THE BEADY EYE SAY’S. YOU MIGHT NOT BE BLAMED TO WONDER (WITH THE STATE OF THE WORLD) WHAT IS THE WEBB TELESCOPE GOING TO DO FOR US BACK HERE ON EARTH.

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( Ten minute read) 

The name Earth is a Germanic word, which simply means “the ground”

It’s formation remains a strange, scientific mystery, the third planet from the Sun, and the only place we know of so far that’s inhabited by living things.

Our planet began as part of a cloud of dust and gas.

But Earth did not always exist within this expansive universe, and it was not always a hospitable haven for life.Artist illustration of the James Webb Space Telescope

To answer this question one has only has to look at what the Webb telescope is showing us.

Looking back through billions of years of the history of the universe to the creation of stars it is not just showing us where we are, but what can be achieved when we corporate with each other.

The lifetime cost to NASA will be approximately $10.8 billion.

The European Space Agency provided the Ariane 5 launch vehicle and two of the four science instruments for an estimated cost of €700 million. The Canadian Space Agency contributed sensors and scientific instrumentation, which cost approximately CA$200 million.

This places the James Webb Space Telescope among the most expensive scientific platforms in history. The telescope was not always planned to be a megaproject. It was originally estimated to cost $4.96 billion and launch in 2014.

To quantify this, the United States government will spend, in total, approximately $101 trillion.

The James Webb Space Telescope accounts for a mere 0.0095% of all U.S. spending during its building  — the equivalent of setting aside a single penny out of a 100 dollars to answer fundamental questions about our cosmos.

The dollars and cents it took to create this technological marvel will look paltry compared to the priceless insights it provides into our cosmos.

The James Webb Space Telescope is not in orbit around the Earth, like the Hubble Space Telescope is – it actually orbits the Sun, 1.5 million kilometres (1 million miles) away from the Earth. The telescope itself operates at about 225 degrees below zero Celsius (minus 370 Fahrenheit). The temperature difference between the hot and cold sides of the telescope is huge – you could almost boil water on the hot side, and freeze nitrogen on the cold side!  It is actually similar in size to the Moon’s orbit around the Earth!

This orbit (which takes Webb about 6 months to complete once) keeps the telescope out of the shadows of both the Earth and Moon. Unlike Hubble, which goes in and out of Earth shadow every 90 minutes, Webb has an unimpeded view that allows science operations 24/7.

We have continuous communications with it as the Earth rotates through the Deep Space Network (DSN), using three large antennas on the ground located in Australia, Spain and California. Webb uplinks command sequences and downlinks data up to twice per day, through the DSN. It uploads a full week’s worth of commands at a time, and makes updates daily as needed.

Webb will study every phase in the history of our universe, ranging from the first luminous glows after the big bang, to the formation of solar systems capable of supporting life on planets like Earth, to the evolution of our own solar system.

To be able to send and receive data over such a distance is mind boggling.  In order to carry out its mission, several innovative and powerful new technologies ranging from optics to detectors to thermal control systems have been developed. It has six major subsystems:

  • Electrical Power Subsystem
  • Attitude Control Subsystem
  • Communication Subsystem
  • Command and Data Handling Subsystem
  • Propulsion Subsystem
  • Thermal Control Subsystem

The first step toward understanding how AI can contribute to this area of science and knowledge is, once again, drawing a comparison between an AI and a human. There is a lot of uncertainty that comes with adopting such high-end technologies, but one thing is for sure:

It raises the question: Is Artificial Intelligence The New Guardian Of The Galaxy?

Should we be spending vast amounts on the exploration of the Universe where none of us will ever go or understand, without Quantum computers.

Why?

Because, Quantum computers are expected to be powerful enough to break modern-day ‘unbreakable’ encryption, accelerate medicine discover, re-shape how the global economy transports goods, explore the stars, and pretty much revolutionise anything involving massive number crunching.

The problem is, quantum computers are immensely difficult to make, and maybe even more difficult to run but God help us if we are relying on the human brain to function, as so far it appears to be designed for self destroying the earth never mind the universe.   

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Artificial intelligences are promising in future societies, and neural networks are typical technologies with the advantages such as self-organization, self-learning, parallel distributed computing, and fault tolerance, but their size and power consumption are large. It’ll take some time before we entirely replace AI accelerators with something that resembles a brain.

Yet experiential attempts have already begun to replace classical computing as we know it.

Don’t worry as we’re only scratching the surface of AI’s uses today, and to unlock those deeper, more impactful uses there’s a whole new type of chip in the works, a neuromorphic computer/chip is any device that uses physical artificial neurons to do computations.

What is an Neuromorphic chip/ computer?

The answers in the name, neuro, meaning related to the nervous system. A neuromorphic computer aims to imitate the greatest computer, and most complex creation, ever known to man: The brain.

If a neuromorphic processor were to be developed and implemented in a GPU, the amount of processing power would surpass any of the existing products with just a fraction of the energy.

Neuromorphic computing is an approach to computing that is inspired by the structure and function of the human brain.

The goal of neuromorphic computing ( According to Wikipedia) is not to perfectly mimic the brain and all of its functions, but instead to extract what is known of its structure and operations to be used in a practical computing system. No neuromorphic system will claim nor attempt to reproduce every element of neurons and synapses, but all adhere to the idea that computation is highly distributed throughout a series of small computing elements analogous to a neuron.

Neuromorphic computers are not currently being used in real-world applications but it won’t be long before neuromorphic algorithmic, offer tremendous potential for computing beyond Moore’s law.

There’s more immediate potential for the future of computing in artificial intelligence, it really is a massive and life-changing development for many, and I’m not just talking about that clever-sounding, slightly-too-argumentative chatbot in your browser.

This is the world’s first hybrid chip where neuron elements and synapse devices of different functional semiconductors are integrated.

Neuromorphic computers are well poised to become the artificial intelligence accelerators and co-processors in personal computing devices such as smart phones, laptops and desktops. They will begin to emerge in these technologies in the future, first probably in the edge computing space as specialized processors and later in future heterogeneous computers.

As the Ukrain/ Russian war is the laboratory for drone warfare the Webb is the laboratory of Ai 

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Contact: bobdillon33@gmail.com 

THE BEADY EYE ASK’S. WHAT IS THE FUTURE OF NATO ?

( Five minute read)

At NATO’s founding on April 4, 1949, President Harry S. Truman described the creation of the Atlantic Alliance as a neighbourly act taken by countries deeply conscious of their shared heritage as democracies that had come together determined to defend their common values and interests from those who threatened them.

After years of fighting disastrous wars, whether in Afghanistan, Iraq or Libya, NATO can now forget about them – whatever the enduring human disasters they leave behind.

Today, NATO has thirty members, including ten countries that used to be members of the Warsaw Pact or were part of the Soviet Union and continues to grow.

Only once in its seventy-one-year history, in the aftermath of the terror attacks of September 11, 2001, has the alliance needed to invoke the mutual defence obligation.

After Russia began its aggression in Ukraine in February 2014, few (including Russian President Vladimir Putin) would have expected NATO to move so quickly from crisis management to a fundamentally new defence posture. But the alliance has done just that, and it took less than six months to get there.

So what exactly will be decided that is so earth-shattering?

It is the biggest strategic shift in NATO’s posture in a quarter century,

NATO is entering a new phase in its history with its reputation now so bound up with the fate of Ukraine that, in the unlikely event that Russia makes substantial military gains in the conflict, Kyiv cannot be allowed to lose. NATO’s future will be rendered hopelessly irrelevant if it loses, as it well might, the fight against the Taliban in Afghanistan.

With the United States now paying for almost 75 percent of its cost, things may look rosy for NATO today, but climate breakdown, not wars, are the biggest threat to global security. The war in the Ukrain is very widely seen as a massive diversion from this much more significant challenge. Spending billions on the military may make for high profitability but is entirely missing the point when it comes to the greatest security challenge facing the entire world. Military alliances like NATO won’t solve our greatest security threat – THE CLIMATE

To make matters even more rosy, military budgets are rising, lots of new weapons are being developed and existing ones produced in huge numbers. Both will lead to more sales for the armourers as countries across the world rush to buy new kit, even if their armed forces have no connection with the war in Ukraine.

