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Tag Archives: Governments borrowing

THE BEADY EYE ASKS. WHAT IS BORROWING? WHAT IS MONEY?

22 Friday Jan 2021

Posted by bobdillon33@gmail.com in 2021. The year for change., COVID-19, Human values., Inequality., POST COVID-19., WHAT IS BORROWING?, WHAT IS MONEY?, What Needs to change in the World

≈ Comments Off on THE BEADY EYE ASKS. WHAT IS BORROWING? WHAT IS MONEY?

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Coronavirus (COVID-19), COVID-19, Governments borrowing, Money and power., Money of the future, VALUE FOR MONEY, When Money Talks, World Economic Depression.

 

(Fifteen-minute read)

 

As you know the workings of the world of finance are screaming compilated.

All money is created as debt and destroyed when repaid.

Money originated as commodity money, but nearly all contemporary money systems are based on fiat money. ( Fiat money does not have intrinsic value and does not have use-value.) 

It has value only because a government maintains its value, or because parties engaging in exchange agree on its value.

There are three major theories regarding the origin of money:-

1 Money was created for trading purposes;

2 Money was created for social purposes;

3 Money was created for religious purposes.

Money is an unconditional means of payment, a token for wealth, worthless of itself, but symbolizing wealth because it is enshrined in law. It is then administered by Governments as a public resource, for and on behalf of the People.

Money today has no connection with earthly resources, and actually many earthly resources are diminishing while money (or at least the number on the pieces of paper) gets bigger and bigger.

I think we’d soon find out how money has stopped us from appreciating the true value of the earth we live on.

In the coming years, we need to get this reality of money out to everyone.

I imagine the scenario whereby ‘money’ in its present form disappeared in a flash, there would be no physical change in anything, just a lot of renegotiation.

With Facebook’s Libra looming on the horizon and the Covid-19 pandemic further depressing the use of physical cash perhaps it’s time for Central Bank digital currency (CBDC) to be introduced.

To give policymakers more effective tools to support the economy, particularly during times of crisis, while maintaining financial stability. Allowing central banks to distribute newly created public money directly to citizens rather than going through financial markets. 

What happens if the world does not return to normalcy within, say, a few years?

If so, governments will find themselves writing enormous cheques every month to sustain comatose economies. If that happens, all bets are off.

The bottom line is, we are not at the mercy of just a virus but a world economic depression with governments issuing epic amounts of debt. For now, confronted by an overwhelming emergency, governments have little choice but to engage in deficit spending on a giant scale, embarking on one of the greatest peacetime borrowing binges in history.

This is and should be raising many questions when it comes to borrowing, severely tests the question of how much the governments can borrow.

Apart from the tragic human consequences of the COVID-19 coronavirus epidemic, the economic uncertainty will likely cost the global economy trillions. 

In fact, the urgent question isn’t whether countries can afford to take on more debt. It’s whether they’re taking on enough debt to fund the stimulus programs necessary to avert an even deeper downturn.

There’s a degree of anxiety now that’s well beyond the health scares which are very serious and concerning. No matter how expensive an outpouring of government aid may seem right now, it is cheaper than dealing with a depression down the road.

After all, it consists of one arm of government creating money in order to buy debt issued by another arm of government,  which looks perilously close to a shell game in which central banks monetize government debt and distort markets. 

The amount a government can borrow depends on many factors, such as

  • Does it print its own currency?
  • Do markets trust the government to maintain low inflation and not default?
  • What is the interest rate on government bonds?
  • What is the state of the economy?
  • What is the purpose of government borrowing?
  • To what extent is the government borrowing from domestic or foreign investors?

Should we worry about the long-term effects of this new borrowing?

Without question, the new debt will leave taxpayers with a significantly larger burden to carry in years to come.

Some commentators believe debt-challenged governments may eventually be forced to go even further and turn to “helicopter money,” a maneuver in which central banks would simply create money, without issuing any corresponding debt, and the government would funnel the new cash to people and businesses.

The lender of last resort.

If there is no lender of last resort. 

The nightmare scenario where the virus continues to suffocate the global economy for a year or more would lead to the unpardonable sin of blurring the distinction between fiscal and monetary policy.

Disaster Capitalism.  

