The human race joined in a common cause in Paris, but it’s what happens after is what really matters.
That’s just it.
After a few days in the spot lights of the world media we are lead to believe that climate change has broadly improved while the wheels of Capitalism turn ever faster and more productively.
Where were the external threats of climate change to replace, Inequality, Greed, Asylum – seekers, Wars, Water shortages, Forest fires, and the like gone.
It didn’t work and is not working.
Can you honestly imagine Africa, the Middle East and South America making any effort to meet their obligations to combat climate change?
Does anyone seriously believe that politely asking the governments of wealthy nations to protect the most vulnerable people’s from climate catastrophe will ensure their salvation?
This is like respectfully requesting that the fossil fuels industry transfer its historical profits to developing nations as reparations – a not unreasonable request, considering the millions of poor who have been devastated over decades by the industry’s depredations.
As long as fossil fuels appear to be the cheapest fuels out there, they will be continued to be burned. Just look at the price of Oil.
It’s was all vacuous grandstanding, designed to appease the eco-fanatics and allow politicians to feel good about themselves. That is politicians that don’t having a clue what to do about the everyday problems which concern the people who pay their wages — let alone the menace of Islamist terrorism and mass migration — they disguise their impotence and indifference by diving headlong into displacement activity.
What better way than to achieve this but with agreeing to a Climate deal that undermines the rights of the world’s most vulnerable communities and has almost nothing binding to ensure a safe and liveable climate for future generations.
I don’t think for a moment that any climate scientists is buying the hype.
All the aspiration and the rhetoric will not deliver reductions in carbon dioxide emissions…
It’s outrageous that the deal being spun as a success when it merely called upon States to “pursue efforts” to limit the increase to 1.5C.
Do decades of governmental inaction give us any cause to believe that such efforts will be vigorously pursued, even though the Paris accord imposes no penalty whatsoever for failure to pursue them?
The report states: [Countries will hold] the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2C above pre-industrial levels and [pursue] efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5C. Pull the other leg.
It also includes a five-year review system to increase ambition on cutting emissions as well as finance for developing countries to deal with rising temperatures.
The media has championed the Paris climate change agreement that resulted from COP21 as a ground-breaking step in the right direction – however it is the actions that take place on the ground over the next five crucial years that will determine whether or not the Paris agreement is worth the paper it’s written on.
Evidence shows that the emissions reduction pledges put forward in countries’ Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs) ahead of COP21 in Paris are not sufficiently ambitious to keep the increase in global average temperature below the internationally agreed 2°C threshold.
It can be said that Paris is a promising departure. Getting to the right destination is another matter.
Interpretive principle is not the same as a hard legal obligation. In particular, nowhere in the Paris accord are states mandated to take all steps necessary to ensure that the temperature limit is not breached.
Climate change is driven by the total stock of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, not just by the flow of new emissions, and the world’s rich countries are mostly responsible for what’s already there.
The Copenhagen agreement also included aviation and shipping, two sectors that collectively combined are similar to the emissions from the U.K. and Germany.
These are now exempt from the current text, and they are growing very rapidly indeed.
There is no action, just promises.
You could be forgiven for thinking that the world has entered a doldrums.
People are still wrangling about the Iraq war, whether China is or not a superpower, whether a racist will become the President of the USA, whether we all be under the rule of ISIS or whether the Civil war in Syria will spread, or whether we should welcome another million refugees. Has anything really changed?
Of course it has our World Organisations are showing signs of rust, and with biological sense of rhythm we are all slowly preparing to transfer our allegiance to newer, shinier, clever, technologies. ( see previous post)
You may sometimes think that’s not how it is.
None of this, of course, is in any way intended to be disrespectful to the glories of the Paris Agreement. Indeed it is a massive step in the right direction. It is difficult enough to get two people to agree never mind 200 odd countries.
However the high-sounding rhetoric of the Paris accord will result in a materially different outcome.
The days of having one’s cake and eat it have ended. We have to deal with the world as it is.
The Public likes Capitalism to sound caring.
The Paris Mission Statement can only be for fudging a failure.
Unfortunately the climate problem and its solution need to be approached in a way that produces results now not in the near future.
This can only be achieved with massive financial investment.
The problem is where or who will provide this investment.
In my mind there are two paths to follow.
Make Capitalism foot the bill, by placing a World Aid Commission of 0.05% on all high frequency stock trading, on all foreign exchange transactions over $20,000, on all Sovereign Wealth Funds Acquisitions, and on all new mining drilling licences.
Then ask every citizen of the world to buy Climate Change Bonds that can be set off against future Taxations.
Only then can we really tackle the problem along with many others.
An after thought.
How about requesting all-weather forecasting TV programs to include a Climate Change News section at least one a month.
My friends there is no getting around it with Promises of action.
We all see the results of doing nothing everyday if it not on Television it is on Social Media.
Climate change is already happening today.
As with all that affects us the free media ends up as traders of news and views and like all traders they can be caught out by someone who is prepared to be original and daring,.