Ukraine’s defence minister, Oleksii Resnikov, put it more bluntly: “Our Western allies can actually see if their weapons work, how efficiently they work and if they need to be upgraded. For the military industry of the world, you can’t invent a better testing ground.”

Questioning the need for NATO and America’s role in it isn’t new.  

NATO has been an alliance dedicated to military protection for well over 70 years, but it is a military alliance is unsuited to meeting the world’s greatest security challenge: Climate breakdown. NATO will have to change in order to keep going, that might just lead to a badly needed change in NATOs priorities.

In other words, a continued existence of NATO is essential not only because it allows the US to expand its influence worldwide, but also because NATO is the umbilical cord that militarily connects the US with Europe, keeping the latter dependent on the former. By ensuing a continuing relevance of NATO in the present geo-political context, the US hopes to maintain its own relevance for Europe.

Put it another way, whether in Ukrain or Kosovo or Afghanistan, NATO serves chiefly to camouflage and thereby legitimate what is substantively a unilateral action by the United States.

To my mind the American idea that NATO reinvent itself as the security core of a global club of democracies against China at present, owes more to wishful than to strategic thinking.

Underlying this is the increasingly dominant view that global climate breakdown and the many consequences of that evolving catastrophe, especially for poorer people, are a far greater challenge than the war in Ukraine.

Let me state the obvious:   You don’t have to be a military general to know that climate change is going to bring wars.

The Climate Clock countdown that tracks the deadline to stay below 1.5°C of global warming will flip from 6 years 0 days 00:00:00 to 5 years 364 days 23:59:59 for the first time in history on Saturday 22 July 2023.

Europe must guarantee its security all by itself.

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Contact: bobdilllon33@gmail.com

THE BEADY EYE SAY’S: Humans have extracted/ pumped and moved so much of the earths material, (sand rock, oil/groundwater etc) that it’s actually caused the planet’s axis to shift.

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( Three minute read)

We’ve long laid a heavy hand on the planet’s ecosystems, and perhaps now it is time to wield that hand more deliberately and creatively.

The influence of human activity on the Earth’s ecosystems has become so extreme that it now seems to be the central driver of environmental change but is there another contributing reason.

Our planet is constantly trying to balance the flow of energy in and out of Earth’s system. But human activities are throwing that off balance, causing our planet to warm in response.

The Earth’s rotational pole normally changes and wanders by about several meters each year.

Without better management, an estimated 42% to 79% of all watersheds that pump groundwater may no longer be able to maintain healthy ecosystems by 2050. This rate of change has frightening implications for the future.

Below the Earth’s surface lies over a thousand times more water than all the rivers and lakes in the world.

We’ve been extracting so much groundwater that it caused the Earth’s rotational pole to drift by 64.16 degrees east at about 4.36 centimetres per year from 1993 to 2010.

On top of this we have extracted trillions and trillions of litres of oil, moved trillions of tons of sand/rocks, put trillions of tons of concrete on the surface, changing the landscape and its weight distribution for several thousands of years. Resulting in the rotation of the earth on its axis changing, not just in speed but in it’s tilth angle, effecting the Jet stream, the direction of ocean currents, the length of day and night.

Perhaps it is one of the reasons that the climate is changing.

Extracting it unsustainably.

Glaciers are disappearing, melting faster than they can be replenished, like this glacier located in Greenland. Melting is happening faster in Greenland and the rest of the Arctic, which is warming faster than anywhere else on Earth.

It is not possible to predict with any certainty what the coming decades might look like for Earth’s energy budget.

Groundwater is used for about 40% of global irrigation and provides almost half of all drinking water.

To put it simply, groundwater depletion contributes to sea level rise because water is being transferred from the continents to the oceans. This is significant because each millimetre rise in sea level is said to make the shoreline retreat an average of 1.5 meters.

If Earth’s rotation does keep accelerating?

The Earth has rotational kinetic energy associated with going spinning around its axis once a day.

Rotational kinetic energy depends on:

  • How fast the object is spinning (faster spinning means more energy).
  • How much mass the spinning object has (more massive means more energy).

How is the planet going to handle that?  No one knows.

Maybe there will be chaos across the tech industry, or maybe we won’t even notice, as time will be flying by.

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Contact: bobdillon33@gmail.com

THE BEADY EYE SAY’S. WHEN IT COMES TO CLIMATE CHANGE WE NEED TO CUT OUT THE VERBAL BULL SHIT.

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( Six minute read)

Although we have been raising public awareness on climate change for years, this is not enough.

Despite the effects of climate change becoming more and more obvious, big polluting corporations – the ones responsible for the majority of carbon emissions – continue to carry on drilling for and burning fossil fuels.

Climate change is happening now, and it’s the most serious threat to life on our planet.

The global temperature increases day by day with much of Southern Europe and Northern Africa already in the grips of back-to-back heatwaves, which have caused wildfires and broken temperature records.

We all know that this warming causes harmful impacts such as the melting of Arctic sea ice, more severe weather events like heatwaves, floods and hurricanes, rising sea levels, spread of disease and the acidification of the ocean.

To date we have had around 26 global conferences  resulting in agreements and promises, with insufficient actions to make any material changes to global temperatures rising.


Unless greenhouse gas emissions and global temperature are reduced within years, the world will face demanding consequences.

While every fraction of a degree making climate tipping points more likely the next UN Climate Change Conference will convene from 30 November to 12 December 2023 in Dubai, United Arab Emirates (UAE).

With signs that some climate tipping points are already approaching / irreversible we will witness once more the who’s the how’s and where while the melting of polar glaciers and sea ice, die-back of the Amazon rainforest and coral reef extinction are all on the edge of tipping over into a feedback loop of self-destruction, whereby their decline itself becomes a source of warming.

We can’t be sure exactly when tipping becomes inevitable.

Because of war in the Ukrain (which is affecting the world food supply) the climate targets will become looser and looser, higher and higher with world governments doing even less in the future.

We don’t have the policies in place, we don’t have the financing in place to reach any of the goals required.

Seven million people are already being killed by climate change around the world – as many as those killed by Covid. Yet progress by world governments has been achingly slow.  it’s never been more important to demand that our leaders act.

Current policies are “totally inadequate” and you may rest assured that world leaders will once again make a “terrible mistake” in prioritising inflation, the pandemic and the Ukraine war over the climate.

We need concrete solutions to make it less uncomplicated to achieve any goals.

The world cannot be at  “positive tipping point” in the fight against climate change without addressing the lack of financing. ( See previous posts)

There are signs that some climate tipping points are already approaching, according to new research.

Many commitments to reduce carbon emissions have been set, but few are binding and targets are often missed.

Climate change isn’t just a scientific problem or a political challenge its a distribution of wealth problem including technologies such as artificial intelligence.

It’s easy to feel overwhelmed, and to feel that climate change is too big to solve. It can be challenging to wrap your head around such a complex issue, These impacts are severe and far-reaching – both now and into the future – with no sign of slowing down unless drastic action is taken.

To work, all of these solutions need strong international cooperation between governments and businesses, including the most polluting sectors.

Many of the world’s biggest challenges, from poverty to wildlife extinction, are made more difficult by climate change.

But we already have the answers, now it’s a question of making them happen.

Mitigating greenhouse gas emissions requires changes in many areas, namely buildings, transportation, and the energy industry.

Governments want to be re-elected, and  businesses can’t survive without customers. Demanding action from them is a powerful way to make change happen.

Transitioning to a sustainable future comes with a massive price tag, but it isn’t always clear who should foot the bill – or how the money should be spent.

Developing countries will increasingly be stuck with debts to pay for their climate solutions.In the US, the value placed on the social cost of carbon has fluctuated in recent years, with far-reaching effects (Credit: Getty Images)

We are now facing an important crossroads. Make profit out of climate change or see it as a one-off, last-chance opportunity – to restructure economies at the pace and scale that climate science requires by integrating climate action into the economic recovery.

As the impacts of climate change add up, economists are trying to figure out what the true cost of a tonne of carbon really is. ” The most important figure you’ve never heard of”

It is basically a complete denial of climate science that underpinned the social cost of carbon.