But until we win the battle against COVID-19, and revive our battered economies, we are in uncharted territory. Best to not rule anything out.

The economic impact of the COVID-19 coronavirus will be different than anything we have seen before. 

This is the calm before the storm.

How far can a currency fall before the government has to protect its citizens from the effects of a worthless currency? 

STIMULUS DOES NOT NECESSITATE EXTRA DEBT.

Money should become Man’s servant rather than his master.

In fact, central banks act as a broker between the governments and private bankers who lend the nation its own national currency at interest.

It does this by issuing gilt-edged bonds.

Markets are allowing all the major countries to borrow plenty at ultra-low rates of interest, underpinned by Central Banks buying up a lot of the debt.

This only has to change where inflation picks up, which so far it has not.

Inflation reduces the real value of the government debt, but, that means people will be less willing to hold government bonds.  

Inflation will require higher interest rates to attract people to keep bonds. In theory, the government can print money to reduce the real value of debt; but existing savers will lose out.

If the government creates inflation, it will be more difficult to attract savings in the future.

But in an economic depression, inflationary pressures vanish so it is much easier to finance a deficit by borrowing.

So do government debt and deficits don’t matter.

2021 will be the first year where the three main economies or trading blocs of the world – the US, the European Union (EU), and China – will refocus their efforts on fighting climate change.

Can the world afford this avalanche of new borrowing?

With the coming economic depression and the need to redefine our association with nature, while addressing climate change, and getting control of the pandemics there is no choice. 

It sticks out like a sore thumb if we are to win the war against this virus inequality has to be addressed by paying for the protection of our ecosystems.

In other words, to make it less profitable to destroy rather than to create. 

This can be achieved without the need to borrow with the technology we have at our disposal by placing a 0.05% World Aid Commission on all activities that generate profit for profit’s sake. ( See previous posts) 

All human comments appreciated. All like clicks and abuse chucked in the bin.)

 

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Once society gains control of the issue of money, it cannot let the bankers issue money ever again. 

 

 

providing a safe public form of money and breaking the oligopoly that banks currently have on the digital money and payments system.

 

It does need standards and global agreements but the potential advantages clearly outwiegh the disadvantages.

endorsed digital currency is the way forward> this potentially is a great (and cheaper) way to distribute money to where its needed and this is more importnat than ever right know for obvious reasons.

Created money is already inflationary,

 


BORROWING COMES IN FORTY SHADES OF GRAY

a surge in misleading and unsubstantiated medical advice since the Covid-19 outbreak.

The first is that borrowing has been historically high in recent years following the financial crisis in the late noughties,

the deficit

GDP reflecting the need to spend and borrow to win the war.

Bank of England is buying in substantial quantities of the debt.

There is no need to count the interest paid on the debt owned by the Bank of England, as taxpayers and government get that receipt.

The debt taken on by the UK now has to be serviced by the following generations. And what are they getting in return for that debt? Just about nothing.

Quantative easing, which is bond buying by central banks

as it’s known in the jargon –

 

Covid is going to be around in the world for decadesa

possible total deficit of £7 trn by 2050.

By hoovering up domestic bonds, these central banks are creating artificial demand for bonds and thereby driving down interest rates (which move in the opposite direction to bond prices).

Central banks’ balance sheets are expanding furiously as they gobble up government bonds and other forms of debt.

 

 

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How Much Can A Government Borrow? Should we the Citizens have a say?

04 Thursday Dec 2014

Posted by bobdillon33@gmail.com in Uncategorized

≈ Comments Off on How Much Can A Government Borrow? Should we the Citizens have a say?

Tags

Budget deficits, Central Banks, Governments borrowing, National debt

With public sector debt increasing around the world, an important issue to consider is just how much can governments borrow?

The clock is ticking. Every second, it seems, someone in the world takes on more debt.

Unfortunately, the manner in which the debt level is conveyed to the general public is usually very obscure.

Couple this problem with the fact that many people do not understand how the national debt level affects their daily life, and you have a center piece for discussion, and which could be written on till the cows come home

The debt, and the developed world’s willingness to borrow to fuel growth, is an indicator of the wildcat figures we now see in almost every country.

The world is in hock up to its neck.

Is the sky’s the limit?  Who is going to pay it?  How is responsible?

Does voting or paying taxes implies consent.?

