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THE BEADY EYE SAY’S: LOOKING FOR AN NEW YEAR RESOLUTION. HERE IS ONE.

27 Friday Dec 2019

Posted by bobdillon33@gmail.com in 2019: The Year of Disconnection., Energy

≈ Comments Off on THE BEADY EYE SAY’S: LOOKING FOR AN NEW YEAR RESOLUTION. HERE IS ONE.

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Energy, Green Energy., Green infrastructure

 

(Thirty-minute read)

We all recognize that there are many problems in our world, which with our collective intelligence could be address if we did not turn them into profit-making.

The dire warnings about climate change are on the top of the list, but as we have seen the recent UN Climate Conference in Madrid shows that we once again are unable to act collectively. Instead, we opt for blindness and continue as if nothing can change the inevitable disaster awaiting us all.

Why aren’t we interested?

Because it is abstract happing over there, impossible to describe – the Amazon is burning, California is on fire, Australia is covering New Zeland with smoke.

Half the world might not believe in the science, but it’s no longer acceptable to hind the truth behind rhetoric that is saying one thing and feeling another as if deny it.

We know that there are climate refugees, that the Arctic is melting, that there is flooding, extreme weather events, droughts, famines, but the story is too complicated we do not feel immersed in it.

Because we don’t believe it we are incapable of believing, we can do something about it even if it is a solid scientific fact.

What is knowledge when our brains are unprepared to receive it?

Most of us can’t explain how our individual and collective behaviour is boosting hurricane winds.

On one hand, we have to feel it, believe it, but our brains find it difficult to imagine ourselves in the future and to plan for that future.

Therefore the question to be addressed by all of us is.

Are we even capable of believing what the scientist are telling us?

What, then, is to be done?

Greta Thunberg might be the figurehead for change, but the emphasis should be on doing.

The change required is not to wait for feeling or belief,  but to act.

Some now argue that the focus should be on the personal shifts taking the responsibility away from Governments. In my mind governments have a responsibility to oversee the conversion to green energy by ensuring that Climate Change does not become a product to be sold for a profit,

We have a colossal opportunity with climate change to do one or the other, turn it into profit-making or save what left of our planet.

The problem with profit is already here to see.

In fact, that’s exactly what Big Oil firms have just started doing. Relying on oil alone simply won’t be enough for the oil supermajors to sustain their profits.

Bio this Bio that, Wall Street Carbon Credit, Green bonds. When you some of the biggest companies on the planet decide to start spending money, we’re more than happy to get in on the action.

This is just the beginning of the trend.

Sadly externality costs of fossil fuels are shouldered not by fossil fuel producers, but rather by wider society.

After gods knows how many Climate summits and we are still unable and will remain so to agree on any practical solution or action other than rely on technology to come to the rescue.

Why is it not possible to cover every bit of unused land with Solar panels?

Because the problem is that we normally don’t use logic to make the decision which electricity source to use. We want it all.

When looking at sustainable electricity resources, we commonly identify four:

Solar, Wind, Hydro and Biomass.

Each of them is renewable, but that doesn’t necessarily make them sustainable.

Sustainability is determined by three different parameters:

Environmental sustainability, Social sustainability and Economic sustainability.

If producing a renewable energy device costs more energy than it produces during its lifetime, it’s not sustainable.

Mining coal is bad for the environment, but mining neodymium and other rare earth metals for wind turbines is equally polluting.

Let’s not close our eyes to what’s happening:

Anything that’s mined destroys complete ecosystems.

There’s one overarching aspect of social sustainability – we have one globe where we can provide enough food and energy for everyone. Using the planet’s effectively and efficiently is therefore crucial.

Economic sustainability seems easy enough to measure. If a technology can be sold without subsidies it is sustainable, right?

But in most countries, fossil fuels belong to the most heavily subsidized products.

According to the IEA’s World Energy Outlook, fossil electricity is still subsidized for over $100 billion worldwide.

So, how do renewable energy technologies compete with that when subsidies for renewable sources are only one-sixth of that? And which of these can be called economically sustainable?

The one that can be purchased cheapest by consumers.

Sustainability is a very complex word and entails many aspects of which we’ve only scratched a few here to illustrate its diversity.

The question is:

How do we deal with all these aspects? Can we balance all the pros and cons? And how do we do that?

What we can do, is use the full matrix of available renewable electricity technologies and use them in the most sustainable way. Just by using logic.

Solar panels on sloped roofs that are otherwise not used,? Yes, please!

Solar panels on Dutch polders ( Low-lying land)  instead of cattle to create an “energy landscape”? No!

Wind turbines on the North Sea with high impact on nature? No!