Such as the cost of adapting to sea-level rise, or how increased temperatures affect labour productivity, and how crop yields will be affected. The impacts of climate change will be felt over many hundreds of years, whereas cutting emissions costs money now. A high discount rate suggests those alive today are worth more than future generations, whereas a low one suggests the opposite.

It defines how much society should pay to avert future damages caused by climate change. It also accounts for the impact that today’s emissions will have on future generations.

Instead of making assumptions about issues such as the relationship between temperature and human wellbeing at some abstract point in the future, there is now a lot of real-life data.  If we pass certain climate tipping points, such as thawing permafrost and ice sheet disintegration, the runaway damage caused will increase the social cost of carbon. It will certainly affect the actions that people undertake.

It’s overwhelmingly accepted that climate change is a very significant threat to humanity.

We probably underestimated the consequences but every small step we take as individuals contributes.

So why not demand solar panel’s be put on every roof, free of costs, or that villages build solar farm to supply greed energy to their inhabitants, instead of military spending that will be worthless in the fight against rising tempts.

By financing renewable energy, “smart grid” technologies and other green innovations, of course things do not suddenly stabilise at 2030, but at the very least its a concrete step in the right direction.

All human comments appreciated. All like clicks and abuse chucked in the bin

Contact: bobdillon33@gmail.com

THE BEADY EYE SAY’S: Misaligned or confused and conflated goals of an AI will be a significant concern of the future.

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( Fourteen minute read)

The biggest problem of our world today is not artificial intelligence but natural stupidity!

When it comes to climate change – profit seeking algorithms – and the Military race to send atomist drone killers into the battle field –  Welcome to the perplexing world of collective stupidity!

The Trump campaign and Brexit – where we all woke up the next day astounded that “this could happen” are both prime examples of campaigns that leaned heavily on the emotions of anxiety, fear and tribalism. and collective stupidly.

Since then, there has been much unpacking of “what happened” and talk about “it could only have been “stupid” people” who could have voted that way.

But is this true?

Yes, profound lapses in logic can plague even the smartest mind.

There are intelligent people who are stupid. So why the paradox? Stupidity is not a lack of IQ.

Unconscious emotions drive our decisions –  Intuitive feelings gave us an evolutionary advantage in caveman days, a survival way of dealing with information overload; and can still play a useful role as we on the precipice of a critical moment with AI.

All over the world, we are in the midst of a great shift. The data revolution has given way to the analytics movement. Press our emotional buttons and our judgement is derailed. Hence the temptation to choose the first solution that comes to mind, even if obviously flawed.

It seems that nothing encourages stupidity more than group culture.

An uncritical dependence on set rules often leads to absurd decisions, the-way-we-do-things-here, often not being the most intelligent way.

And the more intelligent someone is, the more disastrous the results of their stupidity.

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With generative AI technologies data-driven insights are reshaping outcomes without needing to write code, becoming truly intrusive, enabling decision-makers, analysts, data scientists and developers to collaborate and develop analytical insights in real time.

SO, WHAT CAN WE DO TO PROTECT OURSELVES FROM DOING STUPID THINGS?

Knowledge of our foolish nature, can help us escape its grasp.

We can step outside the group of Google algorithms knowledge to question where we are at and going.

and revert to culture-thinking that relies on that “everyone knows the true”

Stupidity is all around us. As long as there have been humans there has been human stupidity,

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Over the past decade, we’ve seen the volume of data available to decision-makers grow exponentially.

In this intelligence era, it’s no longer about how much data one company can generate, it’s about how they use it. Corporate leaders, academics, policymakers, and countless others are looking for ways to harness generative AI technology, which has the potential to transform the way we learn, work, and more.

Generative AI is evolving quickly, but to truly get the most benefits from this ground breaking technology, you need to manage the wide array of risks.

Why?

Because generative AI is so powerful and easy to use, it’s poised to change what is real and what is not.

Unlike earlier disruptions, the reality of the generative AI race is already looking out of control. 

This could be the first “disruptive” new tech in a long time built and controlled largely by giants in the tech world which could entrench, rather than shake up, the status quo.

Right now, only a handful of companies — including Google, Meta, Amazon and Microsoft (through their $10 billion investment in Open-air) — are responsible for the world’s leading large language models.

So what can policymakers do about AI?

Is there a way to prevent the hottest new technology from simply cementing the power of the tech giants? 

Virtual worlds should not become walled gardens. 

It is abundantly clear that leaving it to the market to decide how these powerful technologies are used, and by whom, is a very risky proposition.

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For decades, many of the great scientific and philosophical minds had conceived of creating collective intelligence in the form of a globally connected space to pool our knowledge.

Social Media -Smart phones – are digitalizing citizens and their resulting emergent behaviour.

This is a phenomenon that occurs in complex adaptive systems. In such systems, simple components interact in such a way that the whole becomes greater than the sum of its parts.

Our collective intelligence has now become what can only be referred to as our collective stupidity.

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The Dark Side — Collective Stupidity.

Collective stupidity can be perplexing and is often harmless.

How is it possible that a group of smart individuals can sometimes make decisions so perplexing, it feels like the intelligence just evaporated?

How does collective stupidity happen?

Are we are better off by not underestimating the effects of this phenomenon?

A system based on generating clicks and interactions has created an environment for the outlandish and bizarre to flourish, with expertise falling by the wayside.

Broad, anonymous social networks breed collective stupidity.

Top Social Media Statistics And Trends Of 2023

In 2023, an estimated 4.9 billion people use social media across the world this number is expected to jump to approximately 5.85 billion users by 2027.

The driving force.  The increasing global adoption of 5G technology.

These staggering numbers aren’t just statistics, either. They highlight the expansive influence and potential of social media platforms. Right now, 1.9 billion daily users access Facebook’s platform, Twitter has gained 319 new users per minute in 2020, while 500 hours of video are uploaded to YouTube in the same amount of time. Millions of businesses around the world rely on Facebook to connect with people.

The recent new platform Threads Meta’s new social network, had 100 million sign ups in its first five days.

With this much content being generated, how can experts possibly stand out from the crowd?

By emulating the human ability to forget some of the data, psychological AIs will transform algorithmic accuracy.

Machine learning, on the other hand, typically takes a different path: It sees reasoning as a categorization task with a fixed set of predetermined labels. It views the world as a fixed space of possibilities, enumerating and weighing them all.

Social media networks are not very sociable these days. Feeds are algorithmic, which means you see whatever the apps want to show you.

All this has eroded public confidence.

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We all have intelligence and expertise to offer, even if the internet leaves us feeling isolated at times.

With so much misguided thought and active disinformation online, it has become difficult for people with insight worth sharing to do so. Behind the anonymity of the web, anyone can claim to be an expert. When everybody is an expert, nobody is.

With online communities, the relationship between experts and their audience becomes a two-way street.

Many of the issues we throw billions of dollars at and attempt to solve with technology could be easily achieved if we were able to better utilize our collective intelligence.

Technology is the means, not the end; its potential is massive, but not as great as our own.

So we wildly overestimate our access to our own mind.

In essence, the same emergent behaviour that typically helps the group survive sometimes leads to collective stupidity and death.

The Internet gave us the ability to connect with people on a global scale.

But its click-baiting algorithms and lack of regulation also brought with them chaos. As social media came to dominate the landscape, it made using the internet for the purpose of collective intelligence increasingly difficult.

You see, with stupidity, or stupid people for that matter, protesting or reasoning doesn’t really work. This is mainly because of their strong prejudice. They simply disbelieve any facts or reasoning we provide. In most cases, they either simply deny the arguments. And if they can’t, then they call them trivial exceptions.

People are often made stupid under certain circumstances. Maybe they allow this to happen to themselves. It is a group phenomenon.

The nature of stupidity has its roots deep in the subconscious. It is largely driven by the fundamental mechanics of our experience. following the herd. It is arguably the most prominent one, and mostly it does make sense. If the information is lacking, doing what others are doing is probably the best bet. But this doesn’t work all the time.

In fact, herd behaviour is among the pre-eminent causes of stupidity.

It is not that intellect suddenly fails. But people are deprived of inner independence, so they give up autonomous positions under the overwhelming impact. We always feel that we are dealing with slogans, signs, buzzwords, and not with the real person. As if they are under the spell of someone or something.

