
  • Disarmament was a major aim of the League of Nations, meaning countries were encouraged to reduce military spending. This meant intervening militarily against countries that went against the League was made more difficult.
  • The League had no power to stop countries taking aggressive action. When countries such as Germany or Japan began attacking their neighbours, the League was powerless to stop them.

——————-

Let’s take each one and see if the modern United Nations could fail for the same reasons?

It currently supports the global order. All major nations, especially those included in the Security Council, have a vested interest in retaining the United Nations as it helps them maintain power.

Another reason why the United Nations is unlikely to collapse is that, although there are many legitimate criticisms of the UN, any organisation that were to replace it would unlikely be more successful.

This is because any global forum of nations requires a degree of flexibility and pragmatism in order to incorporate all countries. Although this means the UN’s power to affect change is limited, a more controlling inter-governmental organisation would see nations leaving when decisions went against them.

———————–

Today, everyone seems to have problems with multilateralism, which is eroding the authority of global institutions.

More than ever the world needs collective action.

Working out how to bring the United Nations closer to “we the people” and remaining relevant for future generations should drive the organization as it enters its next phase.

It’s the place where leaders come and give public speeches but that really nothing meaningful gets done.

The Security Council, which is responsible for maintaining international peace and security, has often been paralyzed by the veto power of its five permanent members – the United States, China, Russia, France, and the United Kingdom. This has made it difficult for the Security Council to take decisive action in conflicts such as the Syrian civil war, the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and more recently in the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

It is unable to stop war, it is unable to end famine, it is unable to stop conflicts, it is unable to manage migration, it does not push for global disbarment

Somewhere, the spirit of collectivist has to be regenerated.

The ineffectiveness of the UN are simply a reflection of those dysfunctional characteristics of the international system.

The most important prerequisite for an effective global institution may be a concert of powers.

—————

There is no credible alternative in sight so the UN must be retooled and updated to tackle today’s challenges

Can 193 nations with competing agendas undertake major reforms?  NO!

However we are inching closer to “a great fracture.” Conflicts, coups and chaos are surging. The climate crisis is growing. Divides are deepening between military and economic powers, the richer North and poorer South, East and West. A new Rubicon has been crossed in artificial intelligence.

Can it be reformed?

THIS CAN ONLY BE ACHIVED IF THE UN IS BROKEN UP INTO A MORE TARGETED ORGANISATION.

By creating an international antivirus consortium, protecting biodiversity, and strengthening warning protocols within UN agencies.

We cannot inch towards agreement while the world races towards a precipice.

It must and we all must unite behind a common purpose, or we all be speaking to an empty room.

All human comments appreciated. All like clicks and abuse chucked in the bin.

Contact: bobdillon33@gmail.com

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THE BEADY EYE ASK’S: ARE WE GOING TO ALLOW THE ISRAELIANS TO BULLDOZE THE GASA STRIP INTO THE MEDITERRANEAN?

01 Thursday Feb 2024

Posted by bobdillon33@gmail.com in #whatif.com, 2024 the year of disconnection, Israel and Palestine, Israeli-Palestinian conflict

≈ Comments Off on THE BEADY EYE ASK’S: ARE WE GOING TO ALLOW THE ISRAELIANS TO BULLDOZE THE GASA STRIP INTO THE MEDITERRANEAN?

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hamas, Israel, news, palestine, politics

( Seven minute read)

Israel’s post 7/10 resort to massive force, dropping an unprecedented total of about 30,000 bombs by mid-December 2023 (equivalent to two Hiroshima-sized nuclear bombs), has so far failed to eradicate the military force established by Hamas amid the torrent of bloodshed, 25,000 Palestinian dead and the 62,000 wounded, and the mass displacement of 1.9 million Palestinian civilians in Gaza (85% of the population), easily exceeding the toll of the ethnic cleansing that accompanied Israel’s establishment in 1948.A woman and child sitting next to a ruined building in Rafah (January 2024)

Hamas’s brutal tactics in its 7 October assault have been washed out of Palestinian political consciousness by the subsequent indiscriminate and mass erasure of Palestinian civilian lives.

A TWO MONTH CEASFIRE WITH EXCHANGE OF ISRAELIANS HOSTAGES/ PALISTIAN PRISONERS WILL NOT BRING AN END TO THE WAR.

Its most likely effect will be to remythologise the notion of resistance and sow the seed for future iterations that may be inspired by Hamas but have no necessary connection to its history, ideology or organisational structure.

The real issue is how to incorporate Hamas and its associated “spirit of resistance” into a new Palestinian authority, rather than how to quash or excise it. Within or associated with such an authority, Hamas could be part of the solution; outside, it would remain both a spoiler and an opposite pole of attraction.

Netanyahu and other Israeli officials have made it clear that they will seek to impose a strict and indefinite Israeli-determined security regime over the Gaza Strip for the foreseeable future.

In other words, to reinstitute what amounts to a long-term occupation.

This, in turn, will not only keep the flame of Hamas alive and galvanise Hamas-inspired resistance but will ensure that Israel’s “right of self-defence” will only produce the very insecurity that Israel and its allies claim to be addressing. Gaza Strip

It took years for the ANC and IRA to be recognised as partners to a resolution.

Hamas rejects Israel’s right to exist and is committed to its destruction, so a two state resolution would create a Palestinian state ( what left of it ) that would exist alongside Israel.

Another words The world’s largest ‘open-air prison.

It takes one hour to drive from its southern point, Rafah, to Beit Hanoon in the north.