Wind turbines on abandoned land with limited impact on nature? Yes, please!

Hydropower with dams that submerge complete villages and arable land in Brazil?! Madness!

Corn production for energy while we could produce food or feed? Of course not!

Biomass residues for electricity production? Yes, please!

Electricity production from living plants while the plant grows while producing rice on the same surface? Yes, please.

We want electricity for the whole world, at low cost, at low environmental impact, as soon as possible, with high return for the companies, with large local economic growth, with high shareholder value, easy to use for consumers, available always and everywhere.

You know what? That’s not possible.

Let’s decide what’s most important and take that as a starting point.

Starting point 1: I want cheap electricity: Here’s your coal-fired power plant. It has all the advantages of cheap electricity, but don’t complain when the Earth dies and when you’ve run out of coal.

Starting point 2: I want renewable electricity at the lowest possible price: You’ve got the choice of hydropower, wind power, solar power or biomass.

Depending on local subsidies and providers, one or more of these options will be available to you. Some of the electricity companies will provide “green electricity” and you don’t even have to choose.

Please don’t ask about the exact sustainability of your renewable electricity. It’s cheap, it’s renewable, forget about the rest.

Starting point 3: I want sustainable electricity: Now we’re talking. You’ve got the choice of hydropower, wind power, solar panels and biomass.

Let’s check what can be combined with other applications at the same land and what has the lowest impact on nature and people in the long run. You might have to pay a bit more than you’re used to, but at least you’ll be assured of a long-term solution and availability of electricity without hampering the access to other resources for yourself or others.

If we all chose starting point 1 nothing will change, we won’t stop climate change and smog will be the number one death cause in large urban areas.

If we choose starting point 2, we’ll focus on low prices that will compete with the sustainability of the renewable energy source. We might end up using fossil resources to produce renewable technologies and not changing anything in the end.

I’ve chosen starting point three. If you do too, we might have a chance of moving towards a sustainable electricity matrix with minimal impact on nature and people.

In fact, we actually may get to a point where energy is abundant, cheap, sustainable and available to everyone everywhere.

Where are we at this point of any time?

At this point, it’s hard even to imagine what a planet that’s 3.6 degrees C hotter would be like. To put this in context, human activity has already warmed the planet by about 0.8 degrees C — enough to produce severe droughts around the world, trigger or intensify intense storms and drastically reduce the Arctic ice cap, not to mention out of control fires.

Fires that will consume the parched forests of the temperate latitudes.

The wildfires in Australia are giving all of us preview that we can’t imagine today.

All the above might be true but it does not address the main problem.

Our usage of Energy.

Industry is increasingly seen as a solution to our global environmental problems, ignoring the role of major corporations in creating the current multiple crises.

Natural resources often lie at the heart of wars and civil strife and the estimated impact of greenhouse gas emissions varies widely due to uncertainties about the future.

We don’t know what the costs of climate change are, and health costs are highly uncertain.

Many scientists have ruled out arguments that market forces and technological changes can gradually lead to a sustainable energy future.

While the investment opportunities for renewable energy continue to grow, the question is to what extent the government ought to finance such investment.

Why?

Because it is no longer efficient for the government to invest in uneconomic technologies at an early stage. This why the political headwinds currently facing the renewables sector are immense.

However, these new energy sources did not simply emerge as the result of free-market forces. Rather, the government heavily subsidized each new energy source.

As the costs of PV technology, wind turbines, energy storage, and other clean energy technology have decreased over time, they have become competitive in their own right.

So here is your new year resolution.

If your community is like many others today, most people want to offset as close as possible to 100 per cent of their consumption.

It’s no longer necessary to have 32 acres of solar power panels to meet the demands of 1,000 homes.Solar Container

The majority of solar panels are 250 watts, which means you’d need four panels to create a 1-kilowatt peak (1kWp) system, eight panels to create a 2kWp system, 12 panels to create a 3kWp system, and so on.

A large fixed-tilt photovoltaic solar power plant that produces 1,000 megawatt-hours per year requires, on average, 2.8 acres for the solar panels.

Concentrating solar power plants require an average 2.7 acres for solar collectors and other equipment per 1,000 megawatt-hours; 3.5 acres for all land enclosed within the project boundary.

A solar panel system for a family of three costs around £4,000-£6,000 in the UK.  Solar panels could reduce your monthly energy bill by nearly 50%

So switching to solar energy is a smart decision that allows you to create your own power instead of buying it from the National Grid.

Energy bill savings from solar panels ultimately depend on two things: How much electricity your solar panels produce, and how much of this electricity you use.

More than half of all new electric power worldwide came from renewables last year.

Sounds too good to be true?