As this happens, we are also creating (unknowingly) various risks to our socio-economic structure, civilization in general, and to some extent, for the human species.

Species-level risks are not evident yet; However, the other two, socio-economic and civilization level risks, are significant enough to be ignored.

So far, several significant building blocks have been developed and are in progress. When we stitch them together, AI’s capability will increase multifold, which should be a more significant concern for us.

It takes the already tiny amount of time we have to change our ways, and save the planet, and practically cuts it in half.

We have less than 27 years to get our collective act together and reshape how our entire civilisation operates. And I’m not sure if we can do that… The more concerning part is about the risks that we have not thought of yet. We may not be able to avoid all of them, but we can understand them to address them.

Our over-enthusiasm for new technologies has somehow colluded our quality expectations. So much so that we have almost stopped demanding the right quality solutions. We are so fond of this newness that we are ignoring flaws in new technologies.

The problem with these low-quality solutions is that subpar techs’ flaws do not surface until it is too late!

In many cases, the damage is already done and maybe be irreversible.

Misalignment between our goals and the machine’s goals could be dangerous. It is easier to correct a team of humans; doing that with a rampant machine could be a very tricky and arduous task.

Achieving a level of alignment with human-level common sense is quite tricky for a computerized system. Without having any balanced approach like a scorecard, this may not be achievable.

Technology is an answer to the “how” of the strategy, but without having the right “why” and “what” in place, it can do more damage than good. When AI systems do not know why, there will always be a lurking risk of discrimination, bias, or an illogical outcome.

Weapon systems equipped with AI are the most vulnerable to the right AI in wrong hand problems and therefore have the greatest risks. The Russian /Ukrain war is now the labourite of drone warfare. The possibility of AI systems being used to overpower others by some group or a country is a significant risk.

Overall, the right AI’s risk in the wrong hands is one of the critical challenges and warrants substantial attention to avoid it.

Extending AI and automation beyond logical limits could potentially alter our perception of what humans can do.

We still value human interaction, communication skills, emotional intelligence, and several other qualities in humans. What happens when an AI app takes over? What happened to AI doing mundane tasks and leaving time for us to do what we like and love?

The most important thing in artificial intelligence isn’t the fancy algorithms.

Let’s assume the worst case and we have a general purpose AI – that can do everything a human can.

What would happen?

Waiting for smartphone app to tell us what to do next and how we might be feeling now!

The enormous power carried by the grey matter in our heads may become blunt and eventually useless if we never exercise it, turning it into just some slush. The old saying, “use it or lose it,” is explicitly applicable in this case. Half knowledge is more dangerous than ignorance!

Trust me, a lot can happen in 24 hours. The lesson here is – in times like this, the first principles-based thinking is your best bet.

Our problem is that on one side, we have intelligent people, who are full of doubts, and on the other, we have stupid people full of confidence. Stupidity is not an intellectual failing, it’s a moral failing. And it happens because we believe only in feelings and not in facts or truthfulness

When we see and hear all this, we wonder if there is any antidote? If there is any way to stop this from happening?

The ultimate test of a moral society is the kind of world that it leaves to its children.

So the question now is, “How are we going to fight this AI pandemic?

We will finally recognize that more computing power makes machines faster, not smarter.

If a problem is too difficult for a machine, it is we who will have to adapt to its limited abilities.

There is already a frustrating struggle for humans and machines to understand one another in natural language. Soon, we will live in a world where, regardless of your programming abilities, the main limitations are simply curiosity and imagination.

The Garland Test, inspired by dialog from the movie, is passed when a person feels that a machine has consciousness, even though they know it is a machine.

Will computers pass the Garland Test in 2023? I doubt it. But what I can predict is that claims like this will be made, resulting in yet more cycles of hype, confusion, and distraction from the many problems that even present-day AI is giving rise to.

This will force us to reconsider how our behaviours today might influence digital versions of ourselves set to outlive us.

Faced with this prospect of virtual immortality, 2023 will be the year we broaden our definition of what it means to live forever, a moral question that will fundamentally change how we live our day-to-day lives, but also what it means to be immortal stupid.

We tend to think we are the be all and end all—but we’re not. The sooner we can realize that the natural world goes its way, not our way, the better.”  “I hope as a consequence that the needs and wonder and importance of the natural world are seen. We tend to think we are the be all and end all—but we’re not.

We’re both the victims and benefactors, and the sooner we can realize that the natural world goes its way, not our way, the better.” Sir David Attenborough.

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THE BEADY EYE SAY’S: THERE IS NO MORE ROOM FOR OPTIMISM WHEN IT COME TO REVERTING CLIMATE CHANGE.

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(Five minute read)

The truth is.

Limiting the damage requires rapid, radical change to the way the world works.

A scientist standing in front of a globe delivers a speech at Cop in Copenhagen, 15 December 2009.

In this post I will lay out the true case for pessimism and the true case for (cautious) optimism.

“Is there hope?” is just a malformed question.

It mistakes the nature of the problem.

The atmosphere is steadily warming. Things are going to get worse for humanity the more it warms.

But there’s nothing magic about 2 degrees. It doesn’t mark a line between not-screwed and screwed.

We have some choice in how screwed we are, and that choice will remain open to us no matter how hot it gets.

Even if temperature rise exceeds 2 degrees, the basic structure of the challenge will remain the same.

It will still be warming. It will still get worse for humanity the more it warms. Two degrees will be bad, but three would be worse, four worse than that, and five worse still.

When temperatures reach 60c photosynthesis stops working and the need for sustainability becomes more urgent, not less. At that point, we will be flirting with non-trivial tail risks of species-threatening — or at least civilization-threatening — effects.

In sum:

Humanity faces the urgent imperative to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, then eliminate them, and then go “net carbon negative,” i.e., absorb and sequester more carbon from the atmosphere than it emits.

It will face that imperative for several generations to come, no matter what the temperature is.

What are the reasonable odds that the current international regime, the one that will likely be in charge for the next dozen crucial years, will reduce global carbon emissions enough to hit the 2 degree target?

Can we restrain and channel our collective development in a sustainable direction.    NO

For any hope of hitting 2 degrees, global emissions must peak and begin rapidly falling within the next dozen years. And they must continue rapidly falling until humanity goes net carbon negative sometime around mid-century or shortly thereafter.

That means developed countries must go negative earlier, to allow for a slower and more difficult shift in developing countries.

Accomplishing that would require immediate, bold, sustained, coordinated action. And, well … look around. Look at how things are going. Look at who is running things. Look at the established economic regimes of the last half-century.  Is this likely to happen, not on your nelly

As Enno Schröder and Servaas Storm of Delft University write in their blunt and unsettling recent paper, “the required degree and speed with which we have to decarbonize our economies and improve energy efficiency are quite difficult to imagine within the context of our present socioeconomic system.”

The dominant climate-economic models used to generate scenarios showing how to hit the 2 degree target produce a few key common outcomes.

One is that they require an extraordinary amount of energy efficiency. The bulk of the reduction in demand for fossil fuels through 2040 or so, in most successful 2 degree scenarios, is accomplished by reduction in overall energy demand. It is only around 2040 that displacement of fossil fuel energy by zero-carbon energy takes over as the dominant driver of fossil fuel reductions.

For centuries now, the growth of economies has been tightly coupled with rising energy demand and rising greenhouse gas emissions — a one-to-one correlation, more or less.

In recent years, however, several countries have seen their economies grow faster than their emissions.

The world’s current economies are not capable of the emission reductions required to limit temperature rise to 2 degrees. If world leaders insist on maintaining historical rates of economic growth, and there are no step-change advances in technology, hitting that target requires a rate of reduction in carbon intensity for which there is simply no precedent.

Despite all the recent hype about decoupling, there’s no historical evidence that current economies are decoupling at anything close to the rate required.

In fact, it’s worth noting that the vast majority of scenarios used by climate policymakers take continued economic growth as an unquestioned premise. And they also accept that historical technology improvement rates will hold in the future. The question they basically answer: “How much can we reduce emissions while continuing to grow our economies at historical rates, with technology developing at historical rates?”