Sixteen years of an Israeli land, air and sea blockade has crippled its economy and tightly restricted the movement of its people in and out of the enclave. Gaza residents need special permission to cross into Israel and Egypt. This is usually for urgent medical treatment but is very difficult to obtain.

The enclave has one of the highest unemployment rates in the world at 45 percent. Access to education and medical treatment is also lacking after years of Israeli air strikes on schools and hospitals.

More than 60 percent of Gaza’s people are refugees from what is currently Israel.

More than 750,000 Palestinians were ethnically cleansed from their homes by Israeli militias in 1948 when Israel declared its independence.

YOU TELL ME IF YOU WERE IN THE GAZA WITH YOUR FAMILY WIPED OUT, WITH YOUR COUNTRY REDUCED TO DUST, WOULD YOU TAKE UP ARMES?

There will be no two state as it requires two states to agree one.

And that’s before dealing with the same difficult details  – borders, refugees, security, and the sharing of Jerusalem.

Israel is a very different country to the secular state that was created in 1948 – with far more religious citizens who believe God gave them the land, and who have massive political power. The Palestinians will need to bridge the deep divide between Hamas and Fatah. Because as much as the world might condemn Hamas for the atrocities of October 7 – and much that came before – it’s still there.

All the walls and barber wire (which Israel has now learned) does not and will not bring security.

Any future agreement must make it impossible for either side to inflict the horrors we are now witnessing.

Leaving behind all the religious conations there can only be a one state solution and that is a Federal/Confederation State with a written constitution that protects all its citizens both Jews and Arabs.

To make two states, you would need to create a new state of Palestine. And to do that, you would need to agree where its borders would be.

The steady and systematic expansion of settlements [is] moving Israel in the wrong direction.

The prospect of a two-state solution has become even more remote, with Mr Netanyahu naming settler activist Itamar Ben-Gvir — a convicted criminal, with a rap sheet that includes inciting racism and supporting a terrorist organisation — as minister for national security and another settler leader, Bezalel Smotrich, controlling planning in the west bank. (He caused an uproar in March when he quoted French-Israeli Zionist Jacques Kupfe: “There is no such thing as Palestinians, because there is no such thing as a Palestinian people.”)

A one-state solution would mean absorbing everyone in Israel and the Palestinian territories into a new nation with the Holy Sites of Al-Aqsa and the Temple Mount, as their capital city.

How it can remain a Jewish state if the majority of its population is Palestinian.

When this crisis is over, there has to be a vision of what comes next. Lasting peace must follow the bloodiest fighting between Israelis and Palestinians for decades.

A confederation with a written constitution is the only solution.

What it present is a flexible model:

As a means of facilitating a two-state/one state solution, providing a new framework for the negotiation

A  permanent solution between the two sovereign states of Israel and Palestine, and not as a substitute for it.

Under the confederation plan, Israelis living in settlements deeper in the West Bank would be able to choose whether to relocate to homes inside Israel or stay where they are as Israeli citizens who are permanent residents of Palestine, agreeing to abide by the new state’s laws. A comparable number of Palestinian citizens would be able to move to Israel on the same terms.

A setup between states rather than citizens; that is, the citizens belong to their respective state and are not direct members of the confederation.

This would involve both states in joint strategic defence through close coordination and would focus them on maintaining internal law and order.

The Old City of Jerusalem could host some of the joint authorities, paving the way toward dual sovereignty or other creative solutions over that sensitive area of less than 1 km2 or 0.39 mi2.

The first step would be to negotiate a permanent agreement and establish an independent Palestinian state, without the confederal umbrella. An implementation period of up to 30 months would follow.

Palestine and Israel would live side by side as sovereign States and only at the end of the implementation period, they would establish the HLC (Holy Land Confederation) if they want it.

The European Union, which does not call itself a confederation, is the most successful and consequential confederation ever.

The EU, which has changed Europe and fostered a continent of peace after centuries of endless wars, is a miracle in the eyes of many. It includes aspects of a federation (freedom of movement, currency, trade, and agriculture) and aspects of a confederation (no common language, separate education
systems, no joint army, and relatively weak central institutions), as well as aspects of sovereign states. In many ways, the EU is sui generis, but its structure is very close to that of a confederation and may serve as a model for the HLC.

We have to distinguish between aspiration and reality. The odds are very, very low. It’s essentially mission impossible as we will be left with two deeply traumatised societies. What is lacking on both sides is leadership and political will. Both sides need to wake up after this horrible war and find new leadership.

Rest assured if not Israel will go down in history not as a country that was found on compassion for the Jews but a

Compassion knows not whom it chooses to help in some way, shape or form, it just knows it’s the right heartfelt thought to have for another and to bestow some type of good upon another.

One thing sees another, but two things feel together, creating unity.

#Compassion is one of Judaism’s highest values. The existence of the entire world depends on this virtue.

Below link to one written by Israel, which would have to be amended to accommodate the few Palestinian left a live.

All human comments appreciated. All like clicks and abuse chucked in the bin

Contact: bobdillon33@gmail.com

https://r.search.yahoo.com/_ylt=Awr.glp2drpluGgJQFIM34lQ;_ylu=Y29sbwNpcjIEcG9zAzEEdnRpZAMEc2VjA3Ny/RV=2/RE=1706747638/RO=10/RU=https%3a%2f%2fstatic.timesofisrael.com%2fblogs%2fuploads%2f2023%2f09%2fConstitution-for-Israel.pdf/RK=2/RS=ON4b20C6mgVanCVi1qX5fwtE1TE-

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