Prove me wrong by trying it.

Start your own research by forming an action group.

All human comments appreciated. All like clicks chucked in the bin.

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THE BEADY EYE SAY’S YIPE WE NOW HAVE A CAR IS SPACE.

08 Thursday Feb 2018

Posted by bobdillon33@gmail.com in Elon Musk., Enegery

≈ Comments Off on THE BEADY EYE SAY’S YIPE WE NOW HAVE A CAR IS SPACE.

Tags

Elon Musk., Energy, The Future of Mankind

( A two-minute read)

We now have a car in space at a cost of $90 million. That’s $639.80 per pound thanks to Elon Musk’s Falcon Heavy SpaceX rocket. The next most powerful rocket, the Delta IV Heavy, runs about $350 million per launch.Screen Shot 2018-02-06 at 4.58.03 PM

It boasts 27 engines, more than any other working rocket has ever used, which together create a combined 5 million pounds of thrust at liftoff. Falcon Heavy is capable of taking 68 tonnes of equipment into an orbit close to the Earth.

With a world in turmoil, the new age space race is upon us.

Next, we need traffic lights.

Space debris is rapidly becoming one of the biggest problems we face – there are more than 150m objects that need tracking to ensure as few collisions with working spacecraft as possible.

The amount of kerosene in three Falcon 9 rockets is roughly 440 tonnes and RP-1 has a 34% carbon content, which is a lot of carbon dioxide when burnt.

However this amount of carbon is a drop in the ocean compared to global industrial emissions as a whole, but if the SpaceX’s plan for a rocket launch every two weeks comes to fruition, this amount of carbon (approximately 4,000 tonnes per year) will rapidly become a bigger problem.

Now for a bit of history:

For the 1967 Apollo mission to the moon, Saturn V rocket’s first stage carried 203,400 gallons of kerosene fuel and 318,000 gallons of liquid oxygen, totaling over 500,000 gallons of fuel for getting out of the atmosphere alone. The second stage carried another 260,000 gallons of liquid hydrogen and 80,000 gallons of liquid oxygen. The third stage carries 66,700 gallons of liquid hydrogen and 19,359 gallons of liquid oxygen.

All told the rocket that achieved one small step for a man and one giant leap for mankind held just under 950,000 gallons of fuel.

Falcon 9’s first stage uses 39,000 gallons of liquid oxygen and almost 25,000 gallons of kerosene, while the second stage uses 7,300 gallons of liquid oxygen and 4,600 gallons of kerosene. Combined, it makes lean mean 75,900 gallons of fuel.

On the other hand.

The Saturn V’s first stage lasted 180 seconds So. The first stage consumed 1,400,000 pounds of RP-1 and 3,178,000 pounds of LOX.

That’s 4,578,000 pounds of the expanded chemical in total.

The mass of most rockets is more than 95% fuel.

 Let me congratulate Mr. Musk and remind him of his own words ” Only a carbon tax—not innovation, conservation, or renewable energy—will accelerate the transition from carbon-producing fossil fuels to sustainable energy.”

My point is:

Perhaps it might have been better putting his energy and all that energy into something with a bit more imagination.

All human comments appreciated. All like clicks chucked in the bin.

 

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Technological advances are altering the nature and the expectation of life.

04 Sunday Jan 2015

Posted by bobdillon33@gmail.com in Uncategorized

≈ Comments Off on Technological advances are altering the nature and the expectation of life.

Tags

3 -D Printing, Communications, Crowdfunding, Energy, Eradicate poverty, Greed, Health Monitoring sensors, Smart machine, Social Media, Technology

 

All the festivities of Christmas and the New year are over.

It’s the start of another year and I am sure like me there are many of you afraid to ask ” Am I going to make it to the End of the Year.

The answer I hope is Yes.

We all know that new racial tensions are rising and finding expression in violence.

However the Deserts of Technology are just being created.

Some of us will lose our jobs, other will find new jobs but you can rest assured in this part of the world that technology will become more and more pervasive and that you are slap bang in the middle of incredible change, with unprecedented breaches in personal data leading this charge. 

Now all of this has happened before and the nature of man has not changed nor will it change.

Why?

Because no matter what technology we invent Greed has an eye on it.

Because as before we are not ready for the changes to come.

Because we are unwilling to except that the smart machine era will be the most disruptive in the history of IT and most of us have no concept of the disruption it will be causing in Industry after Industry.

The cost of production is becoming less than the cost of human labor.

So my advice is to wake up if you have not already done so.

The advent of dump down intelligence ( The game Angry Birds was downloaded over a million times in the first 24 hours it was available on Android devices. Seven months later the game had been downloaded more than 200 million times.) is on us and soon it will be everywhere.  Your prosperity or happiness you can rest assured will be a long way down the list of things to be achieved in the Capitalistic World of 2015.