Put simply, if we are determined to maintain the economic status quo, we cannot possibly mitigate climate change, so we must turn to adapting to it.

We have to come to terms with the impossibility of material, social, and political progress as a universal promise: life is going to be worse for most people in the 21st century in all these dimensions.

The political consequences of this are hard to predict.

The choice is radicalism today or disaster tomorrow, and from all signs, humanity is choosing the latter.

The fight to decarbonize and eventually go carbon negative will last beyond the lifetime of anyone reading this post. That is true no matter how high the temperature rises. The stakes will always be enormous; time will always be short; there will never be an excuse to stop fighting.

All of this needs collective action and a strong directional thrust which ‘markets’ or ‘private agents’ alone are unable to provide.

But rapid change is not just possible in technology. It is also possible in politics.

In both domains, there are “tipping points” after which change accelerates, rendering the once implausible inevitable.

We are rarely able to predict those tipping points.

Relying on them can seem like hoping for miracles. But our history is replete with miraculously rapid changes. They have happened; they can happen again. And the more we envision them, and work toward them, the more likely they become.

What other choice is there?

It will take close to half a million years before a ton of CO2 emitted today from burning fossil fuels is completely removed from the atmosphere naturally.

The world militaries contribution to green house gases ( and I am guessing ) alone is bigger than the economic out put of the whole of the African.

It has been 30 years since the Rio summit, when a global system was set up that would bring countries together on a regular basis to try to solve the climate crises.

The ink was hardly dry on the Glasgow pact when the world began to change in ways potentially disastrous for hopes of tackling the climate crisis. Energy and food price rises mean that governments face a cost of living and energy security crisis, with some threatening to respond by returning to fossil fuels, including coal.

Despite pledges made at climate summit the world is still nowhere near its goals on limiting global temperature rise. The next summit will be on different as no one wants to carry the financial can. 

(In previous post I have suggested the establishment of a Perpetual green fund by placing 0.05% commission on all activities that are not sustainable.) This could spread the cost of tackling the climate crises Fairley.   

We don’t have time to have unquestioned assumptions.  

The real truth is that the earth in its billion of years of existence ( with our without us) has gone through many climate change disasters and survived.

We on the other had only need a further temperature rise to join a log list of extinction.  

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THE BEADY EYE ASK’S: IS NATO GUMMING AT THE BIT FOR A WAR WITH RUSSIA.

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(Three minute read)

NATO is a defensive alliance of 31 countries from Europe and North America. Ukraine is a NATO partner country, which means that it cooperates closely with NATO but it is not covered by the security guarantee in the Alliance’s founding treaty.

If Ukraine was to join while engaged in a war (or indeed any other country) Article 5, of the North Atlantic Treaty’s which says that an armed attack against one or more NATO members shall be considered an attack against them all, would plunge the world into a global war.

There is no doubt that we are going to have to pay the considerable price of a more militarized Europe for decades to come, but for NATO to be putting pressure on its members, by allowing the Ukraine to become a member while engaged in a war (legal or not) it is inviting its members to engage in all out war against Russia is unimageable, and away beyond its remit.

Yes military assistance can continue, and even increase, without admitting Ukraine to NATO.

Up to now NATO was purely defensive alliance an organisation, it does not directly provide weapons or ammunition to Ukraine, however individual NATO member countries are sending weapons, ammunition and many types of light and heavy military equipment, including anti-tank and air defence systems, howitzers, drones and tanks.

To date, NATO Allies have provided billions of euros’ worth of military equipment to Ukraine. Allied forces are also training Ukrainian troops to use this equipment. All of this is making a difference on the battlefield every day, helping Ukraine to uphold its right of self-defence, which is enshrined in the United Nations Charter.

Of course it is only right that any country can express its desire to be part of NATO or not.

But no country at war or not, has the right to demand membership, so all of this talk of securing membership is just political verbal.

Why ?

Because no matter how one looks at NATO membership for Ukraine, while its defensive war with Russia continued, its chances of securing membership  would necessitate direct U.S. involvement.

Even the clustered mind of American Presidents or the Russian warped mind of Putin’s would not want this to happen.

Volodymyr Zelensky

While political language about Ukraine’s future relationship with the alliance and the practical military help promised in the current conflict are likely to dominate coverage, NATO’s main task is to defend its 31 members so it is right to massively reinforce the security of member countries near to Russia, Ukraine and Belarus.

The territory of contemporary Ukraine “used to belong to several empires or states, so some versions of Ukrainian identity do not even have anything to do with Russia at all.

The two countries’ shared heritage goes back more than a thousand years to a time when Kyiv, now Ukraine’s capital, was at the center of the first Slavic state, Kyivan Rus, the birthplace of both Ukraine and Russia.

Over the past 10 centuries, Ukraine has repeatedly been carved up by competing powers.

With the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, Ukraine became an independent nation.

The Soviet Union is gone — and in the post-Soviet era, Ukrainian sentiment has only continued to sour on Russia, especially after its occupation of Crimea in 2014 and subsequent annexation.

Crimea was occupied and annexed by Russia in 2014, followed shortly after by a separatist uprising in the eastern Ukrainian region of Donbas that resulted in the declaration of the Russian-backed People’s Republics of Luhansk and Donetsk.

Today, the two countries find themselves in conflict yet again, fault lines that reflect the region’s tumultuous history.

We must not wait until the end of the war to embrace Ukraine unfortunately is an aspiration for the birds.

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THE BEADY EYE SAY’S. Ten years from now, we may look back on this moment in history as a colossal mistake or it could be the greatest empowerment moment in human history.

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( Four minute read)

This year, the world got a rude awakening to the insane power of AI when OpenAI unleashed ChatGPT4 onto the world. This AI text generator/chatbot seemed to be able to replicate human-generated content so well that even AI detection software struggled to tell the difference between the two.

This is not an alien invasion of intelligent machines; it’s the result of our own efforts to make our infrastructure and our way of life more intelligent.

It’s part of human endeavour. We merge with our machines. Ultimately, they will extend who we are.

Our mobile phone, for example, makes us more intelligent and able to communicate with each other. It’s really part of us already. It might not be literally connected to you, but nobody leaves home without one.

It’s like half your brain.

Thinking of AI as a futuristic tool that will lead to immeasurable good or harm is a distraction from the ways we are using it now.

How do we ensure that the AI we build, which might very well be significantly smarter than any person who has ever lived, is aligned with the interests of its creators and of the human race?

What if at some point in the near future, computer scientists build an AI that passes a threshold of superintelligence and can build other super intelligent AI.

An unaligned super intelligent AI could be quite a problem.

For example, we’ve been predicting for decades that AI will replace radiologists, but machine learning for radiology is still a complement for doctors rather than a replacement. Let’s hope this is a sign of AI’s relationship to the rest of humanity—that it will serve willingly as the ship’s first mate rather than play the part of the fateful iceberg.

No laws can prevent China ~ Russia ~ Terrorist network~  Rogue psychopath from developing the most manipulative and dishonest AI you could possibly imagine.

We can’t trust some speculative future technology to rescue us.

Climate change is already killing people, and many more people are going to die even in a best-case scenario, but we get to decide now just how bad it gets.

Action taken decades from now is much less valuable than action taken soon.

The first role AI can play in climate action is distilling raw data into useful information – taking big datasets, which would take too much time for a human to process, and pulling information out in real time to guide policy or private-sector action.

Everyone wants a silver bullet to solve climate change; unfortunately there isn’t one. But there are lots of ways AI can help fight climate change. While there is no single big thing that AI will do, there are many medium-sized things.

An attendee controls an AI-powered prosthetic hand during 2021 World Artificial Intelligence conference in Shanghai.

Most movies about AI have an “us versus them” mentality, but that’s really not the case.

Even if one were to stand on the side of curious skepticism, (which feels natural,) we ought to be fairly terrified by this nonzero chance of humanity inventing itself into extinction.

Whereas AI is, for now, pure software blooming inside computers. Someday soon, however, AI might read everything—like, literally every thing, swallowing everything into a black hole and not even god knows what it will be recycled.

Just shovel ever-larger amounts of human-created text into its maw, and wait for wondrous new skills to manifest. With enough data, this approach could perhaps even yield a more fluid intelligence, or a humanlike artificial mind akin to those that haunt nearly all of our mythologies of the future.