There is no easy answer.

Since we are subjected to the government’s impositions whether or not we vote — opting out is forbidden — any given individual may have cast a vote purely in self-defense, for the perceived lesser of two evils. And paying taxes certainly cannot signify consent, because the penalty for nonpayment is theft of one’s property, imprisonment, or (should one resist) death.

The amount governments can borrow depends upon many factors such as the level of private sector savings, confidence and expectations of future growth.

So what is the National debts. Or as governments like to describe it the National Debt Per Person.

A Simply explained,

The government generates a budget deficit whenever it spends more money than it brings in through income generating activities such as taxes.

In order to operate in this manner, the Central Bank has to issue treasury bills, treasury notes and treasury bonds to compensate for the difference. These are then placed on the market with varying interest rate of return and repayment terms to the Investors. As the rate offered on treasury securities increases, corporations are viewed as riskier, also necessitating an increase in the yield on newly issued bonds. This in turn will require corporations to raise the price of their products and services in order to meet the increased cost of their debt service obligation. Over time, this will cause people to pay more for goods and services, resulting in inflation.

By issuing these types of securities, the government can acquire the cash that it needs to provide governmental services.

The national debt is simply the net accumulation of the government’s annual budget deficits.

The national debt level is one of the most important public policy issues. When debt is used appropriately, it can be used to foster the long-term growth and prosperity of a country.

However, the national debt must be evaluated in an appropriate manner, such as comparing the amount of interest expense paid to other governmental expenditures or by comparing debt levels on a per capita basis.

Today’s budget deficits can impoverish future generations and it is utterly absurd to pretend that debts to the amount of  trillions are binding upon millions of people who are not yet born or were not born when the debts were incurred. The National Debt Per Person.

Take for instance the UK Debt.

During WWII, UK national debt increased from £7.1 billion to £21 billion. In the early 1950s, UK public sector debt increased to over 200% of GDP much higher than in the financial crisis 2008-11.  Could the UK borrow 200% of GDP again?  The real national debt to-day is closer to £4.8 trillion, some £78,000 for every person in the UK. Around £2bn of First World War debt remains, which is one graphic illustration of the legacy of this war on our nation and the long-term effects of high debt.

The UK Treasury will pay back the £1.9 billion ($2.9 billion) outstanding war loan perpetual bond on March 9, 2015. This is the successor to the loans that were sold to the public in 1917 to help finance World War I( 120,000 individuals holding them) Britain will also pay off other historical debts, some of which date from the 18th century. Eight undated government bonds remain outstanding. UK would also pay back £218 million ($341 million) of debts dating back to the so-called South Sea Bubble in 1720, created to reduce and consolidate national debt.

The US government has racked up $16 trillion in debt.

The US debt is now bigger than the entire US economy.

Does it matter? After all, world governments owe the money to their own citizens, not to the Martians.

The rising total is important for two reasons.

First, when debt rises faster than economic output (as it has been doing in recent years), higher government debt implies more state interference in the economy and higher taxes in the future.

Second, debt must be rolled over at regular intervals. This creates a recurring popularity test for individual governments, rather as reality TV show contestants face a public phone vote every week. Fail that vote, as various euro-zone governments have done, and the country (and its neighbors) can be plunged into crisis.

To pay back one million dollars, at a rate of one dollar per second, would take you 11.5 days.

•   To pay back one billion dollars, at a rate of one dollar per second, would take you 32 years.
•   To pay back one trillion dollars, at a rate of one dollar per second, would take you 31,688 years.

That’s five hundred and twelve million years.  Yes, 512,000,000 years for 15 trillion.

What to be done?  Not much on a global scale.

To preserve our independence, we must not let our rulers load us with perpetual debt…We must make our choice between economy and liberty or profusion and servitude.

On a national scale all government spends over 6 billion could be posted on-line with their pros and cons for the population to approve or disapprove.

No human being, in the history of the world has ever amassed a trillion dollars.

 There’s never enough time to do all
the nothing to do. A lie told 100 times becomes a truth.
If you have any interest have a look at the below. If you don’t I would not blame you with all the rest that going down in the world at the moment.
http://youtu.be/TSDIHPTJels
http://youtu.be/C8xAXJx9WJ8
http://youtu.be/fk9IZ9R1XEg

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