The concept of peace is easy to grasp; that of international security is more complex even if the revolution in communications has united the world in awareness, in aspiration and in greater solidarity against injustice.  We are all being turned into non sustainable commodities.

If you don’t believe me answer a few of the following:

What will the Chinese Economy do when it is replaced by 3 -D Printing?

( The growth of the 3-D printing market is to increase at a compound rate of 23 percent—to $8.4 billion—by 2020, with expansion into areas such as architecture, medical products and jewelry design. Physical and online retailers are expected to market 3-D printing technology, undoubtedly one of the most exciting topics of discussion for technology enthusiasts in the coming year, and one that will eventually result in more innovative and productive outcomes.)

The office robotics market is growing seven times faster than the market for manufacturing robots.  Not long now before the remote worker population will include some 43 percent of all U.S.

What will the world of Finance do when it is radical changed and replaced by Crowdfunding? (The recently announced acquisition of the venerable New York Stock Exchange by the upstart Intercontinental Exchange. Shows that the residual value of the NYSE would appear to be largely in its brand.)

What will our Health Organisation do when we are all wearing attachable Health Monitoring sensors that will monitor our health feeding its data back to AI -based physicians who will understand your genomics sequence data. (We wont need doctors for day-to-day medical advice nor surgeons as all basic operations will be performed by Robotic Surgeons perhaps owned by GOOGLE or some other I Cloud based operator.)

What will our Energy companies do when we reach Grid parity i.e. When it becomes cheaper to produce your own energy than it is to buy from the grid.

What will our communication companies do when all communications will be done thorough free with WiFi networks. (Long distant calls are all ready dead with Skype.)

What will our Political leaders do when power rests with Social Media, Sovereign Wealth Funds and Big Data.

At present, mobile devices outnumber the total population of the planet, which indicates that in the near future every device having an IP address will have the capability to connect with others and be controlled from other devices through internet enabling firms to quickly and cost effectively realize more value from structured and unstructured information.

The Internet of Things (IoT) will generate revenue exceeding $300 billion worldwide by 2020, with some 26 billion devices connected to the IoT.

As modern devices like mobiles, cameras, wearable gadgets, sensors, and cloud based services, social networking etc use and produce data that can be translated into information for its users, this also calls for provisioning for storage of petabytes and terabytes of data in a secured and a usable format to be able to turn it into meaningful insights. (2014 has been a wake up call for those outside the world of cyber security.)

As technology gains its presence in almost every aspect of human life, it will be crucial for nearly every application to include analytic’s to filter out the colossal amounts of information, known as big data, generated by daily activities and engagement with technology, web and social media, reaping its benefits.

Just look at Twitter today the company boasts more than 200 million active users and half a billion tweets a day. It is destabilized everything from the news and information ecosystem to unpopular national governments.

2015 it will present some of the greatest challenges and threats to advancing technology. In a age where Facebook, Twitter, and Tumblr, internet fads (or “memes”) can infect the whole world in a matter of days our World Organisations are becoming obsolete.

The numbers are staggering: Among the billions of hours of videos that are now available over the Web, an estimated 100 million users around the world watch at least one online video every day.

Where does all of this leave us?

If you asked me the truth is, we don’t know, don’t have any idea. we don’t know when we started doing many of the things we’ve done. we don’t know what we are doing right now or how or present actions will affect the future. what we do know is that there is only one planet to do it on and on it one species of being capable of making a considered difference.

We have arrived at this position in a stunningly short time, and we are really at the beginning of it all.

With the merging of the real and virtual worlds the robotics industry will increase at a rate of more than 20 percent in next five years with advanced algorithms that will allow systems to understand their environment, learn for themselves, and act autonomously,

But Technology has a blind spot.

Our identities as humans are each and every day being eroded. Progress is also bringing new risks for stability: ecological damage, disruption of family and community life, with greater intrusion into the lives and rights of individuals.

With the merging of the real and virtual worlds the robotics industry will increase at a rate of more than 20 percent in next five years with advanced algorithms that will allow systems to understand their environment, learn for themselves, and act autonomously.

The accepted notions on how to eradicate poverty is being Challenged by the rapid transformation of Financial trading from physical to electronic,

If we are not to drive the world into unbridled Inequality we need to for once in its history Cap Greed ( see previous Posts) and stop Privatization for the sake of profit. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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All comments and contributions much appreciated

  • THE BEADY EYE ASK’S. WHAT DO WE KNOW ABOUT WHEN CULTURES COLLIDE? January 29, 2023
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