On the syllabus at the moment : Is a decent fraction of all the surviving text that we have ever produced.

To codify the philosophy in a set of wise laws and regulations to ensure the good behaviour of our super intelligent AI,  like laws to make it illegal, for example, to develop AI systems that manipulate domestic or foreign actors. Is pie in the sky

In the next decade, autocrats and terrorist networks could be able to cheaply build diabolical AI that can accomplish some of the goals outlined in the Yudkowsky story. (The key issue is not “human-competitive” intelligence (as his open letter puts it); It’s what happens after AI gets to smarter-than-human intelligence.

Key thresholds here may not be obvious.

We definitely can’t calculate in advance what happens when, and it currently seems imaginable that a research lab would cross critical lines without noticing.

AT THE MOMENT ALL WE HAVE IS A COPING MECCHANISM.

Like non-proliferation laws for nuclear weaponry that are hard to enforce.

Nuclear weapons require raw material that is scarce and needs expensive refinement. Software is easier, and this technology is improving by the month.

Turing test: robot versus human sitting inside cubes facing each other

We have years to debate how education ought to change in response to these tools, but something interesting and important is undoubtedly happening.

If we figured out how people are going to share in the wealth that AI unlocks, then I think we could end up in a world where people don’t have to work to eat, and are instead taking on projects because they are meaningful to them.

But where do AI companies get this truly astonishing amount of high-quality data from?

Well, to put it bluntly, they steal it.

But as it stands, the AI boom might be approaching a flashpoint where these models can’t avoid consuming their own output, leading to a gradual decline in their effectiveness. This will only be accelerated as AI-generated content perfuses the internet over the coming years, making it harder and harder to source genuine human-made content.

AI is viewed as a strategic technology to lead us into the future.

So what should be done:

  • Many people lack a full understanding of AI and therefore are more likely to view it as a nebulous cloud instead of a powerful driving force that can create a lot of value for society;
  • Instead of writing off AI as too complicated for the average person to understand, we should seek to make AI accessible to everyone in society. It shouldn’t be just the scientists and engineers who understand it; through adequate education, communication and collaboration, people will understand the potential value that AI can create for the community.
  • We should democratize AI, meaning that the technology should belong to and benefit all of society; and we should be realistic about where we are in AI’s development.
  • Most of the achievements we have made are, in fact, based on having a huge amount of (labelled) data, rather than on AI’s ability to be intelligent on its own. Learning in a more natural way, including unsupervised or transfer learning, is still nascent and we are a long way from reaching AI supremacy.

From this point of view, society has only just started its long journey with AI and we are all pretty much starting from the same page. To achieve the next breakthroughs in AI, we need the global community to participate and engage in open collaboration and dialogue.

If this does not happen and happen (sooner than later) it will be AI that will be calling the shots

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https://time.com/6266923/ai-eliezer-yudkowsky-open-letter-not-enough/

THE BEADY EYE SAY’S. REPRESENTIVE DEMOCRACY IS COMING (IF NOT ALREADY) TO ITS END.

(Twelve minute read)

Politics has long pervaded every facet of human life, dictating interactions and experiences on local, national and international levels. However one does not have to be a political analyst to see that young people are disengaging from more traditional and institutional forms of participation or to know that how to govern effectively with beneficial policies that uphold and promote democracy are becoming more challenging than ever, especially with increasing and unprecedented technological advances.

We know that trust in politics is declining across large parts of the democratic world because the lines between fact and fantasy are blurred by Social Media.  

Many people have lost faith that politicians can change their lives for the better.

For me, what’s important here is that people are recognising and acquiring ownership of their power and are becoming important political players – reclaiming democratic processes of contestation, political conflict resolution.

I cannot stress this point enough:

We need to decolonise the democracy project.

Engagement of local people and their capacities are critical, as opposed to more Euro-centric approaches which assume western superiority in building and sustaining democracy.

With democracy disappearing into the black box of technology and algorithm analysis what we’re witnessing now is actually a very revolutionary moment, that will lead to no universal health care, no universal pension system, no universal educational system.

Basically, everyone is on their own.

What’s the point of the state when it cannot even provide basic necessities, could not organise a basic emergency response to the Covid pandemic until thousands died, cannot implement long term solutions to providing green energy to revert Climate change, because of short term aspirations in political power.

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This has been a year of uncertainty.

The events of this year and the cumulative effect of recent years as a whole are not only “consolidating” the tendency for protests and social movements to become politicised, they have problematised it.

It seems now that what is considered progressive can only be expressed in a very reactionary way.

What can be done?

Democratic protest politics is being born before our very eyes, but what will it actually look like once consolidated?  What will the fight really be about?  Who will become its collective subject?

This is the question that has a global dimension.

We see that the conservative political agenda – the conservative populist appeal to ethnicity, tradition, preservation against western or foreign influence – is gaining momentum.

The images of huge demonstrations in France are just the tip of the iceberg.

Behind it lies a huge experience of self-organisation.

On the one hand, protest has started becoming part of representative politics. On the other, protest movements have found themselves in the centre of “programmatic” discussions about how to change  society.

Will it be Twitter or Threads, or TikTok or a combination of Spotify, MeWe  and the rest that will drive the future of political representation?  How then can we ensure platforms designers are equipped with sufficient knowledge to make the best decisions?

Current measures against disinformation and hate speech are “insufficient to counter the assault on our democracy. The need for clear rules for internet giants, whose “policies have an impact on the real world” and who seem to be the ones deciding which messages are acceptable or not.

Raised the problems created by large companies dealing with personal data and asking them to solve them by arbitrarily censoring harmful content themselves is not an option for democracy.

We need to bring order to the digital expression of democracy and to end the digital Wild West.

There is no online or offline world, only one world, in which we must protect our citizens’ rights and our democracies in equal measure both online and offline.

Platforms will have to run every notification through their algorithm and the consequence will be overly politically correct censorship.

On the internet, the freedom of one group of people shouldn’t stop where the big platform bosses decide. It is up to the democratic institutions, our laws, our courts to set the rules of the game, to define what is illegal and what is not, what must be removed and what should not be.

The kind of new social media platform that I believe could dominate the industry in the future will be premised on a decentralized model; it will use blockchain and open-source technology with the intent to make the platform more democratic and grant its users full ownership of their accounts and profits.

They the young prefer alternative forms of political engagements such as protesting, demonstrating, being part of organisations, signing petitions, volunteering, and engaging online through digital tools.

People have become increasingly concerned about the security of their mobile devices.

Elections lie at the heart of representative democracies underpinned by the core idea that citizens elect citizens to represent their values and interests. There claimed is that “we need to get back to some form of legitimacy.

Through digital tools that help governments to be more transparent or that help citizens to take part in public policy decisions.

That’s the most irrelevant thing you could hear during a revolutionary moment.

What kind of legitimacy? Revolutions are made to subvert the existing legitimacy.

So what if anything would drive participation Politics?

With the citizen at its core, Political Participation can be defined as any lawful activity undertaken by citizens that aims to influence, change or affect the government, public policies, or how institutions are run.

The will of young people and the necessity to involve them in decision making, not only in youth-related issues, but in all societal decisions is paramount to democracy survival.

Re-establishing local self-government, building a new system of communication and local leadership from the ground up will require Citizens participation assemblies that are offering ownership and responsibility of provision/supply with participatory budget of financing decided by communities.

We must learn to trust in citizens’ capacity.  Because citizens and governments are not only part of the problem but part of the solution.

It is necessary to rebuild the social fabric and support political transformation.

This is not a trivial exercise and not easy to implement, as it requires a new understanding of the role of the state, of civil society groups, and above all of what it means to be a citizen in the 21st century.

If you highlight the ‘will of the people’ as a key normative criterion of democracy, and yet fail to acknowledge the plurality of this ‘will’, then this means your political response will be non-reflexive.

This political transformation will not come from a single place, nor will it come only from the state or only from civil society groups, but it will have to come from both – Ultimately, we are talking about a type of politic transformation towards politics that are more human, more accountable, more transparent, tolerant, organic, and empathetic, open to recognizing mistakes and to experimentation, and focused on the public good.

——————–

Considering the current state of democracy, these are just some of the big questions.

WHY?

Because participation is an inseparable element of democracy. Every society is based on shared values and collective ideals acquired throughout the socialisation process.

Because the rules of the electoral game influence the dynamic and reciprocal relationship between citizens and parties. Artificial intelligence is repacking it in Algorithms.

Because Social media is exposing its weaknesses. Creating a more fragile relationship with democratic values, greater distance from the political process and new forms of participation in organised groups. Young people’s attraction to the populist movements found in many countries reflects this apparent fragility. , Ties with democracy have come increasingly under pressure among the least educated young people.

Because decisions taken by the majority are becoming less reflective of young people’s views and expectations. such as the demands of Climate change.

Because Populism and technocracy see themselves as anti politics and, more specifically, antiparty’.

Because the representative democratic system (for example political parties) as a way of colonising the system by exposing and exploiting its institutional biases.

Because populists are usually not able to deal with complex issues or to point out alternatives for the public good.

Because the gap that develops between what the public expect from party representation, and what it delivers is winding.

Because the existence of representative institutions at the national level is not sufficient for democracy  … for a democratic polity to exist it is necessary for a participatory society to exist, i.e. a society where all political systems have been democratized.

Because the corruption of political and economic elites is essentially irredeemable.

Because the narrative of “us against them” to safeguard individual privileges.

—————

The search for peace remains high on the global political agenda.

We all aspire to contribute to governmental accountability to population, to building peaceful inclusive societies with accountable political actors. We have the chance to use the dissatisfaction, frustration, and indignation in society to create new relationships and new social pacts. From protesting to voting, young people are showing up for our planet, our future and our political systems.

But they still face many barriers to representation.

The importance of offline political participation experiences in increasing both online and offline participation with the intergenerational dialogue about the future is Climate Change.

Participatory and technocratic anti-politics promote reflexivity, while elitist and populist anti-politics reject it.

The roles of young people go beyond being taught, that acknowledges the contributions of young people to political participation and to how it can be understood.

Participation (in student councils, groups or clubs) and political interest have an effect on civic participation, and students recognize the formative value of debates and confrontation of opinions as well of participating in school councils and assemblies in fostering interest in social issues.

It’s time for change to ensure that the vacuum is not filled by those who seek personal gain and that this indignation does not result in social isolation and cynicism or even violence.

You cannot put the genie of AI back into the bottle.

But we can with Caught in the Act data collection methods (developed to capture hard-to-reach group, such as people attending demonstrations) ask or at least encourage motivations for them to join participation.

Not been asked by anyone to participate/ get evolved, will eventually drive the young of the world into the slavery of digitalized citizens.

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THE BEADY EYE ASK’S: WHAT TODAY WOULD BE A FAIR DISCRIPTION OF ENGLAND BE?

( Thirteen minute read)

In answering this question one has to remember that England is reaping the rewards of an empire that was created by military/sea power, leaving a global heritage of blood and guts, for the sake of power and wealth.

Officially known as The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, it’s no longer a sovereign nation, unable to participate in international affairs by itself.

Attached to the remnants of an empire that has long disappeared, called the Common Wealth, it has become a country that does not know what it is, with a people that recently voted to leave its European neighbours.

The countries in white are the ones Britain has never invaded, or had military action with. There are 22.

A country rich with a history and royal magnificence, that has no written constitution other than the Magna Carta ( A medieval Document ) remaining as a cornerstone of the British constitution.

(Although most of the clauses of Magna Carta have now been repealed) many divergent uses that have been made of it since the Middle Ages, have shaped its meaning in the modern era, with its potent, international rallying cry, against the arbitrary use of power/sovereignty.

A country with a first past the post voting system.Members of the House of Lords sit in the House of Lords chamber

A country of inherited titles: For example, a hereditary peer becomes a Lord following the death of his father when the title is passed to him. Originally the Lords were “wise men” drawn together to advise Saxon monarchs now they are appointed about eight hundred. If you’re really desperate to add a touch of prestige to your name, you can simply call yourself Lord (Whateveryoufancy). Under UK and International Law you have the right to call yourself and be known as anything you like, as long as you are not doing it for fraudulent purposes. So really, assessing how may ‘Lords’ there are in England at any one time is a pretty impossible task. Barons, viscounts, earls, and marquesses can all be referred to as ‘Lords’ instead of their full title, as can their sons. Lords can claim £300 a day for attendance or choose to claim a lower rate, or not at all. They can also claim for some expenses.

A country dotted with estate homes from a past social class, built on slavery and sugar cane.

A country that burdens it youth with an average debt of 50000 pounds for an university education, while making millions out of foreign students.

A country that had been the centre of the gold market for 300 years, that sold tons of its gold reserve.

( Globalisation was re-ordering the financial world; the euro created a new – and, hoped-for, stronger – monetary system; there were calls for the International Monetary Fund to sell its gold to help write off Third World debt; private investors had lost interest in the precious metal, preferring to help fuel the dotcom bubble.)

A country that privatised its national industries such as Cable & Wireless and British Aerospace, Britoil and British Gas, Water, British Coal, a doctrine that was to make the large utilities more efficient and productive, and thus make British capitalism competitive relative to its continental rivals.

By opening the public sector to profit, it gets a lot of capital into circulation – contributing to inflation and siding off profits to the share holders. It was not just a question of stimulating private sector investment, but also of culture war intended to re-engineer the electorate along the lines of the “popular capitalism” vaunted by Thatcher.

A country that has pumped billions into its economy with quantitative easing to save its banks, and its economy during  the Covid pandemic, now wondering why it has inflation, heading for a recession.

A country that is still pumping raw sewerage into its river and lakes.

A country with a gutter press, purveyors of sensationalist propagandist opinions and gossip, falsely labelled as NEWS. In other words, the headline deliberately suggested the exact opposite of the truth. Until recently had topless woman as the centre page. These days what passes for scandal is accounted journalism, while what was once called journalism is what used to be called ‘creative writing’.

A country building a high speed railway that is costing billion to take 30 minute of going to London.

A country that built two new aircraft carriers while food bank are needed to feed its people..

A country spending billions on football players and billions on Olympic gold medals (worth a few hundred euros) while its health system is going broke.

A country of  696 victims of homicide in the year ending March 2022,

A country full of drug abuse, violent crime, teenage delinquency, family breakdown, welfare dependency, poor urban environments, educational failure, poverty, the loss of traditional values, teenage pregnancy, dysfunctional families, binge drinking, children who kill and Obesity from junk food.

A country where it’s starkly evident that major ethnic and racial inequalities persist in employment, housing and the justice system and sport. Proving that racism and discrimination are the driving forces behind the inequalities. For every ten positive replies that the British applicant (James or Emily) received, a person with a recognisably African (Akintunde or Adeola) or Pakistani name (Tariq or Yasmin) received only six.

A country of churches full of war glorification.

A country that put economics before its people.

A country where land ownership is far from transparent, that needs to build 340,000 Social homes per year until 2031.

How it is use has implications for almost everything: the affordability of housing, the way food is growing, how much space is is put aside for nature. The law of trespass still prevails over vast swathes of England, with 24 million land titles in the country, buying the lot would set you back a cool £72 million. Land has always conferred wealth and power, and concealing wealth is part and parcel of preserving it. Just over 400 hectares (1,000 acres) of central London’s super-prime real estate belongs to the Crown, the Church, and four wealthy aristocratic estates. Over 200,000 hectares (500,000 acres) of the English uplands are tied up in huge grouse-moor estates owned by around 150 people. The Duke of Northumberland, whose family lineage stretches back to Domesday, owns 40,468 hectares (100,000 acres) – a tenth of his home county. Indeed, many of the largest landowners in the country today owe their standing to decisions made by the Norman king William almost 1,000 years ago. After conquering England, William declared all land belonged ultimately to him, before parcelling it out to his cronies: his barons and his allies in the Church.

The Crown Estate owns London’s Regent Street, including the freehold for Apple’s flagship UK store, from which the Crown collects more rent than from all its agricultural land.

The National Trust owns around a fifth of the Lake District National Park in Cumbria.

The Duke of Westminster’s trusts own Abbeystead Estate in Lancashire, a huge grouse moor that covers much of the Forest of Bowland.

Paternoster Square in the City of London, home of the London Stock Exchange, is owned by the Church Commissioners.

It’s high time the Government opened up the Land Registry, forced it to complete its founding mission, and told us who owns England.

A country that is now thinking of dumping the European Bill of human rights so it can deport immigrants and refugees, fleeing wars and poverty, to Rwanda a country that recently had a genocide.

All of which can be cited as proof of a broken society.

Three girls wearing Union Jack headscarves and waiving flags

But what, exactly, is this country called?

England? The United Kingdom? Great Britain? Or just Britain? Are any of these names correct? Are all of them? Which part of the UK presents its greatest existential challenge? Scotland as it tests the waters of independence? Northern Ireland with its borders buffeted by the winds of Brexit?

Being English is now more than a factual statement about place of birth or citizenship. It is an attitude and a state of mind, resulting in the more English you are the the more retrospective you are.

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 With England recently remembering Windrush, the question has become what is a common understanding of what constitutes fairness.  What goes around comes back.

The picture is bleak for the living standards of Britain’s most at-risk and ‘forgotten’ groups
of people, who are in danger of becoming stuck in their current situation for years to come.

Those who can’t work rely on an increasingly restricted welfare regime that is projected to lower their living standards even further.

Wealth and political fairness still appears to be wanting in Britain.

The majority of the British public believe that wealth differences are unfair, while fewer than four in ten agree that justice prevails over injustice or that people get what they deserve.

This attitudes towards fairness and justice in Britain are not very different from those recorded in other large Western European democracies.

Only 20% of the British public think that differences in wealth in Britain are fair, whilst a majority
(59%) think that wealth differences in Britain are unfairly.

People whose main income comes from benefits are the least likely to think that the political system does a lot to ensure everyone has a fair chance to be involved in politics. People with a university degree are the most likely to think the political system does a lot to encourage participation.

For people to feel that they have a fair chance to succeed, they need to believe that they are subject to the same rules as their fellow citizens.

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For some people, fairness and equality may closely align if they believe that fair outcomes see everyone receiving a comparable amount of a particular resource.

For others, fairness may actually be in conflict with equality if they believe that individuals should be rewarded for their effort or abilities.

Therefore income inequality (reflecting differences in ongoing financial incomings and outcomings) and wealth inequality (reflecting differences in the financial resources accumulated over time) are likely to be considered fair by people who believe that these inequalities reflect differences in individuals’ hard work or talents. Nonetheless, wealth inequalities in particular risk embedding economic advantages among those citizens who can accumulate and hand down wealth to future generations.,

Questions as to who holds power and privilege in Britain are as salient as ever.

Only a quarter of the British public thinks that the political system does “a lot” or “a great deal” to ensure that everyone has a fair chance to participate in politics.

Political activity in Britain has been dominated by older and more highly educated people, and socioeconomic disparities in politics may simply reinforce or exacerbate a lack of–or a perceived lack of–fairness in the way Britain operates. As with age, education levels can also be seen as a dividing line in Britain for a range of political and social attitudes and behaviours.

I think England is possibly a country which is not honest with itself.

The history of England over the past 100 years is largely the history of Britain, and one of diminishing individual importance on a global scale.

The Union flag and the British National Anthem don’t speak for me.

England to me is much more than a football team.

National identities in the UK are diverging. In truth, most English people have long abandoned ethnic and racist ideas of Englishness. The vast majority don’t believe you have to be white to be English.

Shockingly England, has no state, no citizenship and no national political space. England is the only part of the UK not to have its own elected parliament or assembly. Yet England is the biggest country within the UK and has by a long way the biggest population and economy.

What modern country in its right mind would allow a monarch to still play a constitutional role of  authorising the formation of a government. Add in that indefensible anachronism that is the House of Lords and surely you’re left with some patchwork, make do and mend set up?

England has an image problem.

Up until relatively recently the English merely saw themselves as “British”. Indeed, for foreigners, England and Britain are one and the same (much to the annoyance of the Scots and Welsh and now growing in Northern Ireland.

There has never been a demand for English independence because England were the conquerors, the senior partners in the UK. Even in the devolution of Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland, this was England granting “home rule” to the Celtic nations. The very thought of English devolution never crossed the government’s mind.

Geography is no better a way to divide people than gender, skin colour, sexual preference etc etc – it is something that any one individual has no say over. You are born where you are born, and are arguably to different degrees lucky in that respect – and we are free to say it does not define us, most of us have some choice over where we live.

I think there is a cognitive disconnect, an ignorance about the scale of oppression England and Britain caused across the world – across the largest global empire ever to exist – and the legacy it bear.

If England had the same level of representation as the other UK nations, if the UK was a truly federal country like Germany or the United States, then England might finally be seen as an equal partner in the UK. People could take their identity from the largest, most inclusive denomination English, but also be British.

It’s time for all parties and politicians to embrace federalism as a way to keep the UK from tearing itself apart.

How much would you say that the political system in Britain ensures that everyone has a fair chance to participate in politics?

Bin the House of Lords.

Without Proportional representation very little. Gripped by a struggle between an increasingly liberal secular society that pushed for change and a conservative opposition that rooted its worldview in divine scripture of an empire, it is creating a dangerous sense of winner-take -all conflict over the future of the country.

One would need to be blinkered not to see the signs of justification for violence.

Instead of just culture wars, there’s now a kind of class-culture conflict promoted by Social Media that has moved beyond the simple boundaries of religiosity.

So now, instead of just culture wars, there’s now a kind of class-culture conflict. With a sense of being on the losing side of our global economy and its dynamics which are turning to algorithms that are understood by no one.

You might say that this doesn’t necessarily lead to a shooting war, but you never have a shooting war without a culture war prior to it, because culture provides the justifications for violence.

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[Nowadays,] with climate change it is a position that is mainly rooted in fear of extinction.

On political matters, one can compromise; on matters of ultimate moral truth, one cannot.

Where does that leave us?  What does it portend for the decades to come?

Well, in a world that has politicized everything, there’s a sense that politics is both the root cause of the problems we face and, ultimately, the solution.

Straightforward, materialist social science would say that people are voting their economic interests all the time. But they don’t.

The seeming contradiction of people voting against their economic interests only highlights that point: That, in many respects, our self-understanding as individuals, as communities and as a nation trumps all of those things.

I think that there are ways in which serious and substantive democratic discourse is made difficult, if not impossible, by the democratization and proliferation of free speech. That seems like a strange thing to say, but .. .Democracy, in my view, is an agreement that we will not kill each other over our differences, but instead we’ll talk through those differences.

The range of the culture war seems to be all-encompassing.

Most of the time, it is in terms of race and ethnicity, immigration and the like; it is not about the poor, per se. I think that’s a pretty significant shift in the left’s self-understanding.

Therefore, the “culture wars” that we are now witnessing are really about the mobilization of political resources —of people and votes and parties—around certain positions on cultural issues. In that sense, a “culture wars” are really about politics.

In simpler terms, I would make the distinction between the weather and the climate.

Almost all journalists and most academics focus on what’s happening in the weather: “Today, it’s cold. Tomorrow, it’s going to be warm. The next day, it’s going to rain.” I find the climatological changes that are taking place to be much more interesting. And it’s those that are really animating our politics and polarization, animating dynamics within democracy right now.

Conservatives see as an existential threat to their way of life, to the things that they hold sacred.

Latent within these struggles is a conflict over the meaning of a country.

The UK’s economic performance has been disastrous for 15 years. The consequences are plain to see: people are struggling to make ends meet; taxes are high, yet public services are overloaded; fights over a shrinking economic pie are leading to widespread strikes. All this is taking place at a time of low unemployment, so we cannot simply wait for the business cycle to rescue us.

If England were to concentrate on a green economy,  become self efficient with green power its economy would boom.

I cannot see any reason as to why its people should not be encouraged to buy into wind turbines, to own them and befits from the energy generated. 

People in power only enjoy it at our (the people’s) pleasure.

All human comments appreciated. All like clicks and abuse chucked in the bin.

Contact: bobdillon33@gmail.com